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Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$86.69 -6.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.51

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $13.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AKAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $86.69 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $13.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AKAM ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AKAM compare to CART and FICO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AKAM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, CART (Maplebear Inc.) holds a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.40B) and FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKAM?
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Per AKAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001086222), Akamai Technologies Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $452.0M in net income, and $1.01B in free cash flow against $11.48B in total assets and $2.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.51 (-1.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 63.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$174 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
📬 FREE AKAM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AKAM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AKAM SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.38 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$91.71-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$90.27+8.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$98.10-11.6% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$86.69-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AKAM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, AKAM faces multiple-compression risk if 31.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($103.36) or 200D SMA ($112.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.30) toward Bear Floor ($67.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AKAM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AKAM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your AKAM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $86.69: 115.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $67.31
$7,764
$-2,236 (-22.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $86.30
$9,955
$-45 (-0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $173.72
$20,039
+$10,039 (+100.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$9074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$16369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$7758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AKAM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AKAM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AKAM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.05%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $99.38H $99.38L $86.69C $86.69VOL 5.26M
RES: $127.1SUP: $82.93SMA50: $103.4SMA200: $112.7
$171.0$148.0$125.0$101.9$78.91RES $127.1SUP $82.93$86.692026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AKAM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AKAM Butterfly Map → + Track AKAM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
24.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AKAM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AKAM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AKAM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AKAM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #383 of 1009 ⚔️ CART vs AKAM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AKAM vs. CART, FICO, GRAB, RBA)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) ranks #383 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #138 by equity capitalization ($13.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FICO leads on earnings valuation at 23.5x trailing P/E, while FICO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 59.6% ROIC and 82.2% gross margin. CART currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 88/100 (A) compared with AKAM at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AKAM ACTIVE
Akamai Technologies Inc.
D+ 57/100 31.6x 56.8% 6.6% -6.50% $13.33B Benchmark Subject
CART
Maplebear Inc.
A 88/100 30.3x 73.7% 17.2% +2.02% $13.40B /cart-vs-akam →
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
B- 71/100 23.5x 82.2% 59.6% +1.82% $15.36B /fico-vs-akam →
GRAB
Grab Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.54% $11.11B /grab-vs-akam →
RBA
RB Global Inc.
C- 59/100 37.4x — 7.7% +4.17% $16.28B /rba-vs-akam →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001086222 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) reported GAAP revenue of $1.59B (+6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.49B , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $452.0M, operating cash flow of $1.52B, and free cash flow of $1.01B (-10.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AKAM closed FY2025 with $11.48B in total assets against $2.93B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.38, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.59B $452.0M $1.52B $1.01B $11.48B $2.93B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.49B $504.9M $1.52B $1.13B $10.37B $2.47B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.78B $547.6M $1.35B $1.35B $7.86B $1.84B

3. AKAM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AKAM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: AKAM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $86.69 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $13.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AKAM ranks #383 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AKAM compare to CART and FICO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), AKAM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.6x, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, CART (Maplebear Inc.) holds a A grade (88/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $13.40B) and FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 23.5x, ROIC 59.6%, cap $15.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FICO leads on earnings multiple (23.5x) while FICO leads on capital efficiency (59.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AKAM?

Per AKAM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001086222), Akamai Technologies Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+6.3% YoY), $452.0M in net income, and $1.01B in free cash flow against $11.48B in total assets and $2.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AKAM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AKAM last traded at $86.69 (-6.50% on volume of 4,205,280 shares), positioning the stock -16.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($103.36) and -23.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($112.65). Across its 52-week range of $70.82 to $165.45, AKAM sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($77.24 to $96.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: AKAM RQD Cockpit AKAM 12M Forecast AKAM Earnings & Move AKAM Dividends & DRIP AKAM Insiders & 13F AKAM Whale Options AKAM Profit Sankey AKAM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AKAM — Akamai Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $86.69 (-6.50% 1D, market capitalization $13.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.6%, gross margin of 56.8%, operating margin of 14.2%, and free cash flow yield of 7.08%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.06x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.38, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.55x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Discretionary. Industry: Business Services. Exchange: NASDAQ. Akamai Technologies Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer operating in Business Services with a market capitalization of $14.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) reported $1.59B in annual revenue (up from $1.49B in FY2024, +6.3% YoY) and $452.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.78B revenue, $547.6M net income) through FY2025, AKAM scaled operating cash flow to $1.52B and free cash flow to $1.01B, backed by $11.48B in total assets against $2.93B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 7.08% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $70.82 – $165.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 31.6x trailing P/E and 16.1x EV/EBITDA against 14.2% operating margins and a 1.06x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no supply-chain relationships and no proprietary signals, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can AKAM sustain or expand its 14.2% operating margin and 6.6% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.59B and free cash flow of $1.01B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.93B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AKAM's 29.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.06x)?

AKAM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AKAM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AKAM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AKAM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AKAM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $114.97 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.38) and a 7.08% FCF yield provide a cash-backed floor for the stock.

Here is why I am bullish on AKAM here at $92.72: Strong forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.38) and a 7.08% FCF yield provide a cash-backed floor for the stock.. Compare AKAM's 14.2% operating margin and 6.6% ROIC against the rest of Business Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $88.08 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $92.72 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.47 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $92.72

Net income and free cash flow declined across three fiscal years while debt rose from $1.84B to $2.93B, against a 31.6x trailing P/

Net income and free cash flow declined across three fiscal years while debt rose from $1.84B to $2.93B, against a 31.6x trailing P/E.. Look at the math on AKAM: paying 31.6x trailing P/E for 6.6% ROIC and 14.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Business Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $81.59 before getting long.

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