Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.57 -3.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.55

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $16.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.57 (-3.02% 1D, market cap $16.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHT ranks #907 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AHT compare to NYC and MDRR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.9M) and MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?
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Per AHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001232582), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc generated $1.10B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), -$179.8M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.55 (-0.73%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE AHT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AHT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AHT SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$1.91-6.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.79+48.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$2.66-3.4% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$2.57-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AHT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AHT currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.63) and Max Pain ($2.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AHT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AHT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing
$2.25 (-12.5%)Spot $2.57$2.89 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AHT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5.8%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.10B-$179.8M-$15.7M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.17B-$60.3M-$23.6M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.37B-$178.5M$14.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AHT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AHT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AHT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.29%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.65H $2.65L $2.57C $2.57VOL 170.9K
RES: $3.17SUP: $1.51SMA50: $2.63SMA200: $3.03
$4.61$3.83$3.05$2.28$1.50RES $3.17SUP $1.51$2.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AHT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AHT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AHT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AHT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AHT)

Financials Rank #907 of 1096 ⚔️ NYC vs AHT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AHT vs. NYC, MDRR, LFT, GPMT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) ranks #907 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #1064 by equity capitalization ($16.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. MDRR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with AHT at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AHT ACTIVE
Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc
D- 41/100 — — 85.0% -3.02% $16.6M Benchmark Subject
NYC
American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — 5.5% +2.40% $18.9M /nyc-vs-aht →
MDRR
Medalist Diversified Inc.
C- 59/100 — — 6.4% +11.70% $19.1M /mdrr-vs-aht →
LFT
Lument Finance Trust Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -1.3% -0.77% $20.3M /lft-vs-aht →
GPMT
Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -7.4% -2.95% $20.6M /gpmt-vs-aht →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001232582

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (-5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$179.8M, operating cash flow of -$15.7M, and free cash flow of -$15.7M (+33.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AHT closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.10B -$179.8M -$15.7M -$15.7M $2.83B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.17B -$60.3M -$23.6M -$23.6M $3.16B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.37B -$178.5M $14.4M $14.4M — —

3. AHT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AHT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.57 (-3.02% 1D, market cap $16.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, AHT ranks #907 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AHT compare to NYC and MDRR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), AHT carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NYC (American Strategic Investment Co. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.5%, cap $18.9M) and MDRR (Medalist Diversified Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.4%, cap $19.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AHT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AHT?

Per AHT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001232582), Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc generated $1.10B in revenue (-5.8% YoY), -$179.8M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AHT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AHT last traded at $2.57 (-3.02% on volume of 170,870 shares), positioning the stock -2.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.63) and -15.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.03). Across its 52-week range of $1.74 to $5.00, AHT sits at the 25.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.25 to $2.89).

AHT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AHT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is AHT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for AHT, spanning a range between $2.25 and $2.89.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AHT — Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AHT scores 43 out of 100, grading D- with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 13 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow scores 8 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction scores 6 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the rating points to a weak forensic profile and thin flow support. The 85% ROIC figure is the strongest datapoint in the rating, but the 0% FCF yield and the Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 indicate that reported returns are not translating into free cash generation. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed here because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. Insider and institutional support is also limited, as reflected in the 6 and 8 pillar scores.

Business

Per the company profile, Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Specific details about products, customers, or revenue model are not available in source data. The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials ($1104.4M for FY 2025) indicate a substantial operating scale relative to the $17.1M market capitalization shown in market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1104.4M$116.4M$-179.8MN/A$-15.7M$66.1MN/A
FY 2024$1172.5M$259.2M$-60.3MN/A$-23.6M$112.9MN/A
FY 2023$1367.5M$130.4M$-178.5MN/A$14.4MN/AN/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 10.5% while net margin is -16.3%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 85%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Revenue declined from $1367.5M in FY 2023 to $1104.4M in FY 2025, and net income was negative in each reported period. Reported FCF was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headlines include an announcement of a $17 million advisory fee waiver, a share purchase commitment from Ashford Inc., and termination of an ATM program (Yahoo Finance, flagged YELLOW). A Benzinga report describes shares rising 66% after hours (flagged GREEN). A Stock Titan report states the company ended its program to sell new shares and that its adviser committed to buy 2.5% of its stock each quarter (flagged YELLOW). A TradingView report covers a share buy plan with Ashford, fee waivers, and the end of a $100M ATM (flagged YELLOW). ChartMill lists AHT among unusual volume stocks (flagged YELLOW). Moomoo covers stock forecasts and analyst ratings (flagged YELLOW). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are AHT's P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA, given that these are absent from the market data?
  • What is the reported EPS and debt level in the financials, which are listed as N/A?
  • What explains the gap between 85% ROIC and the negative net income and FCF across FY 2023 to FY 2025?
  • What are the terms and size of the adviser's quarterly share purchase commitment and the fee waiver, and how do they affect dilution and cash flow?
  • What institutional, insider, or Congressional holdings exist, given that holder and analyst data are unavailable?

AHT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AHT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Top Midday Gainers

Yahoo Finance report covering Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (AHT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AHT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.57?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AHT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AHT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.33 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AHT (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $2.65?

Welcome to the AHT (Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.23 (-15.8%)
Spot @ $2.65

Pump the brakes on AHT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AHT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.02 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $2.65

AHT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AHT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.65 (52-wk range $1.74 - $5.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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