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Stock Ratings / Technology / ALGM / forecast
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Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$32.15 +5.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.40

Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALGM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (NASDAQ: ALGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $32.15 (+5.31% 1D, market cap $5.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALGM ranks #301 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALGM compare to AAOI and CRUS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALGM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and CRUS (Cirrus Logic Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 20.0%, cap $5.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGM?
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Per ALGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27, CIK 0000866291), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. generated $890.1M in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$14.7M in net income, and $124.9M in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $286.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.40 (+0.77%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 14% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$75 Bull$31 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE ALGM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALGM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALGM SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.99 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14% FCF Margin ($124.9M FCF) & 46.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$32.22+7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$34.51+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$35.37-9.1% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$32.15-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALGM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALGM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.82) and Max Pain ($33.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALGM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALGM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ALGM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $32.15: 311.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $24.52
$7,627
$-2,373 (-23.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $31.43
$9,776
$-224 (-2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $75.36
$23,440
+$13,440 (+134.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$7169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$2858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALGM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALGM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ALGM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $33.03H $33.03L $30.53C $32.15VOL 5.00M
RES: $35.46SUP: $29.75SMA50: $34.82SMA200: $40.83
$74.69$62.58$50.47$38.35$26.24RES $35.46SUP $29.75$32.152026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALGM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALGM Butterfly Map → + Track ALGM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALGM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALGM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALGM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALGM)

Technology Rank #301 of 714 ⚔️ AAOI vs ALGM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ALGM vs. AAOI, CRUS, MXL, FORM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) ranks #301 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #198 by equity capitalization ($5.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRUS leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while CRUS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.0% ROIC and 52.8% gross margin. CRUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ALGM at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALGM ACTIVE
Allegro MicroSystems Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 46.3% 1.3% +5.31% $5.69B Benchmark Subject
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics Inc.
E 33/100 — 30.0% -8.0% -9.49% $5.86B /aaoi-vs-algm →
CRUS
Cirrus Logic Inc.
C+ 69/100 13.8x 52.8% 20.0% +1.51% $5.50B /crus-vs-algm →
MXL
MaxLinear Inc.
C- 59/100 — 56.8% -19.2% -9.10% $6.14B /mxl-vs-algm →
FORM
FormFactor Inc. FormFactor Inc.
D 48/100 140.1x 39.3% 4.8% -0.26% $6.84B /form-vs-algm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-27 • CIK 0000866291

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) reported GAAP revenue of $890.1M (+22.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $725.0M , and -15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.7M, operating cash flow of $163.1M, and free cash flow of $124.9M (+468.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALGM closed FY2025 with $1.42B in total assets against $286.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.99, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-27 $890.1M -$14.7M $163.1M $124.9M $1.42B $286.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-28 $725.0M -$72.8M $61.9M $22.0M $1.44B $374.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-29 $1.05B $152.9M $181.7M $134.5M $3.39B $792.4M

3. ALGM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALGM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (NASDAQ: ALGM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $32.15 (+5.31% 1D, market cap $5.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ALGM ranks #301 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALGM compare to AAOI and CRUS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ALGM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.3%, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.0%, cap $5.86B) and CRUS (Cirrus Logic Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 20.0%, cap $5.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRUS leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while CRUS leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALGM?

Per ALGM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-27, CIK 0000866291), Allegro MicroSystems Inc. generated $890.1M in revenue (+22.8% YoY), -$14.7M in net income, and $124.9M in free cash flow against $1.42B in total assets and $286.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALGM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALGM last traded at $32.15 (+5.31% on volume of 3,564,706 shares), positioning the stock -7.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.82) and -21.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.83). Across its 52-week range of $22.41 to $71.77, ALGM sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.13 to $36.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALGM RQD Cockpit ALGM 12M Forecast ALGM Earnings & Move ALGM Dividends & DRIP ALGM Insiders & 13F ALGM Whale Options ALGM Profit Sankey ALGM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALGM — Allegro MicroSystems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:21Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ALGM carries an RQD Score of 55 and a letter grade of D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 1.3%; FCF yield 2.03%); Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 1.13; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 8.99; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.3).

The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates low financial-distress signaling and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.3. The weakest pillars are macro regime fit and institutional flow, which suggest limited support from both sector sensitivity and whale positioning in the current source data. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance-sheet strength and the FCF yield being positive, while the valuation tradeoff is that ROIC of 1.3% and an EV/EBITDA of 95 leave little margin for error if cash generation does not improve. The score does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell; it summarizes how the source data scores across these dimensions.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry. The source data reports revenue, gross margin of 46.3%, operating margin of 2.1%, and net margin of -1.6%, but does not detail how these are generated or to whom sales are made.

Revenue rose from $725.0M in FY 2024 to $890.1M in FY 2025 while operating income moved from -$19.8M to $18.5M, and debt declined from $792.4M in FY 2023 to $286.2M in FY 2025. ROIC is 1.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 8.99, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Net margin of -1.6% and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M indicate the company remained unprofitable at the net level despite positive operating income. The balance sheet is characterized by a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.3 .

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 8.99, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, and FY 2025 operating income turned positive at $18.5M alongside $124.9M in FCF. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 1.3%, FCF yield 2.03%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $22.41 – $71.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of 1.3%, an EV/EBITDA of 95, a beta of 1.13, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M leave the stock with weak cash returns, low macro-regime fit, and little valuation cushion. Investors must weigh current valuation and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 2.1% operating margins and a 1.13 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), ALGM carries a macro regime beta of 1.13 and gross margin of 46.3%.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the change in net income from $152.9M in FY 2023 to -$72.8M in FY 2024 and -$14.7M in FY 2025?
  • Key Question #2: Why is the trailing P/E unavailable while EPS TTM is -0.08, and how does the Forward P/E of 18 reconcile with the EV/EBITDA of 95?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALGM's 46.3% gross margin and 18.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13)?

ALGM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allegro MicroSystems Inc. (ALGM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALGM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALGM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALGM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALGM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.33 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 8.99, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, and FY 2025 operating i

Don't sleep on ALGM's setup in Technology. The forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 8.99, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, and FY 2025 operating income turned positive at $18.5M alongside $124.9M in FCF.. Beta of 1.13 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (53/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $30.53 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.42 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $30.53

ROIC of 1.3%, an EV/EBITDA of 95, a beta of 1.13, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M leave the stock with weak cash returns, low macro-r

Fading this rally in ALGM at $30.53. ROIC of 1.3%, an EV/EBITDA of 95, a beta of 1.13, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.7M leave the stock with weak cash returns, low macro-regime fit, and little valuation cushion.. With a beta of 1.13 and the stock sitting at $30.53 (52-wk range $22.41–$71.77), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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