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Why ALAR Stock dropped -2.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.27 -2.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-2.31% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALAR ranks #427 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALAR compare to YXT and GIXI in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALAR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.6M) and GIXI (Gix Internet Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALAR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAR?
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For Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #427 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26 (-0.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.5% Base Target
$17 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALAR SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($263.9K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.45-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$1.37+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$1.39-8.6% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$1.27-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALAR currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALAR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALAR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ALAR Stock dropped -2.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) dropped -2.31% to $1.27, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.16 – $16.48). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.16 – $16.48) with RSI-14 at 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $263917 annual free cash flow.
Live ALAR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALAR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ALAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.75%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.36H $1.36L $1.27C $1.27VOL 24.0K
RES: $2.94SUP: $1.27SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $5.01
$11.46$8.67$5.88$3.09$0.29RES $2.94SUP $1.27$1.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALAR Butterfly Map → + Track ALAR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALAR)

Technology Rank #427 of 715 ⚔️ YXT vs ALAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALAR vs. YXT, GIXI, WIMI, DTSS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) ranks #427 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #646 by equity capitalization ($9.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALAR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WIMI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GIXI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with ALAR at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALAR ACTIVE
Alarum Technologies Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -2.31% $9.4M Benchmark Subject
YXT
YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares
D- 38/100 — 68.3% -35.0% 0.00% $9.6M /yxt-vs-alar →
GIXI
Gix Internet Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — +1.79% $9.7M /gixi-vs-alar →
WIMI
WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc. (Class B)
E 27/100 — — -3.4% +2.46% $9.0M /wimi-vs-alar →
DTSS
Datasea Intelligent Technology Ltd. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 3.5% — -7.24% $8.9M /dtss-vs-alar →

2. ALAR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) operates in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $9.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ALAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alarum Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: ALAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-2.31% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ALAR ranks #427 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALAR compare to YXT and GIXI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ALAR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.6M) and GIXI (Gix Internet Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALAR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALAR?

For Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #427 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALAR last traded at $1.27 (-2.31% on volume of 28,566 shares), positioning the stock -21.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and -74.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.01). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $16.48, ALAR sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.11 to $1.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALAR RQD Cockpit ALAR 12M Forecast ALAR Earnings & Move ALAR Dividends & DRIP ALAR Insiders & 13F ALAR Whale Options ALAR Profit Sankey ALAR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALAR — Alarum Technologies Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.27 (-2.31% 1D, market capitalization $9.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ALAR is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Products, customers, and revenue model are not described in the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.16 – $16.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies and sector correlations cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALAR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $16.48 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALAR's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.27?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALAR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.61 (+23.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Piotroski F 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of an otherwise weak profile.

Here is why I am bullish on ALAR here at $1.30: The balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Piotroski F 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of an otherwise weak profile.. Compare ALAR's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.23 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (-23.1%)
Spot @ $1.30

A securities class action deadline of October 5, 2026 is flagged in RED risk-watch coverage, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and the

Careful chasing ALAR at $1.30. A securities class action deadline of October 5, 2026 is flagged in RED risk-watch coverage, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% and the stock down 52-week to $1.16 from $16.56.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.00 on multiple compression.

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