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CHPT (37) SERV (32) ULBI (56) ELVA (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.44 +0.81% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.44

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $241.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ALTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALTG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $7.44 (+0.81% 1D, market cap $241.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ALTG ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ALTG compare to CHPT and SERV in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALTG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $256.2M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $225.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALTG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALTG?
β–Ό

Per ALTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759824), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.84B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $484.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.44 (-0.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510051
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$9 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ALTG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ALTG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ALTG SCORES 51/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±10.8% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$6.57-7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$6.06+11.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$6.78+9.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$7.44-1.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D (51)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ALTG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ALTG currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.26) and Max Pain ($7.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.12.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ALTGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œALTG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ALTG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ALTG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ALTG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ALTG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ALTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.12%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $7.60H $7.60L $7.38C $7.44VOL 149.8K
RES: $7.60SUP: $5.92SMA50: $6.26SMA200: $6.53
$8.95$7.88$6.80$5.73$4.66RES $7.60SUP $5.92$7.442026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ALTG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ALTG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ALTG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ALTG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ALTG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ALTG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ALTG)

Industrials Rank #216 of 486 βš”οΈ CHPT vs ALTG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ALTG vs. CHPT, SERV, ULBI, ELVA)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) ranks #216 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #342 by equity capitalization ($241.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALTG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.0% ROIC and 25.9% gross margin. ULBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with ALTG at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ALTG ACTIVE
Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” 25.9% 4.0% +0.81% $241.1M Benchmark Subject
CHPT
ChargePoint Holdings Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” 30.5% -35.0% +3.56% $256.2M /chpt-vs-altg β†’
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
E 32/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -3.46% $225.4M /serv-vs-altg β†’
ULBI
Ultralife Corporation
D+ 56/100 β€” 24.1% -2.8% 0.00% $260.3M /ulbi-vs-altg β†’
ELVA
Electrovaya Inc.
D 44/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.19% $264.0M /elva-vs-altg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001759824 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.88B , and -2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$80.3M, operating cash flow of $33.0M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (-42.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ALTG closed FY2025 with $1.34B in total assets against $484.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.84B -$80.3M $33.0M $23.8M $1.34B $484.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.88B -$62.1M $57.0M $41.6M $1.48B $480.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.88B $8.9M $58.4M $58.4M β€” β€”

3. ALTG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ALTG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: ALTG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $7.44 (+0.81% 1D, market cap $241.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ALTG ranks #216 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ALTG compare to CHPT and SERV in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ALTG carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.9%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, CHPT (ChargePoint Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $256.2M) and SERV (Serve Robotics Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $225.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALTG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALTG leads on capital efficiency (4.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ALTG?

Per ALTG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759824), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.84B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), -$80.3M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $484.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ALTG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ALTG last traded at $7.44 (+0.81% on volume of 169,996 shares), positioning the stock +18.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.26) and +13.94% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.53). Across its 52-week range of $4.16 to $8.69, ALTG sits at the 72.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.8% ($6.64 to $8.24).

Direct Sub-Reports: ALTG RQD Cockpit ALTG 12M Forecast ALTG Earnings & Move ALTG Dividends & DRIP ALTG Insiders & 13F ALTG Whale Options ALTG Profit Sankey ALTG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 51/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ALTG β€” Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 51/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.44 (+0.81% 1D, market capitalization $241.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.0%, gross margin of 25.9%, operating margin of 1.3%, and free cash flow yield of 9.59%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.49, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. FY 2025 revenue was $1.84B, indicating a sizable operating base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) reported $1.84B in annual revenue (up from $1.88B in FY2024, -2.2% YoY) and -$80.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.88B revenue, $8.9M net income) through FY2025, ALTG scaled operating cash flow to $33.0M and free cash flow to $23.8M, backed by $1.34B in total assets against $484.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 51/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 9.59% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.16 – $8.69 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 23.0x EV/EBITDA against 1.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can ALTG sustain or expand its 1.3% operating margin and 4.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.84B and free cash flow of $23.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $484.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ALTG's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ALTG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A) (ALTG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ALTG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ALTG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.44?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ALTG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ALTG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Price Action & Volume Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.15 (+24.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 9.59% FCF yield and institutional accumulation signals (14/20 whale pillar) offer cash-flow upside if margins recover.

Here is why I am bullish on ALTG here at $7.38: A 9.59% FCF yield and institutional accumulation signals (14/20 whale pillar) offer cash-flow upside if margins recover.. Compare ALTG's 1.3% operating margin and 4.0% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $7.01 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 51/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $7.38 and keeping dry powder in case we test $6.86.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.13 (-16.9%)
Spot @ $7.38

Negative net margin (-4.4%), a 1.49 Altman Z-Score, and 23x EV/EBITDA leave the stock with weak profitability against elevated balance-

I respect the product at Alta Equipment Group Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $7.38 is a different story. Negative net margin (-4.4%), a 1.49 Altman Z-Score, and 23x EV/EBITDA leave the stock with weak profitability against elevated balance-sheet risk.. FCF yield is 9.59% and RQD sits at 51/100 (D) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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