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AutoNation Inc. (AN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$185.90 +3.49% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.71

AutoNation Inc. (AN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $5.94B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $185.90 (+3.49% 1D, market cap $5.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AN ranks #667 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AN compare to LAD and RUSHB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), AN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, LAD (Lithia Motors Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $6.48B) and RUSHB (Rush Enterprises Inc. (Class B)) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 24.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $6.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAD leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while AN leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AN?
β–Ό

Per AN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000350698), AutoNation Inc. generated $27.63B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $649.1M in net income, and -$197.5M in free cash flow against $14.39B in total assets and $3.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $186.72 (+0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (3)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$248 Bull$174 Base$136 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AN SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.20 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.3) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$153.19-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$153.01+7.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$164.18+13.2% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$185.90-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AN currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($175.40) and Max Pain ($195.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $247.60.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ANβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.27%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $169.3H $185.9L $169.3C $185.9VOL 1.25M
RES: $191.4SUP: $141.4SMA50: $175.4SMA200: $193.0
$241.7$217.3$193.0$168.6$144.3RES $191.4SUP $141.4$185.92026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-4.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #667 of 1009 βš”οΈ LAD vs AN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AN vs. LAD, RUSHB, RUSHA, OPLN)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AutoNation Inc. (AN) ranks #667 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #238 by equity capitalization ($5.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while AN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 17.9% gross margin. RUSHB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with AN at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AN ACTIVE
AutoNation Inc.
D 44/100 8.6x 17.9% 18.9% +3.49% $5.94B Benchmark Subject
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc.
D 45/100 7.8x 15.2% 11.1% +3.32% $6.48B /lad-vs-an β†’
RUSHB
Rush Enterprises Inc. (Class B)
B- 71/100 24.9x 20.7% 13.7% +4.29% $6.62B /rushb-vs-an β†’
RUSHA
Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A
C- 61/100 19.1x 20.7% 13.7% +3.47% $5.02B /rusha-vs-an β†’
OPLN
OPENLANE Inc.
C 63/100 26.6x β€” 9.5% +1.51% $4.76B /opln-vs-an β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000350698 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AutoNation Inc. (AN) reported GAAP revenue of $27.63B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $26.77B , and +2.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $649.1M, operating cash flow of $111.9M, and free cash flow of -$197.5M (-1331.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AN closed FY2025 with $14.39B in total assets against $3.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $27.63B $649.1M $111.9M -$197.5M $14.39B $3.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $26.77B $692.2M $314.7M -$13.8M $13.00B $3.04B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $26.95B $1.02B $724.0M -$488.7M $32.34B $7.57B

3. AN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AutoNation Inc. (NYSE: AN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $185.90 (+3.49% 1D, market cap $5.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AN ranks #667 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AN compare to LAD and RUSHB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), AN carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of 17.9%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, LAD (Lithia Motors Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 7.8x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $6.48B) and RUSHB (Rush Enterprises Inc. (Class B)) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 24.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $6.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LAD leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while AN leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AN?

Per AN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000350698), AutoNation Inc. generated $27.63B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $649.1M in net income, and -$197.5M in free cash flow against $14.39B in total assets and $3.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AN last traded at $185.90 (+3.49% on volume of 1,057,951 shares), positioning the stock +5.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($175.40) and -3.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($193.02). Across its 52-week range of $151.82 to $235.81, AN sits at the 40.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.5% ($170.10 to $201.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: AN RQD Cockpit AN 12M Forecast AN Earnings & Move AN Dividends & DRIP AN Insiders & 13F AN Whale Options AN Profit Sankey AN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AN β€” AutoNation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AutoNation Inc. (AN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $185.90 (+3.49% 1D, market capitalization $5.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.9%, gross margin of 17.9%, operating margin of 4.5%, and free cash flow yield of -3.53%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.07x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.24x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

AutoNation Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry. Revenue is reported in the financials section, but the revenue-generation model is not further detailed in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AutoNation Inc. (AN) reported $27.63B in annual revenue (up from $26.77B in FY2024, +3.2% YoY) and $649.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($26.95B revenue, $1.02B net income) through FY2025, AN scaled operating cash flow to $111.9M and free cash flow to -$197.5M, backed by $14.39B in total assets against $3.37B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.53% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $151.82 – $235.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 8.6x trailing P/E and 5.6x EV/EBITDA against 4.5% operating margins and a 1.07x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. Supply chain: NONE.

  • Key Question #1: Can AN sustain or expand its 4.5% operating margin and 18.9% ROIC against Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $27.63B and free cash flow of -$197.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.37B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AN's 8.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.07x)?

AN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AutoNation Inc. (AN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $185.90?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $229.94 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Trades at 8.6x TTM earnings and 18.9% ROIC, indicating cheap earnings relative to capital returns.

Picked up a starter position in AN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $179.64. Trades at 8.6x TTM earnings and 18.9% ROIC, indicating cheap earnings relative to capital returns.. Trading inside a $151.82–$235.81 52-week range with -3.53% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 8.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations. If gross margin (17.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $140.12 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $179.64

Free cash flow was negative in all three reported periods and the Piotroski F-Score is only 2/9.

Careful chasing AN at $179.64. Free cash flow was negative in all three reported periods and the Piotroski F-Score is only 2/9.. Gross margin is 17.9%, but operating margin is 4.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $140.12 on multiple compression.

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