Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7% Move

$250.23 +0.85% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.21

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (89% profit margin, 50% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $96.57B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADBE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $250.23 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $96.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADBE ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADBE compare to DDOG and CDNS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADBE carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 89.3%, and ROIC of 50.2%. By comparison, DDOG (Datadog Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $95.46B) and CDNS (Cadence Design Systems Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 84.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $94.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADBE?
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Per ADBE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28, CIK 0000796343), Adobe Inc. generated $23.77B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $7.13B in net income, and $9.85B in free cash flow against $29.50B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (89% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $251.21 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 41.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+
Cash (20)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$381 Bull$271 Base$205 Bear
📬 FREE ADBE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADBE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADBE SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41.4% FCF Margin ($9.85B FCF) & 89.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$236.28+8.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$256.73-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$248.36+0.8% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$250.23+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADBE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, ADBE faces multiple-compression risk if 13.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 86.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($253.26) or 200D SMA ($249.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($270.50) toward Bear Floor ($205.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADBE• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADBE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 27, 2026 (~24 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7% Swing Band

±$17.52 Expected Swing
$232.71 (-7%)Spot $250.23$267.75 (+7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADBE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 76/100

Trailing EPS: $18.32 • YoY Revenue Growth: 10.5%

Model Bullish Setup (76/100)Model Risk Weight (24/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-11-28$23.77B$7.13B$9.85B89.3%
FY 20242024-11-29$21.50B$5.56B$7.87B89%
FY 20232023-12-01$19.41B$5.43B$6.43B89.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADBE & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADBE
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADBE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.47%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $249.8H $250.2L $248.1C $250.2VOL 3.33M
RES: $307.7SUP: $237.7SMA50: $253.3SMA200: $249.9
$322.3$286.5$250.7$214.8$179.0RES $307.7SUP $237.7$250.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADBE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADBE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADBE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADBE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADBE)

Technology Rank #29 of 714 ⚔️ DDOG vs ADBE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ADBE vs. DDOG, CDNS, SNPS, INTU)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #44 by equity capitalization ($96.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADBE leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while ADBE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.2% ROIC and 89.3% gross margin. INTU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with ADBE at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADBE ACTIVE
Adobe Inc.
B+ 76/100 13.5x 89.3% 50.2% +0.85% $96.57B Benchmark Subject
DDOG
Datadog Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 80.0% -0.5% -11.50% $95.46B /ddog-vs-adbe →
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
B 73/100 84.8x — 15.7% -4.34% $94.04B /cdns-vs-adbe →
SNPS
Synopsys Inc.
C 65/100 70.5x 77.0% 1.9% -4.61% $93.94B /snps-vs-adbe →
INTU
Intuit Inc.
B+ 77/100 22.9x — 18.1% +2.99% $88.51B /intu-vs-adbe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-28 • CIK 0000796343

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28), Adobe Inc. (ADBE) reported GAAP revenue of $23.77B (+10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.50B , and +22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.13B, operating cash flow of $10.03B, and free cash flow of $9.85B (+25.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADBE closed FY2025 with $29.50B in total assets against $8.04B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-11-28 $23.77B $7.13B $10.03B $9.85B $29.50B $8.04B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-11-29 $21.50B $5.56B $8.06B $7.87B $30.23B $7.26B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-01 $19.41B $5.43B $7.30B $6.43B $53.11B $12.43B

3. ADBE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADBE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $250.23 (+0.85% 1D, market cap $96.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ADBE ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADBE compare to DDOG and CDNS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ADBE carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.5x, gross margin of 89.3%, and ROIC of 50.2%. By comparison, DDOG (Datadog Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $95.46B) and CDNS (Cadence Design Systems Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 84.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $94.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADBE?

