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Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.3% Move

$4.33 -2.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30

Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $422.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ACTG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ACTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (NASDAQ: ACTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $422.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACTG ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ACTG compare to APPS and JYNT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), ACTG carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 29.6%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, APPS (Digital Turbine Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.3%, cap $1.08B) and JYNT (The Joint Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 35.8x, ROIC -13.9%, cap $99.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APPS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTG?
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Per ACTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000934549), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) generated $285.2M in revenue (+133.2% YoY), $24.5M in net income, and $75.2M in free cash flow against $771.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.30 (-0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 26.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (7)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$6 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE ACTG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ACTG SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.95 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.1) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$4.40-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$4.20+2.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$4.30+0.7% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$4.33-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACTG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ACTG faces multiple-compression risk if 17.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.39) or 200D SMA ($4.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.27) toward Bear Floor ($3.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACTG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ACTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.3% Swing Band

±$0.23 Expected Swing
$4.10 (-5.3%)Spot $4.33$4.56 (+5.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ACTG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $0.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 133.2%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$285.2M$24.5M$75.2M29.6%
FY 20242024-12-31$122.3M-$34.7M-$98.5M24.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$125.1M$68.9M-$22.5M29.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACTG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ACTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.09%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.44H $4.44L $4.33C $4.33VOL 116.9K
RES: $4.45SUP: $4.09SMA50: $4.39SMA200: $4.53
$5.37$4.97$4.57$4.17$3.77RES $4.45SUP $4.09$4.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACTG Butterfly Map → + Track ACTG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +133.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACTG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACTG)

Industrials Rank #178 of 486 ⚔️ APPS vs ACTG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ACTG vs. APPS, JYNT, AMOD, VHC)

Industry: Multi-Sector Companies (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #307 by equity capitalization ($422.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACTG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.3% ROIC and 56.9% gross margin. ACTG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACTG ACTIVE
Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech)
D+ 55/100 17.7x 29.6% 2.1% -2.48% $422.6M Benchmark Subject
APPS
Digital Turbine Inc.
D 46/100 — 56.9% 5.3% -16.08% $1.08B /apps-vs-actg →
JYNT
The Joint Corp.
D- 35/100 35.8x — -13.9% -4.48% $99.4M /jynt-vs-actg →
AMOD
Alpha Modus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — 96.0% -35.0% +9.80% $71.5M /amod-vs-actg →
VHC
VirnetX Holding Corp
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -9.37% $39.8M /vhc-vs-actg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000934549 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) reported GAAP revenue of $285.2M (+133.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $122.3M , and +128.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $24.5M, operating cash flow of $75.2M, and free cash flow of $75.2M (+176.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACTG closed FY2025 with $771.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.95, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $285.2M $24.5M $75.2M $75.2M $771.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $122.3M -$34.7M $50.1M -$98.5M $756.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $125.1M $68.9M -$22.5M -$22.5M — —

3. ACTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (NASDAQ: ACTG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-2.48% 1D, market cap $422.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ACTG ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACTG compare to APPS and JYNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), ACTG carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.7x, gross margin of 29.6%, and ROIC of 2.1%. By comparison, APPS (Digital Turbine Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.3%, cap $1.08B) and JYNT (The Joint Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 35.8x, ROIC -13.9%, cap $99.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APPS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTG?

Per ACTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000934549), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) generated $285.2M in revenue (+133.2% YoY), $24.5M in net income, and $75.2M in free cash flow against $771.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACTG last traded at $4.33 (-2.48% on volume of 116,872 shares), positioning the stock -1.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.39) and -4.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.24 to $5.27, ACTG sits at the 53.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($4.10 to $4.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: ACTG RQD Cockpit ACTG 12M Forecast ACTG Earnings & Move ACTG Dividends & DRIP ACTG Insiders & 13F ACTG Whale Options ACTG Profit Sankey ACTG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ACTG — Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.33 (-2.48% 1D, market capitalization $422.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.1%, gross margin of 29.6%, operating margin of 2.2%, and free cash flow yield of 17.37%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.95, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector, within the Multi-Sector Companies industry. It carries a market capitalization of $0.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) reported $285.2M in annual revenue (up from $122.3M in FY2024, +133.2% YoY) and $24.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($125.1M revenue, $68.9M net income) through FY2025, ACTG scaled operating cash flow to $75.2M and free cash flow to $75.2M, backed by $771.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 17.37% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.24 – $5.27 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.7x trailing P/E and 33.8x EV/EBITDA against 2.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Multi-Sector Companies (Industrials), ACTG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 29.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can ACTG sustain or expand its 2.2% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC against Multi-Sector Companies peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $285.2M and free cash flow of $75.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ACTG's 14.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ACTG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Acacia Research Corporation (Acacia Tech) (ACTG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ACTG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 90d ago
Acacia Research Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Acacia Research (NASDAQ:ACTG) reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $114.6 million, up from $51.2 million in the prior-year period, as licensing activity in its intellectual property business and contributions from its

Read Full Source ↗
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 180d ago
Acacia Research Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Acacia Research (NASDAQ:ACTG) executives highlighted improving operating performance at the company’s energy and industrial businesses and continued cost actions at its manufacturing unit, while also acknowledging the in

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ACTG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ACTG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ACTG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.02 (+15.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FY 2025 free cash flow of $75.2M against a 17.37% FCF yield and $306.7M in reported cash gives the stock a strong cash-generation profi

Picked up a starter position in ACTG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $4.33. FY 2025 free cash flow of $75.2M against a 17.37% FCF yield and $306.7M in reported cash gives the stock a strong cash-generation profile.. Trading inside a $3.24–$5.27 52-week range with 17.37% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Multi-Sector Companies multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.33 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.59 (-17.1%)
Spot @ $4.33

ROIC of 2.1% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 8 / 20 indicate weak capital efficiency and limited sector tailwind.

Fading this rally in ACTG at $4.33. ROIC of 2.1% and a Macro Regime Fit score of 8 / 20 indicate weak capital efficiency and limited sector tailwind.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $4.33 (52-wk range $3.24–$5.27), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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