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Stock Ratings / Financials / AFCG / earnings
LPA (45) SRG (25) BEEP (38) DOUG (35) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

$2.99 -0.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.98

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $68.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AFCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (NASDAQ: AFCG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.99 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AFCG ranks #603 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AFCG compare to LPA and SRG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AFCG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LPA (Logistic Properties of the Americas) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $79.6M) and SRG (Seritage Growth Properties (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.6%, cap $92.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOUG leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFCG?
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Per AFCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001822523), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. generated $24.6M in revenue (-46.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $11.2M in free cash flow against $275.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.98 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 45.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE AFCG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AFCG SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 52% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$3.10-2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$3.01-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$2.99+0% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$2.99-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AFCG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AFCG currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.32) and Max Pain ($3.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AFCG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AFCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$0.22 Expected Swing
$2.77 (-7.5%)Spot $2.99$3.21 (+7.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AFCG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -46.2%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$24.6M$0$11.2M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$45.7M$0$21.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$63.9M$21.0M$21.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFCG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AFCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AFCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.02H $3.02L $2.99C $2.99VOL 89.3K
RES: $3.65SUP: $2.95SMA50: $3.32SMA200: $2.97
$3.93$3.56$3.19$2.82$2.46RES $3.65SUP $2.95$2.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AFCG Butterfly Map → + Track AFCG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -46.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFCG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFCG)

Financials Rank #603 of 1097 ⚔️ LPA vs AFCG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AFCG vs. LPA, SRG, BEEP, DOUG)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) ranks #603 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #1002 by equity capitalization ($68.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DOUG leads on earnings valuation at 9.6x trailing P/E, while DOUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 52.5% ROIC and — gross margin. AFCG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AFCG ACTIVE
Advanced Flower Capital Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.66% $68.2M Benchmark Subject
LPA
Logistic Properties of the Americas
D 45/100 — — — -1.59% $79.6M /lpa-vs-afcg →
SRG
Seritage Growth Properties (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -20.6% +1.83% $92.4M /srg-vs-afcg →
BEEP
Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
D- 38/100 — — -15.2% -4.76% $104.1M /beep-vs-afcg →
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
D- 35/100 9.6x — 52.5% +3.23% $140.9M /doug-vs-afcg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001822523 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) reported GAAP revenue of $24.6M (-46.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.7M , and -61.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $11.2M, and free cash flow of $11.2M (-47.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AFCG closed FY2025 with $275.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $24.6M $0 $11.2M $11.2M $275.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $45.7M $0 $21.6M $21.6M $402.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $63.9M $21.0M $21.2M $21.2M — —

3. AFCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AFCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (NASDAQ: AFCG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.99 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $68.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AFCG ranks #603 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AFCG compare to LPA and SRG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), AFCG carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LPA (Logistic Properties of the Americas) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $79.6M) and SRG (Seritage Growth Properties (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.6%, cap $92.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOUG leads on earnings multiple (9.6x) while DOUG leads on capital efficiency (52.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFCG?

Per AFCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001822523), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. generated $24.6M in revenue (-46.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $11.2M in free cash flow against $275.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AFCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AFCG last traded at $2.99 (-0.66% on volume of 62,385 shares), positioning the stock -9.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.32) and +0.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.97). Across its 52-week range of $2.06 to $3.84, AFCG sits at the 52.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($2.77 to $3.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: AFCG RQD Cockpit AFCG 12M Forecast AFCG Earnings & Move AFCG Dividends & DRIP AFCG Insiders & 13F AFCG Whale Options AFCG Profit Sankey AFCG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AFCG — Advanced Flower Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.99 (-0.66% 1D, market capitalization $68.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 16.41%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Real Estate industry,..1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) reported $24.6M in annual revenue (up from $45.7M in FY2024, -46.2% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($63.9M revenue, $21.0M net income) through FY2025, AFCG scaled operating cash flow to $11.2M and free cash flow to $11.2M, backed by $275.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 16.41% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.06 – $3.84 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals in the source data. Sector correlations and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be determined from the source data beyond the sector and industry classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can AFCG sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $24.6M and free cash flow of $11.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AFCG's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AFCG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AFCG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AFCG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AFCG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AFCG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.52 (+16.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 16.41% FCF yield against a $68.5M market cap offers a cash-generation signal the RQD rating credits in its 11/20 fundamental pillar.

The street is overcomplicating Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG). A 16.41% FCF yield against a $68.5M market cap offers a cash-generation signal the RQD rating credits in its 11/20 fundamental pillar.. With an RQD score of 52/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $3.25.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3.01 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.26 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $3.01

Reported 0% ROIC, 0% margins, falling revenue from $63.9M to $24.6M, and a 2/9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak fundamentals.

Careful chasing AFCG at $3.01. Reported 0% ROIC, 0% margins, falling revenue from $63.9M to $24.6M, and a 2/9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak fundamentals.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $2.26 on multiple compression.

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