Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.87 -2.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86

Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $14.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $14.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #828 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALLR compare to BFRI and OPTH in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BFRI (Biofrontera Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M) and OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $14.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?
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Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86 (-0.59%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ALLR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALLR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ALLR SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$0.86+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$0.87+5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$0.92-5.4% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$0.87-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALLR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ALLR currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.09) and Max Pain ($0.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALLR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ALLR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ALLR Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ALLR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ALLR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALLR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ALLR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ALLR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.40%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.95H $0.95L $0.87C $0.87VOL 150.1K
RES: $1.27SUP: $0.76SMA50: $1.09SMA200: $1.22
$1.91$1.61$1.31$1.01$0.71RES $1.27SUP $0.76$0.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALLR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALLR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALLR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALLR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALLR)

Health Care Rank #828 of 1016 ⚔️ BFRI vs ALLR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ALLR vs. BFRI, OPTH, DARE, CTXR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) ranks #828 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #861 by equity capitalization ($14.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALLR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALLR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OPTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with ALLR at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALLR ACTIVE
Allarity Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -2.20% $14.2M Benchmark Subject
BFRI
Biofrontera Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -6.29% $13.8M /bfri-vs-allr →
OPTH
Optimi Health Corp.
D 47/100 — — — -7.31% $14.9M /opth-vs-allr →
DARE
Dare Bioscience Inc.
D- 36/100 — 71.3% -35.0% +2.66% $13.4M /dare-vs-allr →
CTXR
Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -7.10% $15.5M /ctxr-vs-allr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001860657

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$11.2M, operating cash flow of -$14.8M, and free cash flow of -$14.8M (+16.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALLR closed FY2025 with $18.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$11.2M -$14.8M -$14.8M $18.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$24.5M -$17.4M -$17.6M $22.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$11.9M -$12.7M -$12.7M — —

3. ALLR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALLR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ALLR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $0.87 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $14.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ALLR ranks #828 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALLR compare to BFRI and OPTH in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ALLR carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BFRI (Biofrontera Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.8M) and OPTH (Optimi Health Corp.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $14.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALLR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALLR leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALLR?

Per ALLR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001860657), Allarity Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$11.2M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $18.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALLR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALLR last traded at $0.87 (-2.20% on volume of 179,453 shares), positioning the stock -20.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.09) and -28.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.77 to $1.84, ALLR sits at the 9.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.98).

ALLR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are ALLR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ALLR leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ALLR — Allarity Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ALLR scores 31 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 4 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%; for a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to support valuation. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 3 out of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), suggesting weak institutional support in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 out of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating limited insider-side confirmation. The macro regime fit pillar scores 9 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 out of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Taken together, the pillars point to deteriorating cash generation, weak ownership signals, and a constrained balance-sheet profile. Upside drivers in this framework are limited to the stock's depressed price and any future operational turnaround, which the source data does not establish; valuation multiples such as P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, so relative valuation cannot be assessed.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-12.6M$-11.2MN/A$-14.8M$14.7MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-27.2M$-24.5MN/A$-17.6M$19.5MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-17.1M$-11.9MN/A$-12.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in all three periods and free cash flow outflows in each. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash declined from $19.5M to $14.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, recent items include: a Tumim stock purchase agreement ending ($6 million agreement, per headline); coverage describing resale coverage surviving the termination; and a first commercial CLIA laboratory services agreement described as a potential path to recurring revenue. Several items carry a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label. Risk watch items include the termination of the Tumim agreement and the company's zero reported revenue. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the only sector context provided is the Health Care classification and a beta of 1.0.

Open Questions

  • What specific products or services, and which customers, generate the CLIA laboratory services revenue referenced in the news wire?
  • What are the terms and amounts of the Tumim agreement, and what were the reasons for its termination?
  • Where does the company's cash runway stand given cash of $14.7M against FY 2025 free cash flow of $-14.8M?
  • What are the reported debt figures, which are shown as N/A across all periods?
  • Which institutions or insiders hold ALLR shares, given that holder data is unavailable?

ALLR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Allarity Therapeutics Inc. (ALLR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ALLR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALLR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALLR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALLR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.78 (-12.4%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ALLR (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $0.89?

Welcome to the ALLR (Allarity Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-20.2%)
Spot @ $0.89

Pump the brakes on ALLR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ALLR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Allarity Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.14 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $0.89

ALLR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ALLR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.89 (52-wk range $0.77 - $1.84), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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