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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ADNT / forecast
DCH (30) THRM (55) SMP (61) APOG (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Adient plc (ADNT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.30 +3.66% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.38

Adient plc (ADNT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ADNT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ADNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Adient plc (NYSE: ADNT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $17.30 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADNT ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ADNT compare to DCH and THRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ADNT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.6%, and ROIC of -16.2%. By comparison, DCH (Dauch Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B) and THRM (Gentherm Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.7%, cap $1.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADNT?
▼

Per ADNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001670541), Adient plc generated $14.54B in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$281.0M in net income, and $449.0M in free cash flow against $8.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.38 (+0.47%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$29 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ADNT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ADNT SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (34% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.1% FCF Margin ($449.0M FCF) & 6.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (42.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$18.04-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$17.59-4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$16.86+2.6% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$17.30-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ADNT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ADNT currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.88) and Max Pain ($18.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADNT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ADNT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ADNT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.30: 578.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.10
$6,994
$-3,006 (-30.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $15.51
$8,965
$-1,035 (-10.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $28.69
$16,584
+$6,584 (+65.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ADNT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ADNT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ADNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.35H $17.35L $16.69C $17.30VOL 1.54M
RES: $18.14SUP: $15.76SMA50: $17.88SMA200: $20.51
$25.30$22.76$20.21$17.67$15.12RES $18.14SUP $15.76$17.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADNT Butterfly Map → + Track ADNT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADNT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #789 of 1009 ⚔️ DCH vs ADNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ADNT vs. DCH, THRM, SMP, APOG)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Adient plc (ADNT) ranks #789 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #479 by equity capitalization ($1.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with ADNT at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ADNT ACTIVE
Adient plc
D- 35/100 — 6.6% -16.2% +3.66% $1.29B Benchmark Subject
DCH
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 — 12.1% 2.2% -2.93% $1.14B /dch-vs-adnt →
THRM
Gentherm Inc
D+ 55/100 — 24.2% 8.7% +1.39% $1.63B /thrm-vs-adnt →
SMP
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +7.64% $947.5M /smp-vs-adnt →
APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% +3.78% $945.3M /apog-vs-adnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001670541 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Adient plc (ADNT) reported GAAP revenue of $14.54B (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.69B , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$281.0M, operating cash flow of $449.0M, and free cash flow of $449.0M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ADNT closed FY2025 with $8.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $14.54B -$281.0M $449.0M $449.0M $8.77B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $14.69B $18.0M $543.0M $543.0M $8.53B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $15.39B $205.0M $667.0M $667.0M — —

3. ADNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Adient plc (NYSE: ADNT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $17.30 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $1.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ADNT ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADNT compare to DCH and THRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), ADNT carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 6.6%, and ROIC of -16.2%. By comparison, DCH (Dauch Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B) and THRM (Gentherm Inc) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.7%, cap $1.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADNT?

Per ADNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001670541), Adient plc generated $14.54B in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$281.0M in net income, and $449.0M in free cash flow against $8.77B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADNT last traded at $17.30 (+3.66% on volume of 1,078,264 shares), positioning the stock -3.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.88) and -15.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.51). Across its 52-week range of $15.91 to $27.32, ADNT sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($15.90 to $18.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: ADNT RQD Cockpit ADNT 12M Forecast ADNT Earnings & Move ADNT Dividends & DRIP ADNT Insiders & 13F ADNT Whale Options ADNT Profit Sankey ADNT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ADNT — Adient plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Adient plc (ADNT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.30 (+3.66% 1D, market capitalization $1.29B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.2%, gross margin of 6.6%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Adient plc (ADNT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry,. The company's market capitalization is $1.3B .6% per the market data, indicating a thin-margin operating structure.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Adient plc (ADNT) reported $14.54B in annual revenue (up from $14.69B in FY2024, -1.0% YoY) and -$281.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.39B revenue, $205.0M net income) through FY2025, ADNT scaled operating cash flow to $449.0M and free cash flow to $449.0M, backed by $8.77B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.91 – $27.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain field is NONE, and both butterfly links and proprietary signals are empty. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. The sector and industry classifications (Consumer Discretionary; Auto Parts: O.E.M.) are the only structural context available. Investors should note that the absence of graph data is not evidence of an absence of dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can ADNT sustain or expand its — operating margin and -16.2% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $14.54B and free cash flow of $449.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ADNT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ADNT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Adient plc (ADNT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ADNT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ADNT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ADNT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ADNT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.03 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A Seeking Alpha report cites onshoring and conquest wins driving a robust backlog, a potential revenue-visibility catalyst the financia

Long ADNT at $16.69 targeting $20.03. A Seeking Alpha report cites onshoring and conquest wins driving a robust backlog, a potential revenue-visibility catalyst the financials do not yet reflect.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $15.91 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $16.69 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.19 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $16.69

A -16.2% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, combined with a 37 RQD score, indicate the business is not currently earning returns on capital or gene

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ADNT: A -16.2% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, combined with a 37 RQD score, indicate the business is not currently earning returns on capital or generating free cash relative to its market value.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Auto Parts:O.E.M. triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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