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Stock Ratings / Financials / AEG / forecast
CRBG (60) RGA (68) GL (66) JXN (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.18 -1.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.14

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.72B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AEG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (NYSE: AEG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $8.18 (-1.45% 1D, market cap $14.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AEG ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AEG compare to CRBG and RGA in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), AEG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CRBG (Corebridge Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $15.52B) and RGA (Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 1.6%, cap $17.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GL leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEG?
▼

For Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #610 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.14 (-0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 8.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$10 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE AEG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AEG SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (40.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$8.24+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$8.39-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$8.22-0.5% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$8.18-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AEG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.66) and Max Pain ($8.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AEG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.18: 1222.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.18
$7,555
$-2,445 (-24.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.92
$9,682
$-318 (-3.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.09
$12,335
+$2,335 (+23.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AEG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $8.30H $8.30L $8.18C $8.18VOL 4.39M
RES: $9.65SUP: $8.00SMA50: $8.66SMA200: $8.31
$9.76$9.14$8.52$7.91$7.29RES $9.65SUP $8.00$8.182026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AEG Butterfly Map → + Track AEG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AEG)

Financials Rank #610 of 1096 ⚔️ CRBG vs AEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AEG vs. CRBG, RGA, GL, JXN)

Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) ranks #610 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($14.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while GL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.3% ROIC and — gross margin. RGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with AEG at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AEG ACTIVE
Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares
D 51/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.45% $14.72B Benchmark Subject
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc.
C- 60/100 — — -0.3% -1.36% $15.52B /crbg-vs-aeg →
RGA
Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated
C+ 68/100 14.6x — 1.6% +0.49% $17.29B /rga-vs-aeg →
GL
Globe Life Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.6x — 24.3% -0.85% $12.23B /gl-vs-aeg →
JXN
Jackson Financial Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — — 0.0% -0.76% $9.14B /jxn-vs-aeg →

2. AEG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) operates in Life Insurance (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $14.72B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. AEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (NYSE: AEG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $8.18 (-1.45% 1D, market cap $14.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AEG ranks #610 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AEG compare to CRBG and RGA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), AEG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CRBG (Corebridge Financial Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $15.52B) and RGA (Reinsurance Group of America Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 14.6x, ROIC 1.6%, cap $17.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GL leads on capital efficiency (24.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AEG?

For Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #610 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AEG last traded at $8.18 (-1.45% on volume of 4,391,839 shares), positioning the stock -5.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.66) and -1.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.31). Across its 52-week range of $6.75 to $9.61, AEG sits at the 50.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.4% ($7.98 to $8.38).

AEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AEG's 12-month stock price target?

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $7.92 (-3.2% from $8.18), with a bull-case target of $10.09 and a bear-case floor of $6.18.

Is AEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates AEG D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 51/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: AEG RQD Cockpit AEG 12M Forecast AEG Earnings & Move AEG Dividends & DRIP AEG Insiders & 13F AEG Whale Options AEG Profit Sankey AEG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AEG — Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AEG scores 53 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%, both of which sit at modest levels in the source data. For an investor, this suggests the business generates returns on capital and cash flow that are present but not strong enough to offset the valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited institutional conviction signals in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, meaning insider activity does not provide a strong positive signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar is based on a beta of 1.01 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar, implying the stock's behavior relative to the broader market offers limited regime-based support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is a relative source of stability.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is its most supportive attribute while its macro fit and institutional flow signals are weak. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the market data shows a trailing P/E of 32.8 and an EV/EBITDA of 21, which are elevated valuation multiples relative to the modest ROIC and FCF yield. The upside case rests on balance-sheet durability and any improvement in cash generation; the valuation tradeoff is that the current multiples leave limited margin for disappointment.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
8.3$14.94B32.830.5210.250%1.01$6.75 - $9.619.9%

Business

Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Life Insurance industry, per the company profile. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $14.9B. Business description, customer base, and revenue model details are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated Financials / Life Insurance classification, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures by period, given that the financials section is absent?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution, given that analyst data is absent?
  • Which institutional holders, 13F filers, or insiders have transacted in AEG, given that holders data is absent?
  • What catalysts or news events have affected AEG recently, given that the news section is empty?
  • What drives the gross margin figure of 0% reported in the market data, and how does it reconcile with the operating and net margins?

AEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares (AEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AEG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.18?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AEG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AEG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $8.96 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AEG (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $8.30?

Welcome to the AEG (Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Life Insurance. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.31 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $8.30

Pump the brakes on AEG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AEG, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Aegon Ltd. New York Registry Shares expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.13 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $8.30

AEG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Life Insurance and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.30 (52-wk range $6.75 - $9.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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