Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ACEL / earnings

FBYD (28) FUN (33) BUUU (61) RSVR (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$11.36 +0.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.35

Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $917.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ACEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Accel Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: ACEL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $11.36 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $917.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ACEL ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACEL compare to FBYD and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), ACEL carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.8%, cap $930.1M) and FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACEL?

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Per ACEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001698991), Accel Entertainment Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $51.5M in net income, and $62.0M in free cash flow against $1.10B in total assets and $569.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.35 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ACEL SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($62.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.3) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$11.17-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.85+4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.28+0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$11.36-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, ACEL faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.27) or 200D SMA ($11.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.31) toward Bear Floor ($8.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ACEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$0.59 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ACEL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $0.63 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$51.5M	$62.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$35.3M	$54.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$45.6M	$132.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACEL)

✓Walkthrough of ACEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ACEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.96%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $11.09H $11.36L $11.09C $11.36VOL 331.8K

RES: $11.43SUP: $9.78SMA50: $11.27SMA200: $11.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACEL Butterfly Map → + Track ACEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACEL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #414 of 1011 ⚔️ FBYD vs ACEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ACEL vs. FBYD, FUN, BUUU, RSVR)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) ranks #414 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #520 by equity capitalization ($917.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BUUU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ACEL at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ACEL ACTIVE Accel Entertainment Inc.	D+	57/100	17.8x	—	15.7%	+0.53%	$917.5M	Benchmark Subject
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-22.8%	-9.91%	$930.1M	/fbyd-vs-acel →
FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation	E	33/100	—	91.3%	-19.3%	-2.60%	$785.8M	/fun-vs-acel →
BUUU BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	31.0%	—	+4.62%	$1.10B	/buuu-vs-acel →
RSVR Reservoir Media Inc.	D+	54/100	80.8x	64.7%	3.8%	-0.73%	$632.3M	/rsvr-vs-acel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001698991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $51.5M, operating cash flow of $150.9M, and free cash flow of $62.0M (+13.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACEL closed FY2025 with $1.10B in total assets against $569.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$51.5M	$150.9M	$62.0M	$1.10B	$569.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$35.3M	$121.2M	$54.7M	$1.05B	$560.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$45.6M	$132.5M	$132.5M	—	—

3. ACEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ACEL compare to FBYD and FUN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACEL?

Where is ACEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACEL last traded at $11.36 (+0.53% on volume of 393,364 shares), positioning the stock +0.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.27) and -2.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.71). Across its 52-week range of $9.55 to $14.00, ACEL sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($10.77 to $11.95).

ACEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ACEL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ACEL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for ACEL, spanning a range between $10.77 and $11.95.

Direct Sub-Reports: ACEL RQD Cockpit ACEL 12M Forecast ACEL Earnings & Move ACEL Dividends & DRIP ACEL Insiders & 13F ACEL Whale Options ACEL Profit Sankey ACEL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ACEL — Accel Entertainment Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The RQD Score is 57, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 15.7%; FCF yield 6.75%), Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 2.11).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is Insider Conviction, while the weakest is Macro Regime Fit and the institutional flow pillar. The cash-generation metrics (ROIC 15.7%, FCF yield 6.75%) are the main upside support in the rating, but the balance-sheet pillar is held back by the 2.11 Debt/Equity ratio. The verdict points to weak fundamentals on a composite basis, so the rating does not frame the stock as a constructive entry point; the valuation tradeoff is that P/E (TTM) of 17.8 and EV/EBITDA of 6.5 must be weighed against the leverage and the lower composite score.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
11.3	$917.5M	17.8	16.6	6.5	0.63	0%	1.0	$9.55 - $14	15.7%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$107.9M	$51.5M	N/A	$62.0M	$296.6M	$569.8M
FY 2024	$0.0M	$90.9M	$35.3M	N/A	$54.7M	$281.3M	$560.9M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$107.4M	$45.6M	N/A	$132.5M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, net income rose from $35.3M (FY 2024) to $51.5M (FY 2025), and cash rose from $281.3M to $296.6M while debt rose from $560.9M to $569.8M. Margins are reported as 0% for gross, operating, and net in the market data, so margin trend cannot be assessed from source data. Per the market data, ROIC is 15.7% and FCF yield is 6.75%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.11. The balance sheet therefore carries substantial leverage relative to reported cash, which the rating's forensic pillar reflects.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Positive (GREEN) — Price target: A TradingView report references a 12-month price target raised to $16.12, implying 47% upside.
Risk Watch (RED): A Seeking Alpha report titled "Chicago Is Delayed, But The Investment Thesis Is Intact" is flagged as a risk-watch item; the body text is not in source data.
Neutral/Yellow items: A Yahoo Finance report titled "3 Reasons to Avoid ACEL and 1 Stock to Buy Instead"; a MarketBeat report on a pessimistic Truist Financial forecast; a Quiver Quantitative notice of a Q3 2026 earnings call and webcast; and a Stock Titan report on a 10,000-unit stock grant vesting in two halves subject to continued service.
Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What does the company sell and how does it generate revenue, given reported revenue of $0.0M in every period?
What were the EPS figures, which are reported as N/A in all periods?
What is the basis and timing of the reported price-target increase and the pessimistic Truist forecast?
What do the "Chicago delay" and the 10,000-unit stock grant mean for operations and dilution?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the cash and debt history for FY 2023?

ACEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACEL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 14h ago

3 Reasons to Avoid ACEL and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Yahoo Finance report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 17h ago

Accel Entertainment, Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $16.12, Implies 47% Upside

TradingView report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 20h ago

Accel Entertainment: Chicago Is Delayed, But The Investment Thesis Is Intact (NYSE:ACEL)

Seeking Alpha report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 23h ago

Truist Financial Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Accel Entertainment (NYSE:ACEL) Stock Price

MarketBeat report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

Accel Entertainment Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast | ACEL Stock News

Quiver Quantitative report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 10,000-unit stock grant at Accel Entertainment (ACEL) vests in two halves, subject to continued service.

Stock Titan report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Accel Entertainment, Inc. Estimates – NYSE:ACEL

TradingView report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Accel Entertainment (NYSE:ACEL) Downgraded by Wall Street Zen to Hold

MarketBeat report covering Accel Entertainment Inc. (ACEL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.36?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACEL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.20 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ACEL (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $11.30?

Welcome to the ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.38 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $11.30

Pump the brakes on ACEL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ACEL, but look at what you are paying: 17.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Accel Entertainment Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.00 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $11.30

ACEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ACEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.30 (52-wk range $9.55 - $14.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.