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Stock Ratings / Technology / AIRG / earnings
WATT (23) CMTL (17) VUZI (29) CRNT (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Airgain Inc. (AIRG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.9% Move

$4.12 -1.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.10

Airgain Inc. (AIRG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $54.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Airgain Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.55% 1D, market cap $54.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AIRG ranks #702 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIRG compare to WATT and CMTL in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), AIRG carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.5%, and ROIC of -32.0%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and CMTL (Comtech Telecommunications Corp.) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.8%, cap $38.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIRG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRG?
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Per AIRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001272842), Airgain Inc. generated $51.8M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), -$6.4M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $45.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.10 (-0.47%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510019
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.5% Base Target
$8 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE AIRG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIRG SCORES 19/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 43.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$4.22-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$4.00+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$4.11+0.2% Next Q
Current
19
Grade E$4.12-12% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (27) → E (19)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIRG currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.71) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.04.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIRG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 19%NO 81%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.9% Swing Band

±$0.37 Expected Swing
$3.75 (-8.9%)Spot $4.12$4.49 (+8.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AIRG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 19/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -14.6%

Model Bullish Setup (19/100)Model Risk Weight (81/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$51.8M-$6.4M-$1.3M43.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$60.6M-$8.7M-$3.7M40.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$56.0M-$12.4M-$3.3M43.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIRG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIRG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.30%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.17H $4.18L $4.12C $4.12VOL 21.4K
RES: $4.84SUP: $3.60SMA50: $4.71SMA200: $5.49
$7.92$6.84$5.75$4.66$3.57RES $4.84SUP $3.60$4.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AIRG Butterfly Map → + Track AIRG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -14.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRG)

Technology Rank #702 of 714 ⚔️ WATT vs AIRG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AIRG vs. WATT, CMTL, VUZI, CRNT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Airgain Inc. (AIRG) ranks #702 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #554 by equity capitalization ($54.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AIRG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CRNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.3% ROIC and 33.8% gross margin. CRNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with AIRG at 19/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIRG ACTIVE
Airgain Inc.
E 19/100 — 43.5% -32.0% -1.55% $54.8M Benchmark Subject
WATT
Energous Corporation
E 23/100 — 36.0% -35.0% -6.00% $50.6M /watt-vs-airg →
CMTL
Comtech Telecommunications Corp.
E 17/100 — 31.6% -16.8% -2.36% $38.3M /cmtl-vs-airg →
VUZI
Vuzix Corporation
E 29/100 — -16.9% -35.0% -14.86% $179.0M /vuzi-vs-airg →
CRNT
Ceragon Networks Ltd.
D 47/100 — 33.8% 4.3% -2.43% $188.0M /crnt-vs-airg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001272842

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Airgain Inc. (AIRG) reported GAAP revenue of $51.8M (-14.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $60.6M , and -7.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.4M, operating cash flow of -$1.1M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M (+65.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRG closed FY2025 with $45.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $51.8M -$6.4M -$1.1M -$1.3M $45.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $60.6M -$8.7M -$3.5M -$3.7M $48.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $56.0M -$12.4M -$3.3M -$3.3M — —

3. AIRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Airgain Inc. (NASDAQ: AIRG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.55% 1D, market cap $54.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AIRG ranks #702 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIRG compare to WATT and CMTL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), AIRG carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.5%, and ROIC of -32.0%. By comparison, WATT (Energous Corporation) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $50.6M) and CMTL (Comtech Telecommunications Corp.) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.8%, cap $38.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AIRG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CRNT leads on capital efficiency (4.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRG?

Per AIRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001272842), Airgain Inc. generated $51.8M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), -$6.4M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $45.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIRG last traded at $4.12 (-1.55% on volume of 27,864 shares), positioning the stock -12.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.71) and -24.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.49). Across its 52-week range of $3.00 to $7.66, AIRG sits at the 24.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($3.75 to $4.49).

Direct Sub-Reports: AIRG RQD Cockpit AIRG 12M Forecast AIRG Earnings & Move AIRG Dividends & DRIP AIRG Insiders & 13F AIRG Whale Options AIRG Profit Sankey AIRG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 19/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIRG — Airgain Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Airgain Inc. (AIRG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 19/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.12 (-1.55% 1D, market capitalization $54.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -32.0%, gross margin of 43.5%, operating margin of -16.4%, and free cash flow yield of -2.34%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Airgain Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment industry. The source data describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.1B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 43.5%, indicating it generates revenue from products or services sold at that gross margin level.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Airgain Inc. (AIRG) reported $51.8M in annual revenue (up from $60.6M in FY2024, -14.6% YoY) and -$6.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($56.0M revenue, -$12.4M net income) through FY2025, AIRG scaled operating cash flow to -$1.1M and free cash flow to -$1.3M, backed by $45.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 19/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.34% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.00 – $7.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -16.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (Technology), AIRG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 43.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIRG sustain or expand its -16.4% operating margin and -32.0% ROIC against Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $51.8M and free cash flow of -$1.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIRG's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIRG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Airgain Inc. (AIRG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AIRG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIRG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIRG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIRG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.02 (+20.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Price of $4.18 sits within a $3 to $7.66 52-week range while several company catalysts, including a Q3 2026 results call, are in the ne

Long AIRG at $4.18 targeting $5.02. Price of $4.18 sits within a $3 to $7.66 52-week range while several company catalysts, including a Q3 2026 results call, are in the near-term news flow.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.00 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. If gross margin (43.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.26 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $4.18

Negative ROIC of -32%, negative FCF yield of -2.34%, Altman Z of 0.2, and operating losses in every reported year point to forensic and

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on AIRG: Negative ROIC of -32%, negative FCF yield of -2.34%, Altman Z of 0.2, and operating losses in every reported year point to forensic and cash-flow stress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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