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Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.8% Move

$13.75 -7.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.54

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $850.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGCC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $13.75 (-7.41% 1D, market cap $850.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AGCC ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGCC compare to WEST and SUJA in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), AGCC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, WEST (Westrock Coffee Company) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $993.2M) and SUJA (Suja Life Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $411.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AGCC leads on capital efficiency (1.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCC?
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Per AGCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002060016), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) generated $6.2M in revenue (+144.6% YoY), $609.4K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $28.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.54 (-1.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$27 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE AGCC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGCC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$15.36+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$15.67-5.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$14.76-6.8% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$13.75-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AGCC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AGCC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.61) and Max Pain ($14.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.02.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGCC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.8% Swing Band

±$1.62 Expected Swing
$12.13 (-11.8%)Spot $13.75$15.37 (+11.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AGCC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 144.6%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$6.2M$609.4K-$7.5M30.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.5M$779.3K-$236.8K49.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$887.3K$239.3K-$274.5K30.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AGCC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AGCC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AGCC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.03%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $15.23H $15.23L $13.75C $13.75VOL 963
RES: $18.06SUP: $10.13SMA50: $14.61SMA200: $14.94
$22.43$19.38$16.34$13.29$10.25RES $18.06SUP $10.13$13.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGCC Butterfly Map → + Track AGCC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +144.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCC)

Consumer Staples Rank #104 of 147 ⚔️ WEST vs AGCC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (AGCC vs. WEST, SUJA, CCU, MGPI)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #78 by equity capitalization ($850.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AGCC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.4% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. SUJA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with AGCC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGCC ACTIVE
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 30.4% 1.4% -7.41% $850.7M Benchmark Subject
WEST
Westrock Coffee Company
D- 37/100 — 12.7% -11.8% -2.32% $993.2M /west-vs-agcc →
SUJA
Suja Life Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — — -2.25% $411.4M /suja-vs-agcc →
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 — — — +0.19% $1.91B /ccu-vs-agcc →
MGPI
MGP Ingredients Inc.
D- 41/100 — 37.2% -10.7% +2.87% $368.7M /mgpi-vs-agcc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002060016 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.2M (+144.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.5M , and +599.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $609.4K, operating cash flow of -$7.5M, and free cash flow of -$7.5M (-3066.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCC closed FY2025 with $28.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.2M $609.4K -$7.5M -$7.5M $28.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.5M $779.3K -$236.8K -$236.8K $3.9M $17.7K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $887.3K $239.3K -$274.5K -$274.5K — —

3. AGCC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (NASDAQ: AGCC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $13.75 (-7.41% 1D, market cap $850.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, AGCC ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGCC compare to WEST and SUJA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), AGCC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.4%, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, WEST (Westrock Coffee Company) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.8%, cap $993.2M) and SUJA (Suja Life Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $411.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AGCC leads on capital efficiency (1.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCC?

Per AGCC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002060016), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) generated $6.2M in revenue (+144.6% YoY), $609.4K in net income, and -$7.5M in free cash flow against $28.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGCC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCC last traded at $13.75 (-7.41% on volume of 17,338 shares), positioning the stock -5.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.61) and -7.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.94). Across its 52-week range of $4.72 to $25.73, AGCC sits at the 43.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($12.13 to $15.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: AGCC RQD Cockpit AGCC 12M Forecast AGCC Earnings & Move AGCC Dividends & DRIP AGCC Insiders & 13F AGCC Whale Options AGCC Profit Sankey AGCC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AGCC — Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $13.75 (-7.41% 1D, market capitalization $850.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.4%, gross margin of 30.4%, operating margin of 12.6%, and free cash flow yield of -0.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 26.00, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ under ticker AGCC. It operates in the Consumer Staples sector within the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. Its reported revenue base is small in the financial data provided (see Financial Trend).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) reported $6.2M in annual revenue (up from $2.5M in FY2024, +144.6% YoY) and $609.4K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($887.3K revenue, $239.3K net income) through FY2025, AGCC scaled operating cash flow to -$7.5M and free cash flow to -$7.5M, backed by $28.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.86% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.72 – $25.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 12.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The news feed suggests a possible second-order dependency on AI computing capacity arrangements, which the graph does not confirm. Investors should watch whether the AI infrastructure commitments create cost obligations that compete with the company's beverage operations for capital.

  • Key Question #1: Can AGCC sustain or expand its 12.6% operating margin and 1.4% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.2M and free cash flow of -$7.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGCC's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AGCC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGCC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGCC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGCC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGCC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $18.27 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet forensics score 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 26 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, and cash reached $15.8M in FY 2025.

The street is overcomplicating Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A) (AGCC). Balance-sheet forensics score 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 26 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, and cash reached $15.8M in FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 40/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $16.04.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Beverages (Production/Distribution). If gross margin (30.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.43 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $14.85

Free cash flow was negative in every reported period, reaching -$7.5M in FY 2025, while ROIC sits at 1.4% and insider conviction scores

I respect the product at Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd (Class A), but the stock at $14.85 is a different story. Free cash flow was negative in every reported period, reaching -$7.5M in FY 2025, while ROIC sits at 1.4% and insider conviction scores 5 of 20.. FCF yield is -0.86% and RQD sits at 40/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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