Stock Ratings / Financials / ALL / insiders

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Allstate Corporation (ALL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$259.87 +1.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.21

Allstate Corporation (ALL) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $64.71B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ALL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $259.87 (+1.54% 1D, market cap $64.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ALL ranks #10 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALL compare to TRV and AIG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), ALL carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 18.2%. By comparison, TRV (The Travelers Companies Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $81.62B) and AIG (American International Group Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $42.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALL leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while HIG leads on capital efficiency (28.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALL?

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Per ALL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000899051), Allstate Corporation generated $67.69B in revenue (+5.6% YoY), $10.16B in net income, and $9.88B in free cash flow against $119.76B in total assets and $40.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.22 (+0.52%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 14.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ALL SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.7% operating margin leave 6 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$236.40+5.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$249.91+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$251.71+3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$259.87+7.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ALL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, ALL faces multiple-compression risk if 6.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($245.35) or 200D SMA ($228.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($283.26) toward Bear Floor ($213.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ALL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ALL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ALL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ALL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ALL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ALL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $250.2H $259.9L $250.2C $259.9VOL 1.22M

RES: $262.4SUP: $213.4SMA50: $245.4SMA200: $229.0

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ALL Butterfly Map → + Track ALL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALL)

Financials Rank #10 of 1096 ⚔️ TRV vs ALL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ALL vs. TRV, AIG, ACGL, HIG)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allstate Corporation (ALL) ranks #10 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #57 by equity capitalization ($64.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALL leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while HIG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ALL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ALL ACTIVE Allstate Corporation	B+	78/100	6.4x	—	18.2%	+1.54%	$64.71B	Benchmark Subject
TRV The Travelers Companies Inc.	B+	77/100	13.0x	—	9.7%	-0.51%	$81.62B	/trv-vs-all →
AIG American International Group Inc.	C+	68/100	13.8x	—	4.1%	+0.56%	$42.58B	/aig-vs-all →
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd.	B+	78/100	8.1x	—	9.2%	+2.33%	$35.47B	/acgl-vs-all →
HIG The Hartford Insurance Group Inc.	B-	70/100	9.2x	—	28.4%	+0.40%	$35.31B	/hig-vs-all →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000899051

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allstate Corporation (ALL) reported GAAP revenue of $67.69B (+5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $64.11B , and +18.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.16B, operating cash flow of $10.11B, and free cash flow of $9.88B (+13.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALL closed FY2025 with $119.76B in total assets against $40.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$67.69B	$10.16B	$10.11B	$9.88B	$119.76B	$40.13B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$64.11B	$4.55B	$8.93B	$8.72B	$111.62B	$40.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$57.09B	-$316.0M	$4.23B	$1.66B	$68.51B	$16.03B

3. ALL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ALL compare to TRV and AIG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALL?

Where is ALL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALL last traded at $259.87 (+1.54% on volume of 1,515,654 shares), positioning the stock +5.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($245.35) and +13.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($228.96). Across its 52-week range of $188.15 to $277.22, ALL sits at the 80.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($248.44 to $271.30).

ALL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ALL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ALL leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: ALL RQD Cockpit ALL 12M Forecast ALL Earnings & Move ALL Dividends & DRIP ALL Insiders & 13F ALL Whale Options ALL Profit Sankey ALL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALL — Allstate Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Allstate Corporation (ALL) scores 78 out of 100, graded B+, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 18.2% and an FCF yield of 15.27%. For an investor, these are the strongest quantitative support in the rating, suggesting the business converts capital into cash efficiently relative to its market value.
Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not itemize the underlying 13F filings, so the score is an aggregate signal rather than a verifiable holder-by-holder picture.
Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar, driven by SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A high score here indicates insider and congressional activity skewed toward buying in the rating's methodology; the individual transactions are not provided in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.91 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved less than the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower volatility, though it does not guarantee lower drawdowns.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These point to a financially sound profile by conventional standards, with one caveat: the source data does not disclose the full capital structure behind the debt figure.

Valuation tradeoff. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 6.4 and a forward P/E of 6, with EV/EBITDA of 7. Low multiples like these can represent upside if earnings hold, but they can also reflect market skepticism about earnings durability, cyclicality in property-casualty insurance, or catastrophe exposure. The source data does not resolve which interpretation the market is pricing.

