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ANNA (50) MINE (45) EPM (48) SJT (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.76 -2.08% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.74

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $159.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AMPY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AMPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $3.76 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $159.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMPY ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AMPY compare to ANNA and MINE in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), AMPY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.1x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, ANNA (AleAnna Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $159.3M) and MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $170.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPY?
β–Ό

Per AMPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533924), Amplify Energy Corp. generated $263.4M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $44.0M in net income, and $49.2M in free cash flow against $600.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 AMPY TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY β€’ HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) β€’ TARGET (RES) β€’ WHY

Where to Enter $AMPY, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

πŸ† RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP β€’ $AMPY R/R 2.2 : 1 β€’ RQD 54/100 (D+)
$AMPY
Spot $3.76
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$3.74–$3.78
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$3.56 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$4.00 / $4.19
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $3.56): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $AMPY closes a daily candle below $3.56, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $4.00 / $4.19): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $AMPY sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $AMPY β†’
⚑ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked β€’ Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $AMPY Sheet
#1 β€’ $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 β€’ πŸ”’ LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 β€’ πŸ”’ LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.74 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 18.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510054
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.9% Base Target
$7 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AMPY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AMPY SCORES 54/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 4% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$4.34+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$4.49-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$4.39-14.4% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$3.76-0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ D+ (54)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMPY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AMPY currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.52) and Max Pain ($3.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.13.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAMPY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AMPY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AMPY.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMPY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AMPY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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AMPY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.94%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-04O $4.27H $4.27L $3.76C $3.76VOL 736.0K
RES: $4.47SUP: $4.37🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $4.52SMA200: $4.92
$6.52$5.74$4.96$4.19$3.41RES $4.47SUP $4.37$3.762026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AMPY Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AMPY β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPY)

Energy Rank #117 of 211 βš”οΈ ANNA vs AMPY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AMPY vs. ANNA, MINE, EPM, SJT)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #178 by equity capitalization ($159.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMPY ACTIVE
Amplify Energy Corp.
D+ 54/100 4.1x 93.2% 15.3% -2.08% $159.2M Benchmark Subject
ANNA
AleAnna Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 β€” β€” 8.5% -1.68% $159.3M /anna-vs-ampy β†’
MINE
Mayfair Gold Corp.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -4.90% $170.2M /mine-vs-ampy β†’
EPM
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc.
D 48/100 105.4x 42.5% 5.2% +1.11% $146.7M /epm-vs-ampy β†’
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” +5.47% $145.0M /sjt-vs-ampy β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001533924 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) reported GAAP revenue of $263.4M (-10.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $294.7M , and -14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.0M, operating cash flow of $49.2M, and free cash flow of $49.2M (-4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPY closed FY2025 with $600.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $263.4M $44.0M $49.2M $49.2M $600.9M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $294.7M $12.9M $51.3M $51.3M $747.1M $127.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $307.6M $392.8M $141.6M $141.6M β€” β€”

3. AMPY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $3.76 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $159.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMPY ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPY compare to ANNA and MINE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), AMPY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.1x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 15.3%. By comparison, ANNA (AleAnna Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.5%, cap $159.3M) and MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $170.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPY?

Per AMPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001533924), Amplify Energy Corp. generated $263.4M in revenue (-10.6% YoY), $44.0M in net income, and $49.2M in free cash flow against $600.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPY last traded at $3.76 (-2.08% on volume of 751,229 shares), positioning the stock -16.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.52) and -23.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.92). Across its 52-week range of $3.65 to $6.79, AMPY sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.8% ($3.47 to $4.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: AMPY RQD Cockpit AMPY 12M Forecast AMPY Earnings & Move AMPY Dividends & DRIP AMPY Insiders & 13F AMPY Whale Options AMPY Profit Sankey AMPY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 54/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AMPY β€” Amplify Energy Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 54/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.76 (-2.08% 1D, market capitalization $159.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.3%, gross margin of 93.2%, operating margin of 29.2%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.79, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (AMPY) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 93.2%, an operating margin of 29.2%, and a net margin of 16.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) reported $263.4M in annual revenue (up from $294.7M in FY2024, -10.6% YoY) and $44.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($307.6M revenue, $392.8M net income) through FY2025, AMPY scaled operating cash flow to $49.2M and free cash flow to $49.2M, backed by $600.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 54/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.65 – $6.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 4.1x trailing P/E against 29.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification as Energy / Oil & Gas Production and the Beta of 1.0. β€” for any further ripple analysis.

  • Key Question #1: Can AMPY sustain or expand its 29.2% operating margin and 15.3% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $263.4M and free cash flow of $49.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AMPY's 3.8x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AMPY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AMPY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AMPY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.76?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AMPY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AMPY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.08 (+19.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Trades at a 4.1 TTM P/E and 3.8 forward P/E with a 15.3% ROIC and an F-Score of 8/9.

Don't sleep on AMPY's setup in Energy. Trades at a 4.1 TTM P/E and 3.8 forward P/E with a 15.3% ROIC and an F-Score of 8/9.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (54/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $4.27 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.37 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $4.27

Scores only 5 of 20 on whale 13F flow and 0% FCF yield, with an Altman Z-Score of 1.79.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AMPY above $4.27. Scores only 5 of 20 on whale 13F flow and 0% FCF yield, with an Altman Z-Score of 1.79.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.79.

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