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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AERO / options
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Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.20 +1.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.21

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.18B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (NYSE: AERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $15.20 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $2.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AERO ranks #653 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AERO compare to ALGT and SKYW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AERO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.95B) and SKYW (SkyWest Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 8.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $3.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AERO?
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For Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #653 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.22 (+0.10%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$24 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE AERO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AERO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AERO SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.5% FCF Margin ($61.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.3) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$15.88-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$14.88-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$14.59+4.2% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$15.20-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AERO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AERO currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.39) and Max Pain ($15.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AERO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AERO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AERO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AERO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AERO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AERO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.70%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $15.22H $15.22L $14.96C $15.20VOL 256.3K
RES: $16.69SUP: $14.08SMA50: $15.39SMA200: $16.19
$19.20$17.56$15.92$14.28$12.64RES $16.69SUP $14.08$15.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AERO Butterfly Map → + Track AERO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AERO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AERO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AERO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #653 of 1009 ⚔️ ALGT vs AERO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AERO vs. ALGT, SKYW, ULCC, ALK)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) ranks #653 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #403 by equity capitalization ($2.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with AERO at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AERO ACTIVE
Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )
D 45/100 — — — +1.60% $2.18B Benchmark Subject
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
D- 35/100 — — 1.1% +7.35% $1.95B /algt-vs-aero →
SKYW
SkyWest Inc.
D+ 56/100 8.8x — 10.9% -0.79% $3.20B /skyw-vs-aero →
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% +15.19% $1.49B /ulcc-vs-aero →
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc.
D- 42/100 40.3x — 2.9% +7.23% $3.99B /alk-vs-aero →

2. AERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $2.18B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (NYSE: AERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $15.20 (+1.60% 1D, market cap $2.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AERO ranks #653 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AERO compare to ALGT and SKYW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AERO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.95B) and SKYW (SkyWest Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 8.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $3.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AERO?

For Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #653 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AERO last traded at $15.20 (+1.60% on volume of 282,894 shares), positioning the stock -1.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.39) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.19). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $23.05, AERO sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.9% ($13.70 to $16.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: AERO RQD Cockpit AERO 12M Forecast AERO Earnings & Move AERO Dividends & DRIP AERO Insiders & 13F AERO Whale Options AERO Profit Sankey AERO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AERO — Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. De C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.20 (+1.60% 1D, market capitalization $2.18B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services. Exchange: NYSE..A.B. De C.V. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $2.2B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.26 – $23.05 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are mapped and no supply-chain dependency is identified. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can AERO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $23.05 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AERO's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AERO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AERO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 6d ago
Aeroméxico Announces S&P Global Ratings Upgrade

MEXICO CITY, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V. (“Aeromexico” or the “Company”) (BMV & NYSE: AERO) announced today that S&P Global Ratings has upgraded the Company’s global scale issuer cr

Read Full Source ↗
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 10d ago
3 Space Stocks With Up To 42% Earnings Growth

Space is quietly colliding with your daily life, and the latest signal comes from reports that SpaceX aims to enter the US wireless market by tapping its Starlink satellite network. When a private rocket champion starts

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AERO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AERO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AERO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.85 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, indicating relat

Long AERO at $14.96 targeting $18.85. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, indicating relative financial resilience.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $12.26 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AERO's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.72 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $14.96

The macro regime fit pillar scores only 5 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, signaling weak cash generation and poor alignment w

Fading this rally in AERO at $14.96. The macro regime fit pillar scores only 5 of 20 and ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, signaling weak cash generation and poor alignment with the current regime.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $14.96 (52-wk range $12.26–$23.05), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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