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AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.48 -2.36% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.46

AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $191.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AIRJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AIRJ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.48 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $191.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRJ ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AIRJ compare to TAYD and RR in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AIRJ carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, TAYD (Taylor Devices Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 21.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $180.5M) and RR (Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $212.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAYD leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while TAYD leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRJ?
β–Ό

Per AIRJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001855474), AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) generated $38.0M in revenue (-79.4% YoY), -$9.0M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $340.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.46 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AIRJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIRJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AIRJ SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$3.56-14.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$3.05-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$2.92-15.1% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$2.48-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIRJ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AIRJ currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.80) and Max Pain ($2.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.98.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIRJβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAIRJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AIRJ)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AIRJ.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIRJ)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AIRJ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIRJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.00%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.74H $2.74L $2.48C $2.48VOL 1.42M
RES: $7.45SUP: $2.38SMA50: $3.80SMA200: $3.89
$6.95$5.72$4.49$3.26$2.03RES $7.45SUP $2.38$2.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIRJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -79.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIRJ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIRJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIRJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIRJ)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AIRJ vs. TAYD, RR, MVST, SERV)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) ranks #408 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #353 by equity capitalization ($191.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAYD leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while TAYD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and 44.1% gross margin. TAYD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with AIRJ at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIRJ ACTIVE
AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A)
E 30/100 β€” β€” -4.0% -2.36% $191.0M Benchmark Subject
TAYD
Taylor Devices Inc.
D 49/100 21.4x 44.1% 8.9% +1.15% $180.5M /tayd-vs-airj β†’
RR
Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)
E 30/100 β€” 35.9% -6.7% -10.18% $212.8M /rr-vs-airj β†’
MVST
Microvast Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” 28.6% 1.8% +1.21% $219.5M /mvst-vs-airj β†’
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
E 32/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.46% $225.4M /serv-vs-airj β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001855474 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) reported GAAP revenue of $38.0M (-79.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $184.6M , and +19.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.0M, operating cash flow of -$5.6M, and free cash flow of -$5.7M (+76.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIRJ closed FY2025 with $340.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $38.0M -$9.0M -$5.6M -$5.7M $340.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $184.6M $215.7M -$24.3M -$24.3M $369.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $31.9M -$11.4M -$5.1M -$5.1M β€” β€”

3. AIRJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIRJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: AIRJ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.48 (-2.36% 1D, market cap $191.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, AIRJ ranks #408 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIRJ compare to TAYD and RR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AIRJ carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -4.0%. By comparison, TAYD (Taylor Devices Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 21.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $180.5M) and RR (Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $212.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAYD leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while TAYD leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIRJ?

Per AIRJ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001855474), AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) generated $38.0M in revenue (-79.4% YoY), -$9.0M in net income, and -$5.7M in free cash flow against $340.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIRJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIRJ last traded at $2.48 (-2.36% on volume of 739,958 shares), positioning the stock -34.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.80) and -36.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.22 to $6.65, AIRJ sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($2.17 to $2.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AIRJ β€” AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.48 (-2.36% 1D, market capitalization $191.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of -2.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The profile identifies the company as a NASDAQ-listed Industrials issuer with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Specific product lines, customers, and revenue model details are β€” Reported revenue in the financials table is β€” across the three periods shown.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) reported $38.0M in annual revenue (up from $184.6M in FY2024, -79.4% YoY) and -$9.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($31.9M revenue, -$11.4M net income) through FY2025, AIRJ scaled operating cash flow to -$5.6M and free cash flow to -$5.7M, backed by $340.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.74% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.22 – $6.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector correlation data and 2nd-order bottleneck analysis are therefore not supported by the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can AIRJ sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -4.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $38.0M and free cash flow of -$5.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AIRJ's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AIRJ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A) (AIRJ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AIRJ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AIRJ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.48?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AIRJ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AIRJ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Growth & Tech Investor πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.07 (+20.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Price of $2.74 sits well below the $6.65 52-week high, and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 falls in the range the RQD rating associates with

Price of $2.74 sits well below the $6.65 52-week high, and the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 falls in the range the RQD rating associates with a balance sheet that is not in distress.. When you look under the hood at AIRJ, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -4.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $6.65. My 12M target is $3.07.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” AIRJ's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.18 (-14.2%)
Spot @ $2.54

Negative ROIC of -4%, FCF yield of -2.74%, and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 combined with Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillars eac

Careful chasing AIRJ at $2.54. Negative ROIC of -4%, FCF yield of -2.74%, and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 combined with Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillars each scored 3 / 20 indicate weak cash generation and limited sponsorship.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $2.18 on multiple compression.

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