Per ADBE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-28, CIK 0000796343), Adobe Inc. generated $23.77B in revenue (+10.5% YoY), $7.13B in net income, and $9.85B in free cash flow against $29.50B in total assets and $8.04B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (89% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADBE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADBE last traded at $250.23 (+0.85% on volume of 5,823,529 shares), positioning the stock -1.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($253.26) and +0.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($249.92). Across its 52-week range of $190.12 to $362.71, ADBE sits at the 34.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($232.71 to $267.75).

ADBE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ADBE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Adobe Inc. (ADBE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 27, 2026.

How much is ADBE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7% event move for ADBE, spanning a range between $232.71 and $267.75.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ADBE — Adobe Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ADBE scores 76 out of 100, grade B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 20 / 20 (ROIC 50.2%; FCF yield 10.2%). This is the maximum pillar score and the strongest component of the rating, pointing to high capital efficiency and substantial free cash generation relative to the market price.
  • Whale 13F flow: 10 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the weakest pillar and indicates only moderate evidence of institutional accumulation in the source data.
  • Insider conviction: 19 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is a near-maximum score, signaling notable insider or congressional trading activity supportive of the thesis.
  • Macro regime fit: 12 / 20 (beta 1.28; sector sensitivity). A beta above 1.0 means the stock is modeled as more volatile than the broader market, which can amplify both gains and losses in risk-off or risk-on regimes.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 15 / 20 (Altman Z 7.17; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.65). The forensic metrics are strong, with a high Altman Z-Score and a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, though the pillar is not at maximum.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside drivers sit in cash generation and capital efficiency, with insider activity as a secondary support. The main valuation tradeoff is that the market data shows a trailing P/E of 13.5 and a forward P/E of 12.6, which are modest multiples relative to the quality metrics; the stock has also traded in a 52-week range of $190.12 to $362.71, meaning the current price of $248.12 sits well below the top of that range. The weaker whale-flow and macro-fit pillars suggest that institutional conviction and beta-driven volatility are areas where the thesis is less established. This is an analytical summary of the scoring framework, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$248.12$96.57B13.512.611.118.320%1.28$190.12 - $362.7150.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$23769.0M$8706.0M$7130.0MN/A$9852.0M$5431.0M$8042.9M
FY 2024$21505.0M$6741.0M$5560.0MN/A$7873.0M$7613.0M$7256.2M
FY 2023$19409.0M$6650.0M$5428.0MN/A$6428.6MN/A$12428.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $19409.0M in FY 2023 to $23769.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $5428.0M to $7130.0M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 36.6% and net margin is 30%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 50.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 7.17, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 out of 9. Per the SEC financials, debt moved from $12428.3M in FY 2023 to $8042.9M in FY 2025, and the RQD rating reports a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the headlines are dominated by market commentary and valuation discussion rather than discrete company events. The top GREEN-flagged item is a Yahoo Finance report on a fresh AI partnership, framed as a potential catalyst, with the headline suggesting the stock may trade below fair value. Multiple YELLOW market-wire items cover earnings growth, long-term stock underperformance relative to the market, and downside questions. One RED item, flagged as RISK WATCH from Beinsure, covers AI deals, analyst targets, and new risks. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific Adobe product lines and customer segments drive the reported revenue growth from $19409.0M to $23769.0M?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, given that the financials report EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What were the terms and scale of the AI partnership referenced in the top-ranked news item?
  • Which institutional holders and insider transactions make up the whale and insider pillar scores of 10 and 19?
  • What is the FY 2024 and FY 2023 cash balance, given that FY 2023 cash is N/A and the FY 2025 cash balance declined from FY 2024?

ADBE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Adobe Inc. (ADBE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADBE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADBE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $250.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADBE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADBE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $292.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ADBE (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $248.12?

Welcome to the ADBE (Adobe Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $193.53 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $248.12

Pump the brakes on ADBE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ADBE, but look at what you are paying: 13.5x trailing P/E with 89.3% gross margins. Unless Adobe Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $285.34 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $248.12

ADBE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ADBE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $248.12 (52-wk range $190.12 - $362.71), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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