Upside drivers and watch items. The rating's strength rests on cash generation, insider flow, and valuation. The rating is weakest on the balance sheet and macro fit pillars relative to the others. A prospective investor would want to monitor whether FY 2025's earnings improvement persists, given the sharp swing from the prior-year net loss shown in the financials.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$255.92	$64.71B	6.4	6	7	40.2	1.6%	0.91	$188.15 - $277.22	18.2%

Business

Per the profile, Allstate Corporation (ALL) is a NYSE-listed company in the Financials sector, operating within the Property-Casualty Insurers industry. Per the market data, its market capitalization is $64.7B. Per the market data, the company reports operating margin of 18.3% and net margin of 15%. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or distribution channels, so the business model beyond sector and industry classification is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$67685.0M	$11994.7M	$10165.0M	N/A	$9882.0M	N/A	$40126.1M
FY 2024	$64106.0M	$5369.0M	$4550.0M	N/A	$8721.0M	N/A	$40612.5M
FY 2023	$57094.0M	$-372.9M	$-316.0M	N/A	$1658.8M	N/A	$16032.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $57094.0M in FY 2023 to $67685.0M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-316.0M to $10165.0M over the same span. Per the market data, ROIC is 18.2% and net margin is 15%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the SEC financials, reported debt was $40126.1M in FY 2025 compared with $16032.0M in FY 2023. Cash balances are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news feed, six items relate to ALL:

CATALYST (GREEN): A Yahoo Finance report, "Allstate (ALL) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know," covers market action and institutional positioning.
MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance report, "The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It," covers market action.
MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A TradingView comparison, "Berkshire Hathaway vs. Allstate: Which Insurance Stock Has an Edge?"
RISK WATCH (RED): A Stock Titan report states that an executive converted 2,371 stock units, with 4,744 remaining for conversion in 2027 and 2028.
MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A MarketBeat report, "The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) Stock Rated 'Hold' by Sell-Side Brokerages."
MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A TradingView estimates page, "Allstate Corporation (The) Estimates – NYSE:ALL."

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The news summaries are generic and do not describe specific business developments beyond the headlines above.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped for ALL. The graph lists the supply chain as NONE. Consequently, specific upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. A prospective investor should note that the rating's signal breadth is limited by this absence of mapped links.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data is not available in source data. Holder data is not available in source data. The news feed references a MarketBeat report describing a "Hold" rating from sell-side brokerages, but the consensus breakdown and price targets are not provided in the source data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillars reflect institutional and insider activity, but individual SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional trades are not itemized in the source data.

Open Questions

What is the composition of the reported debt increase from $16032.0M in FY 2023 to $40126.1M in FY 2025, and what are the associated terms?
Cash balances are not available in source data for any period; what is the company's liquidity position?
What drove the swing from a net loss in FY 2023 to net income of $10165.0M in FY 2025, and how much of it is recurring?
Who are the specific insiders and institutions behind the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow scores, and what are the transaction sizes and dates?
What is the sell-side consensus price target, and how does the current $255.92 price compare?

ALL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allstate Corporation (ALL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Allstate (ALL) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know

Yahoo Finance report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Yahoo Finance report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 14h ago

Berkshire Hathaway vs. Allstate: Which Insurance Stock Has an Edge?

TradingView report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 17h ago

Allstate (ALL) executive converts 2,371 stock units; 4,744 remain for conversion in 2027 and 2028.

Stock Titan report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 20h ago

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) Stock Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

Allstate Corporation (The) Estimates – NYSE:ALL

TradingView report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

What to Expect From Allstate Corporation's Next Quarterly Earnings Report

Yahoo Finance report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

The Allstate Corporation $ALL Stock Acquired by State of Alaska Department of Revenue

MarketBeat report covering Allstate Corporation (ALL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $259.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $301.99 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALL (B+ • RQD 78/100) a Buy at $255.92?

Welcome to the ALL (Allstate Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Property-Casualty Insurers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $204.74 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $255.92

Pump the brakes on ALL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALL, but look at what you are paying: 6.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Allstate Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $327.58 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $255.92

ALL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Property-Casualty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $255.92 (52-wk range $188.15 - $277.22), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.