Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$390.09 -7.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $384.09

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $334.63B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $390.09 (-7.49% 1D, market cap $334.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMAT ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMAT compare to TXN and ARM in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMAT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.8x, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of 24.5%. By comparison, TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 57.2x, ROIC 17.9%, cap $285.96B) and ARM (Arm Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $243.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMAT leads on earnings multiple (47.8x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMAT?
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Per AMAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-26, CIK 0000006951), Applied Materials Inc. generated $28.37B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $7.00B in net income, and $5.70B in free cash flow against $37.64B in total assets and $6.45B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $384.08 (-1.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 20.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (16)Whales (11)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$777 Bull$406 Base$317 Bear
📬 FREE AMAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMAT SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.63 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.1% FCF Margin ($5.70B FCF) & 48.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.1) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$464.24-12.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$404.98-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$395.93-1.5% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$390.09+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMAT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, AMAT faces multiple-compression risk if 47.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($455.00) or 200D SMA ($445.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($405.89) toward Bear Floor ($316.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMAT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMAT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
16.63>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE35% OF RANGE
L: $203$390.09H: $740
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (49% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on AMAT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

24.5% ROIC with 48.7% gross margin and 1.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 16.63 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMAT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 48x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (AMAT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AMAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $416.0H $421.7L $390.1C $390.1VOL 6.70M
RES: $536.9SUP: $365.5SMA50: $455.0SMA200: $445.5
$772.5$636.4$500.3$364.2$228.1RES $536.9SUP $365.5$390.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
35.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
AMAT → TSM Confirmed Filing
Applied Materials supplies epitaxial deposition, PVD/CVD, CMP planarization, and backside power delivery tools as TSMC transitions from FinFET (N3) to Gate-All-Around nanosheet (N2).
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMAT)

Technology Rank #132 of 714 ⚔️ TXN vs AMAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AMAT vs. TXN, ARM, INTC, ADI)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #15 by equity capitalization ($334.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMAT leads on earnings valuation at 47.8x trailing P/E, while AMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and 48.7% gross margin. TXN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with AMAT at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMAT ACTIVE
Applied Materials Inc.
C+ 67/100 47.8x 48.7% 24.5% -7.49% $334.63B Benchmark Subject
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
B+ 79/100 57.2x 57.0% 17.9% -3.40% $285.96B /txn-vs-amat →
ARM
Arm Holdings plc
D+ 58/100 — 96.0% 3.7% -9.97% $243.42B /arm-vs-amat →
INTC
Intel Corporation
D- 42/100 — 34.8% -1.2% -28.58% $486.60B /intc-vs-amat →
ADI
Analog Devices Inc.
B- 71/100 92.6x 61.5% 6.1% -3.73% $209.95B /adi-vs-amat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-26 • CIK 0000006951

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-26), Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) reported GAAP revenue of $28.37B (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $27.18B , and +7.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.00B, operating cash flow of $7.96B, and free cash flow of $5.70B (-23.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMAT closed FY2025 with $37.64B in total assets against $6.45B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.63, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-26 $28.37B $7.00B $7.96B $5.70B $37.64B $6.45B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-27 $27.18B $7.18B $8.68B $7.49B $33.34B $5.46B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-29 $26.52B $6.86B $8.70B $7.51B $184.05B $43.07B

3. AMAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $390.09 (-7.49% 1D, market cap $334.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, AMAT ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMAT compare to TXN and ARM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), AMAT carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.8x, gross margin of 48.7%, and ROIC of 24.5%. By comparison, TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 57.2x, ROIC 17.9%, cap $285.96B) and ARM (Arm Holdings plc) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $243.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMAT leads on earnings multiple (47.8x) while AMAT leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMAT?

Per AMAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-26, CIK 0000006951), Applied Materials Inc. generated $28.37B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $7.00B in net income, and $5.70B in free cash flow against $37.64B in total assets and $6.45B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMAT last traded at $390.09 (-7.49% on volume of 10,283,492 shares), positioning the stock -14.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($455.00) and -12.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($445.49). Across its 52-week range of $203.40 to $739.67, AMAT sits at the 34.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($360.05 to $420.13).

AMAT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMAT stock right now?

Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 49% profit margin (25% return on capital), mixed timing at 48x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is AMAT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMAT's 12-month base price target is $405.89 (range $316.59 to $776.65), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AMAT — Applied Materials Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AMAT scores 67 out of 100, earning a C+ and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20 (ROIC 24.5%; FCF yield 1.7%); Whale 13F Flow 11/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 10/20 (Beta 1.29; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 16.63; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.3). The strongest pillar is forensic balance-sheet quality, which indicates low financial-distress risk per the source metrics. The weakest pillar is macro regime fit, reflecting the above-market beta of 1.29, which implies the stock may amplify broader market moves. The fundamental pillar is solid on returns but the 1.7% FCF yield, set against a P/E (TTM) of 47.8 per the market data, signals that the valuation already embeds substantial expected growth, leaving less margin for error. The verdict label itself frames the stock as neutral with breakout potential rather than a clear accumulation signal. This is an analytical framing of the source data, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
421.66$334.63B47.844.532.78.820.41%1.29$203.4 - $739.6724.5%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$28368.0M$8289.0M$6998.0MN/A$5698.0M$7218.0M$6453.0M
FY 2024$27176.0M$7867.0M$7177.0MN/A$7487.0M$6264.0M$5461.0M
FY 2023$26517.0M$7654.0M$6856.0MN/A$7506.7MN/A$43066.7M

Per the market data, gross margin is 48.7%, operating margin 29.2%, and net margin 24.7%, with ROIC at 24.5%. Per the forensic pillar in the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 16.63 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.3. Reported revenue and net income rose from FY2023 to FY2025 while FCF declined from FY2024 to FY2025. FY2023 debt of $43066.7M differs sharply from the later periods and the source does not explain the difference.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six headlines reference AMAT, including coverage on market action, a reported $5 billion R&D center, and a same-day share decline. Headline sources include Yahoo Finance, Trefis, RealMoney Pro, Barchart.com, and The Motley Fool. One item is flagged as a CATALYST, while the others are flagged as MARKET WIRE. The source does not provide the body text of these articles, so specific claims within them cannot be verified here. Per the Butterfly graph, the next catalyst identified is "Applied Materials Semiconductor Systems Foundry/Logic Bookings & TSMC N2 Ramp Update." Risk watch items per the graph include BIS export-control restrictions on Chinese mature-node fab sales and the competing explanation of wafer fab reuse or export-license revocations. No proprietary signals are listed.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY2023 debt figure of $43066.7M, and why is cash not reported for that year?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all three periods when TTM EPS is listed as 8.82?
  • Why did FCF decline from $7487.0M in FY2024 to $5698.0M in FY2025 while net income declined less sharply?
  • What do the institutional and insider flow data specifically show, given the RQD pillar scores but no holder detail?
  • What is the body content of the recent news items, and does the same-day share decline noted in the headlines reflect a company-specific event?

AMAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $390.09?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMAT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMAT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $455.39 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AMAT (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $421.66?

Welcome to the AMAT (Applied Materials Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $337.33 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $421.66

Pump the brakes on AMAT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AMAT, but look at what you are paying: 47.8x trailing P/E with 48.7% gross margins. Unless Applied Materials Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $497.56 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $421.66

AMAT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AMAT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $421.66 (52-wk range $203.40 - $739.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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