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Why AGCO Stock surged +2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$113.42 +2.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.67

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.65B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $113.42 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $7.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AGCO compare to RAL and ZWS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, RAL (Ralliant Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B) and ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?
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Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.67 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$151 Bull$114 Base$89 Bear
📬 FREE AGCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AGCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AGCO SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.48 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$106.78-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$105.22-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$102.16+11% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$113.42+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AGCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, AGCO faces multiple-compression risk if 10.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.98) or 200D SMA ($116.29) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($114.44) toward Bear Floor ($89.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AGCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AGCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AGCO Stock surged +2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) surged +2.26% to $113.42, trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($98.22 – $143.78). Solid 25.5% gross margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 33% of its 52-week range ($98.22 – $143.78) with RSI-14 at 54 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $113.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 25.5% gross margin and $740.2M annual free cash flow.
Live AGCO Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AGCO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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AGCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.48%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $107.8H $113.4L $107.8C $113.4VOL 848.8K
RES: $144.2SUP: $98.72SMA50: $114.0SMA200: $116.3
$137.8$127.0$116.3$105.6$94.89RES $144.2SUP $98.72$113.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AGCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AGCO Butterfly Map → + Track AGCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AGCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AGCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AGCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AGCO)

Industrials Rank #116 of 486 ⚔️ RAL vs AGCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AGCO vs. RAL, ZWS, SPXC, CAE)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AGCO Corporation (AGCO) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #117 by equity capitalization ($7.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGCO leads on earnings valuation at 10.4x trailing P/E, while ZWS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.3% ROIC and 45.1% gross margin. ZWS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AGCO at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AGCO ACTIVE
AGCO Corporation
C- 60/100 10.4x 25.5% 8.2% +2.26% $7.65B Benchmark Subject
RAL
Ralliant Corporation
D 49/100 — 50.3% -35.0% -1.34% $7.44B /ral-vs-agco →
ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation
C- 61/100 37.3x 45.1% 12.3% -0.29% $7.40B /zws-vs-agco →
SPXC
SPX Technologies Inc.
D+ 55/100 34.3x 40.5% 10.6% +1.11% $8.01B /spxc-vs-agco →
CAE
CAE Inc.
D 50/100 — — — +2.21% $8.29B /cae-vs-agco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000880266 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AGCO Corporation (AGCO) reported GAAP revenue of $10.08B (-13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.66B , and -30.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $726.5M, operating cash flow of $988.1M, and free cash flow of $740.2M (+149.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AGCO closed FY2025 with $11.93B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.48, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.08B $726.5M $988.1M $740.2M $11.93B $2.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.66B -$424.8M $689.9M $296.6M $11.19B $2.23B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.41B $1.17B $1.10B $454.5M $17.29B $4.05B

3. AGCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AGCO Corporation (NYSE: AGCO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $113.42 (+2.26% 1D, market cap $7.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AGCO ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AGCO compare to RAL and ZWS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AGCO carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.4x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, RAL (Ralliant Corporation) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $7.44B) and ZWS (Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 12.3%, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGCO leads on earnings multiple (10.4x) while ZWS leads on capital efficiency (12.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AGCO?

Per AGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000880266), AGCO Corporation generated $10.08B in revenue (-13.5% YoY), $726.5M in net income, and $740.2M in free cash flow against $11.93B in total assets and $2.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AGCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AGCO last traded at $113.42 (+2.26% on volume of 761,409 shares), positioning the stock -0.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.98) and -2.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($116.29). Across its 52-week range of $98.22 to $143.78, AGCO sits at the 33.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($103.21 to $123.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: AGCO RQD Cockpit AGCO 12M Forecast AGCO Earnings & Move AGCO Dividends & DRIP AGCO Insiders & 13F AGCO Whale Options AGCO Profit Sankey AGCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AGCO — AGCO Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AGCO Corporation (AGCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $113.42 (+2.26% 1D, market capitalization $7.65B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.2%, gross margin of 25.5%, operating margin of 5.9%, and free cash flow yield of 9.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.48, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.54x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AGCO Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $7.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AGCO Corporation (AGCO) reported $10.08B in annual revenue (up from $11.66B in FY2024, -13.5% YoY) and $726.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.41B revenue, $1.17B net income) through FY2025, AGCO scaled operating cash flow to $988.1M and free cash flow to $740.2M, backed by $11.93B in total assets against $2.32B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 9.80% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $98.22 – $143.78 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.4x trailing P/E and 11.2x EV/EBITDA against 5.9% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), AGCO carries a macro regime beta of 1.08 and gross margin of 25.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AGCO sustain or expand its 5.9% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.08B and free cash flow of $740.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.32B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AGCO's 9.7x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

AGCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AGCO Corporation (AGCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AGCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AGCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $113.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AGCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AGCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $139.75 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider Conviction scores 17/20 and the stock trades at a 9.7 forward P/E with a 9.8% FCF yield, suggesting cash generation and insider

Long AGCO at $110.91 targeting $139.75. Insider Conviction scores 17/20 and the stock trades at a 9.7 forward P/E with a 9.8% FCF yield, suggesting cash generation and insider activity may be underpriced.. Institutional whale score is 10/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $98.22 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $110.91 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $83.18 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $110.91

Whale 13F Flow scores 8/20 and revenue fell from $14.41B to $10.08B over two years, with a federal inquiry flagged as a RED risk it

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on AGCO: Whale 13F Flow scores 8/20 and revenue fell from $14.41B to $10.08B over two years, with a federal inquiry flagged as a RED risk item.. At 10.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Machinery/Components triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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