How profitable is Forafric Global PLC (AFRI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AFRI converted $176.5M of revenue into a 10.4% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / AFRI / financials

LWAY (48) VITL (43) OTLY (45) BGS (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.38 -1.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.33

Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $337.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Forafric Global PLC (NASDAQ: AFRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $12.38 (-1.04% 1D, market cap $337.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AFRI ranks #139 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AFRI compare to LWAY and VITL in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), AFRI carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.4%, and ROIC of -16.5%. By comparison, LWAY (Lifeway Foods Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 25.3x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $346.4M) and VITL (Vital Farms Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 23.1%, cap $372.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VITL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while VITL leads on capital efficiency (23.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFRI?

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Per AFRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001903870), Forafric Global PLC generated $176.5M in revenue (-35.6% YoY), -$14.9M in net income, and -$161.0K in free cash flow against $246.9M in total assets and $17.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.33 (-0.38%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AFRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AFRI SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (58% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 77% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.70-7.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$11.78+6.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$12.51-1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$12.38-10.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AFRI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AFRI currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.57) and Max Pain ($13.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AFRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AFRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 24%NO 76%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AFRI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $302.0M

FY24

Rev $274.2M

FY25

Rev $176.5M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$176.5M	10.4%	-2%	-$14.9M	-$161.0K	-28.2%
FY 2024	$274.2M	10%	-2.8%	-$24.3M	$21.7M	-45%
FY 2023	$302.0M	10.4%	0.4%	-$12.7M	$33.3M	-16.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AFRI)

✓Walkthrough of AFRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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AFRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.42%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $12.63H $12.63L $12.38C $12.38VOL 11.6K

RES: $14.06SUP: $11.15SMA50: $11.57SMA200: $10.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AFRI Butterfly Map → + Track AFRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -35.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AFRI)

Consumer Staples Rank #139 of 147 ⚔️ LWAY vs AFRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (AFRI vs. LWAY, VITL, OTLY, BGS)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) ranks #139 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #91 by equity capitalization ($337.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VITL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while VITL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.1% ROIC and 37.6% gross margin. LWAY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with AFRI at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AFRI ACTIVE Forafric Global PLC	E	24/100	—	10.4%	-16.5%	-1.04%	$337.3M	Benchmark Subject
LWAY Lifeway Foods Inc.	D	48/100	25.3x	27.4%	15.9%	-2.86%	$346.4M	/lway-vs-afri →
VITL Vital Farms Inc.	D-	43/100	6.0x	37.6%	23.1%	+5.88%	$372.2M	/vitl-vs-afri →
OTLY Oatly Group AB	D	45/100	—	—	—	-0.52%	$247.3M	/otly-vs-afri →
BGS B&G Foods Inc.	E	29/100	—	21.8%	3.3%	+3.88%	$188.6M	/bgs-vs-afri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001903870 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) reported GAAP revenue of $176.5M (-35.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.2M , and -41.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.9M, operating cash flow of $356.0K, and free cash flow of -$161.0K (-100.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, AFRI closed FY2025 with $246.9M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$176.5M	-$14.9M	$356.0K	-$161.0K	$246.9M	$17.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$274.2M	-$24.3M	$23.5M	$21.7M	$246.1M	$13.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$302.0M	-$12.7M	$33.3M	$33.3M	—	—

3. AFRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AFRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does AFRI compare to LWAY and VITL in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AFRI?

Where is AFRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AFRI last traded at $12.38 (-1.04% on volume of 33,438 shares), positioning the stock +7.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.57) and +18.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.44). Across its 52-week range of $8.63 to $13.48, AFRI sits at the 77.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($11.44 to $13.32).

Direct Sub-Reports: AFRI RQD Cockpit AFRI 12M Forecast AFRI Earnings & Move AFRI Dividends & DRIP AFRI Insiders & 13F AFRI Whale Options AFRI Profit Sankey AFRI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AFRI — Forafric Global PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $12.38 (-1.04% 1D, market capitalization $337.3M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -16.5%, gross margin of 10.4%, operating margin of -2.0%, and free cash flow yield of -0.05%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.65x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Forafric Global PLC is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in Packaged Foods, with a market capitalization of $0.3B. Per the market data, its gross margin is 10.4%, operating margin is -2%, and net margin is -8.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) reported $176.5M in annual revenue (up from $274.2M in FY2024, -35.6% YoY) and -$14.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($302.0M revenue, -$12.7M net income) through FY2025, AFRI scaled operating cash flow to $356.0K and free cash flow to -$161.0K, backed by $246.9M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.05% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.63 – $13.48 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or bottleneck links are recorded. The supply chain field reads NONE. Investors should note that the proposed defense acquisition and recapitalisation, as described in the news section, would, if completed, change the company's business mix and capital structure.

Key Question #1: Can AFRI sustain or expand its -2.0% operating margin and -16.5% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $176.5M and free cash flow of -$161.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $17.6M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is AFRI's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AFRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AFRI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Forafric Global Announces Letter of Intent to Acquire AL NASR, Establishing the Group's Defense Pillar

Yahoo Finance report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Forafric Global PLC Estimates – NASDAQ:AFRI

TradingView report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A proposed defense acquisition at Forafric Global (AFRI) links companies with the same controlling owner.

Stock Titan report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com India • 1d ago

Forafric Global signs letter of intent to acquire AL NASR By Investing.com

Investing.com India report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE africabusinessplus.com • 1d ago

Chakib Alj launches recapitalisation of Forafric

africabusinessplus.com report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(AFRI) Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers

Stock Traders Daily report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Village Farms International (VFF) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Stock Titan report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Acuity Inc. (AYI) Slips 0.94% to $295.53, Holding Well Above Key Support - Channel Breakout

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Forafric Global PLC (AFRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AFRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AFRI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.76 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional positioning (14/20 on the RQD whale 13F flow pillar) is the strongest component of the rating, and the proposed defense a

Here is why I am bullish on AFRI here at $12.51: Institutional positioning (14/20 on the RQD whale 13F flow pillar) is the strongest component of the rating, and the proposed defense acquisition and recapitalisation could reshape the business if completed.. Compare AFRI's -2.0% operating margin and -16.5% ROIC against the rest of Packaged Foods. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $11.88 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $12.51 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.38 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $12.51

The cash engine and forensic balance sheet each score 1/20, with ROIC at -16.5%, Altman Z at 0.2, and Debt/Equity at 2.65, alongside re

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AFRI above $12.51. The cash engine and forensic balance sheet each score 1/20, with ROIC at -16.5%, Altman Z at 0.2, and Debt/Equity at 2.65, alongside revenue falling from $302.0M to $176.5M.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (1/20) and FCF yield (-0.05%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $13.48.