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Arteris Inc. (AIP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.85 -5.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.65

Arteris Inc. (AIP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $924.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Arteris Inc. (NASDAQ: AIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $17.85 (-5.05% 1D, market cap $924.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AIP ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIP compare to POET and TE in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 90.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, POET (POET Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $899.9M) and TE (T1 Energy Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $808.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WOLF leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIP?
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Per AIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001667011), Arteris Inc. generated $70.6M in revenue (+22.3% YoY), -$34.7M in net income, and $5.3M in free cash flow against $115.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.65 (-1.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$53 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE AIP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIP SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.6% FCF Margin ($5.3M FCF) & 90.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.35 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (41.2) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$21.16-6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$19.76+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$20.95-14.8% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$17.85-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIP currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.81) and Max Pain ($18.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $52.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
41.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.35>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE
L: $12$17.85H: $50
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (90.2% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on AIP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

-35.0% ROIC with 90.2% gross margin and 0.53% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.35 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIP
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $20.59H $20.59L $17.85C $17.85VOL 712.5K
RES: $20.76SUP: $17.32SMA50: $21.81SMA200: $25.07
$52.76$42.41$32.06$21.71$11.36RES $20.76SUP $17.32$17.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIP)

Technology Rank #545 of 715 ⚔️ POET vs AIP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AIP vs. POET, TE, AMBQ, WOLF)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arteris Inc. (AIP) ranks #545 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #355 by equity capitalization ($924.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WOLF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. POET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AIP at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIP ACTIVE
Arteris Inc.
E 33/100 — 90.2% -35.0% -5.05% $924.1M Benchmark Subject
POET
POET Technologies Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -7.79% $899.9M /poet-vs-aip →
TE
T1 Energy Inc.
D- 35/100 — 7.4% -35.0% -5.18% $808.6M /te-vs-aip →
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro Inc.
E 33/100 — 44.3% -35.0% -9.34% $1.16B /ambq-vs-aip →
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 37/100 — — 0.7% -5.14% $1.16B /wolf-vs-aip →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001667011 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arteris Inc. (AIP) reported GAAP revenue of $70.6M (+22.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.7M , and +31.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.7M, operating cash flow of $6.7M, and free cash flow of $5.3M (+612.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIP closed FY2025 with $115.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.35, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $70.6M -$34.7M $6.7M $5.3M $115.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $57.7M -$33.6M -$720.0K -$1.0M $106.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $53.7M -$36.9M -$15.7M -$15.7M — —

3. AIP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arteris Inc. (NASDAQ: AIP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $17.85 (-5.05% 1D, market cap $924.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AIP ranks #545 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIP compare to POET and TE in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AIP carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 90.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, POET (POET Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $899.9M) and TE (T1 Energy Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $808.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WOLF leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIP?

Per AIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001667011), Arteris Inc. generated $70.6M in revenue (+22.3% YoY), -$34.7M in net income, and $5.3M in free cash flow against $115.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIP last traded at $17.85 (-5.05% on volume of 735,258 shares), positioning the stock -18.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.81) and -28.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.07). Across its 52-week range of $12.06 to $50.26, AIP sits at the 15.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($15.62 to $20.08).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIP — Arteris Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Arteris Inc. (AIP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $17.85 (-5.05% 1D, market capitalization $924.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 90.2%, operating margin of -47.0%, and free cash flow yield of 0.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.35, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Arteris Inc. (AIP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Semiconductors industry. Per the market data, gross margin is 90.2%, indicating a high-margin revenue base. Revenue is reported in the SEC financials at $70.6M for FY 2025.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Arteris Inc. (AIP) reported $70.6M in annual revenue (up from $57.7M in FY2024, +22.3% YoY) and -$34.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($53.7M revenue, -$36.9M net income) through FY2025, AIP scaled operating cash flow to $6.7M and free cash flow to $5.3M, backed by $115.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.53% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.06 – $50.26 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -47.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIP sustain or expand its -47.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $70.6M and free cash flow of $5.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIP's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arteris Inc. (AIP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.88 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $53.7M in FY 2023 to $70.6M in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive at $5.3M, alongside a 90.2% gross margin.

Revenue grew from $53.7M in FY 2023 to $70.6M in FY 2025 while FCF turned positive at $5.3M, alongside a 90.2% gross margin.. When you look under the hood at AIP, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 90.2% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $50.26. My 12M target is $23.88.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (90.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.48 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $18.80

Operating losses persisted across all three reported periods, with a -35% ROIC and a 0.53% FCF yield that leave limited cushion against

Careful chasing AIP at $18.80. Operating losses persisted across all three reported periods, with a -35% ROIC and a 0.53% FCF yield that leave limited cushion against the $1.01B market cap.. Gross margin is 90.2%, but operating margin is -47.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $14.48 on multiple compression.

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