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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AMCR / news
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Why AMCR Stock surged +3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$49.02 +3.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.23

Amcor plc (AMCR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.91B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Amcor plc (NYSE: AMCR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $49.02 (+3.44% 1D, market cap $21.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMCR ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMCR compare to BRC and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), AMCR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.6x, gross margin of 18.9%, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, BRC (Brady Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $3.88B) and ODC (Oil-Dri Corporation Of America) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $1.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMCR?
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Per AMCR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748790), Amcor plc generated $15.01B in revenue (+49.0% YoY), $511.0M in net income, and $714.6M in free cash flow against $37.05B in total assets and $11.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.23 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (16)SEC (9)Macro (11)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$58 Bull$49 Base$38 Bear
📬 FREE AMCR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMCR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AMCR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6.7% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$42.28+7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$45.27+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$45.66+7.4% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$49.02+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AMCR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AMCR faces multiple-compression risk if 42.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.98) or 200D SMA ($43.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($49.02) toward Bear Floor ($38.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMCR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AMCR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why AMCR Stock surged +3.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Amcor plc (AMCR) surged +3.44% to $49.02, trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($36.25 – $50.94). Stretched risk/reward at 43x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 87% of its 52-week range ($36.25 – $50.94) with RSI-14 at 72 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $49.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 18.9% gross margin and $714.6M annual free cash flow.
Live AMCR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMCR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AMCR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AMCR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $47.13H $49.02L $47.13C $49.02VOL 4.55M
RES: $54.09SUP: $40.60SMA50: $43.98SMA200: $43.06
$49.91$46.21$42.51$38.80$35.10RES $54.09SUP $40.60$49.022026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMCR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMCR Butterfly Map → + Track AMCR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +49.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMCR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMCR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMCR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMCR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #358 of 1009 ⚔️ BRC vs AMCR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AMCR vs. BRC, ODC, DAKT, TOYO)

Industry: Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amcor plc (AMCR) ranks #358 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #92 by equity capitalization ($21.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOYO leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while TOYO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.9% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. ODC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with AMCR at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMCR ACTIVE
Amcor plc
D+ 58/100 42.6x 18.9% 3.8% +3.44% $21.91B Benchmark Subject
BRC
Brady Corporation
D+ 58/100 20.6x 50.3% 16.4% +2.73% $3.88B /brc-vs-amcr →
ODC
Oil-Dri Corporation Of America
C+ 66/100 19.6x 29.5% 23.9% -2.56% $1.03B /odc-vs-amcr →
DAKT
Daktronics Inc.
C- 60/100 21.0x 27.3% 30.2% +1.38% $907.0M /dakt-vs-amcr →
TOYO
TOYO Co. Ltd
C- 61/100 5.1x 22.5% 41.9% +4.19% $193.5M /toyo-vs-amcr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001748790 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Amcor plc (AMCR) reported GAAP revenue of $15.01B (+49.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.07B , and +44.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $511.0M, operating cash flow of $1.39B, and free cash flow of $714.6M (-22.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMCR closed FY2025 with $37.05B in total assets against $11.43B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.09, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $15.01B $511.0M $1.39B $714.6M $37.05B $11.43B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $10.07B $516.0M $1.41B $921.0M $16.16B $5.57B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $10.41B $609.0M $1.61B $1.15B $12.49B $2.92B

3. AMCR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amcor plc (NYSE: AMCR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $49.02 (+3.44% 1D, market cap $21.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AMCR ranks #358 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMCR compare to BRC and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), AMCR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.6x, gross margin of 18.9%, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, BRC (Brady Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $3.88B) and ODC (Oil-Dri Corporation Of America) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $1.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMCR?

Per AMCR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001748790), Amcor plc generated $15.01B in revenue (+49.0% YoY), $511.0M in net income, and $714.6M in free cash flow against $37.05B in total assets and $11.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMCR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMCR last traded at $49.02 (+3.44% on volume of 3,627,590 shares), positioning the stock +11.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($43.98) and +13.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.06). Across its 52-week range of $36.25 to $50.94, AMCR sits at the 86.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($46.81 to $51.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: AMCR RQD Cockpit AMCR 12M Forecast AMCR Earnings & Move AMCR Dividends & DRIP AMCR Insiders & 13F AMCR Whale Options AMCR Profit Sankey AMCR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMCR — Amcor plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amcor plc (AMCR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $49.02 (+3.44% 1D, market capitalization $21.91B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.8%, gross margin of 18.9%, operating margin of 6.7%, and free cash flow yield of 3.28%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.09, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.92x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Amcor plc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Miscellaneous manufacturing industries industry. — for product lines, customer segments, or revenue model detail. The profile section reports a market capitalization of $21.8B. Gross margin is 18.9% per the market data, operating margin 6.7%, and net margin 3.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Amcor plc (AMCR) reported $15.01B in annual revenue (up from $10.07B in FY2024, +49.0% YoY) and $511.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.41B revenue, $609.0M net income) through FY2025, AMCR scaled operating cash flow to $1.39B and free cash flow to $714.6M, backed by $37.05B in total assets against $11.43B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $36.25 – $50.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 42.6x trailing P/E and 19.8x EV/EBITDA against 6.7% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation beyond the Consumer Discretionary and Miscellaneous manufacturing classifications.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMCR sustain or expand its 6.7% operating margin and 3.8% ROIC against Miscellaneous manufacturing industries peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.01B and free cash flow of $714.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $11.43B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMCR's 35.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?

AMCR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amcor plc (AMCR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AMCR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMCR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $49.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMCR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMCR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $56.87 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and insider/congressional cluster flow score 16/20 and 14/20 in the RQD rating, signaling constructive posit

Long AMCR at $47.39 targeting $56.87. Institutional accumulation and insider/congressional cluster flow score 16/20 and 14/20 in the RQD rating, signaling constructive positioning despite weak fundamentals.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $36.25 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $47.39 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.33 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $47.39

A 42.6 trailing P/E against 3.8% ROIC and a 1.09 Altman Z-Score leaves the valuation resting on expectations the reported cash returns

Fading this rally in AMCR at $47.39. A 42.6 trailing P/E against 3.8% ROIC and a 1.09 Altman Z-Score leaves the valuation resting on expectations the reported cash returns do not yet support.. With a beta of 0.97 and the stock sitting at $47.39 (52-wk range $36.25–$50.94), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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