Yahoo Finance report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ALAB Stock dropped -10.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ALAB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Astera Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: ALAB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $258.70 (-10.92% 1D, market cap $50.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALAB ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ALAB compare to UMC and STM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALAB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 75.7%, and ROIC of 3.4%. By comparison, UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $45.42B) and STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $44.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAB?
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Per ALAB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001736297), Astera Labs Inc. generated $852.5M in revenue (+115.1% YoY), $219.1M in net income, and $281.8M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $75.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.1% FCF Margin ($281.8M FCF) & 75.7% Gross Margin
Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALAB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ALAB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 73.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($308.48) or 200D SMA ($256.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($270.34) toward Bear Floor ($210.87).
Why ALAB Stock dropped -10.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) dropped -10.92% to $258.70, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($97.89 – $499.48). Solid 76% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($97.89 – $499.48) with RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $258.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 75.7% gross margin and $281.8M annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Techi report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Key Stats for Astera Labs StockCurrent Price: $258. 70Target Price (Mid): ~$740Street Target: ~$383Potential Total Return: ~187%Annualized IRR: ~29% / yearWhat Happened?Astera Labs (ALAB:NASDAQ) has beaten Wall Street’s
Key TakeawaysAstera Labs fell 11% on Friday, nearly four times the Nasdaq Composite’s 2. 9% drop, on AI spending worries that didn’t come from Astera.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALAB Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ALAB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +115.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALAB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALAB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALAB)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALAB vs. UMC, STM, MCHP, MPWR)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #62 by equity capitalization ($50.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. ALAB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALAB
ACTIVE
Astera Labs Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | — | 75.7% | 3.4% | -10.92% | $50.39B | Benchmark Subject |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | C | 65/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -7.54% | $45.42B | /umc-vs-alab → |
| STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | D+ | 56/100 | — | 33.9% | 0.8% | -6.50% | $44.62B | /stm-vs-alab → |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | C+ | 68/100 | — | 57.7% | 3.3% | -4.66% | $44.05B | /mchp-vs-alab → |
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 94.8x | 55.2% | 12.2% | +1.07% | $58.91B | /mpwr-vs-alab → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001736297In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) reported GAAP revenue of $852.5M (+115.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $396.3M , and +636.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $219.1M, operating cash flow of $319.3M, and free cash flow of $281.8M (+175.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALAB closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $75.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $852.5M | $219.1M | $319.3M | $281.8M | $1.53B | $75.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $396.3M | -$83.4M | $136.7M | $102.4M | $1.05B | $40.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $115.8M | -$26.3M | -$12.7M | -$17.9M | $27.71B | $6.48B |
3. ALAB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ALAB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Astera Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: ALAB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $258.70 (-10.92% 1D, market cap $50.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALAB ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ALAB compare to UMC and STM in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALAB carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 75.7%, and ROIC of 3.4%. By comparison, UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $45.42B) and STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $44.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAB?
Per ALAB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001736297), Astera Labs Inc. generated $852.5M in revenue (+115.1% YoY), $219.1M in net income, and $281.8M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $75.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ALAB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ALAB last traded at $258.70 (-10.92% on volume of 7,286,911 shares), positioning the stock -16.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($308.48) and +0.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($256.36). Across its 52-week range of $97.89 to $499.48, ALAB sits at the 40.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($226.36 to $291.04).
ALAB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ALAB stock moving today?
Why ALAB Stock dropped -10.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 76% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ALAB — Astera Labs Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALAB scores 68 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20 (ROIC 3.4%; FCF yield 0.56%), Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 14/20 (Beta 1.34; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 26; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.05). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which points to low financial-distress risk. The weakest is insider conviction, which suggests limited insider-level signaling in the source data. The cash-engine pillar is the key valuation tradeoff: a 0.56% FCF yield and 3.4% ROIC, measured against a $50.39B market cap and an EV/EBITDA of 95, indicate that the current price embeds substantial expectations for future growth. Upside depends on that growth materializing; the "Watch for Breakout" framing reflects that the rating is neutral pending confirmation. Beta of 1.34 implies above-market sensitivity to broad moves. This is an analytical framework, not personalized advice.
Business
Astera Labs Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Semiconductors industry, per the profile section. Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $852.5M, with gross margin of 75.7% per the market data. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond this classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $852.5M | $173.4M | $219.1M | N/A | $281.8M | $167.6M | $75.7M |
| FY 2024 | $396.3M | $-116.1M | $-83.4M | N/A | $102.4M | $79.6M | $40.4M |
| FY 2023 | $115.8M | $-29.5M | $-26.3M | N/A | $-17.9M | N/A | $6484.6M |
Per the financials, revenue grew from $115.8M (FY 2023) to $396.3M (FY 2024) to $852.5M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from losses to $173.4M in FY 2025. Per the market data, net margin is 25.7% and operating margin 20.3%, with ROIC at 3.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, per the RQD forensic pillar, with Debt/Equity of 0.05. The FY 2023 debt figure of $6484.6M is inconsistent with the other periods and is flagged under Open Questions.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, six headlines are on file, all tied to ALAB. Headlines reference the Aries 7 product nearing sampling, an article suggesting overvaluation, a comparison against Arm, a 7% single-day rally, a 6.58% move on Oct 6, a Seeking Alpha piece titled around "Two Assumptions," and a Benzinga report on a Tuesday surge. Light signals are mixed: three YELLOW (market wire) and three GREEN (catalyst). Risk watch items include overvaluation framing in the headlines and the 95 EV/EBITDA level in market data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no links or proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is "NONE" and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are present. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from source data. Not available in source data for sector correlation or 2nd-order bottlenecks beyond the sector and industry classification.
Open Questions
- What are the TTM EPS and forward earnings figures needed to assess the 95 EV/EBITDA multiple?
- Why does the FY 2023 debt figure ($6484.6M) differ so sharply from FY 2024 ($40.4M) and FY 2025 ($75.7M), and is it a data error?
- What specific institutional 13F and insider transactions underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
- What is the company's product and customer mix, and how much of revenue depends on the Aries 7 product timing?
- What supply-chain relationships exist, given the Butterfly graph returns no links?
ALAB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Techi report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Astera Labs Inc. (ALAB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ALAB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $258.70?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALAB (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $290.43?
Welcome to the ALAB (Astera Labs Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ALAB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALAB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 75.7% gross margins. Unless Astera Labs Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ALAB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALAB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $290.43 (52-wk range $97.89 - $499.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.