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Why API Stock slipped -1.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$4.33 -1.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31

Agora Inc. (API) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $367.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on API Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is API stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Agora Inc. (NASDAQ: API) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market cap $367.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, API ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does API compare to CRNC and LAW in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), API carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.1x, gross margin of 66.4%, and ROIC of -1.5%. By comparison, CRNC (Cerence Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $365.9M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $340.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, API leads on earnings multiple (39.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for API?
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Per API's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802883), Agora Inc. generated $141.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $9.5M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $721.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.31 (-0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 18.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$6 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE API RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for API)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY API SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.98 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$4.42-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$4.40+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$4.49-3.6% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$4.33-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a API Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While API currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.22) and Max Pain ($4.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $API• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “API Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why API Stock slipped -1.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Agora Inc. (API) slipped -1.37% to $4.33, trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($3.14 – $5.49). Stretched risk/reward at 39x P/E (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 51% of its 52-week range ($3.14 – $5.49) with RSI-14 at 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $4.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 66.4% gross margin and $25.5M annual free cash flow.
Live API Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring API)

  • ✓Walkthrough of API's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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API // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.76%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $4.45H $4.45L $4.33C $4.33VOL 156.7K
RES: $4.53SUP: $4.02SMA50: $4.22SMA200: $4.15
$5.63$5.05$4.48$3.91$3.33RES $4.53SUP $4.02$4.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

API Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 API Butterfly Map → + Track API →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on API today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for API. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for API today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (API)

Technology Rank #308 of 715 ⚔️ CRNC vs API Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (API vs. CRNC, LAW, MTLS, MKTW)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agora Inc. (API) ranks #308 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #432 by equity capitalization ($367.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, API leads on earnings valuation at 39.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with API at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
API ACTIVE
Agora Inc.
D+ 53/100 39.1x 66.4% -1.5% -1.37% $367.8M Benchmark Subject
CRNC
Cerence Inc.
D- 36/100 — 72.7% -0.6% -0.62% $365.9M /crnc-vs-api →
LAW
CS Disco Inc.
D- 35/100 — 74.9% -35.0% -1.72% $340.2M /law-vs-api →
MTLS
Materialise NV
D+ 53/100 — — — +0.56% $424.1M /mtls-vs-api →
MKTW
MarketWise Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 56.1x 86.5% 85.0% +4.30% $313.7M /mktw-vs-api →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001802883 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agora Inc. (API) reported GAAP revenue of $141.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $133.3M , and -0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.5M, operating cash flow of $27.2M, and free cash flow of $25.5M (+253.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, API closed FY2025 with $721.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.98, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $141.1M $9.5M $27.2M $25.5M $721.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $133.3M -$42.7M -$14.1M -$16.7M $699.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $141.5M -$87.2M -$13.6M -$13.6M — —

3. API Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is API stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Agora Inc. (NASDAQ: API) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market cap $367.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, API ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.

How does API compare to CRNC and LAW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), API carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.1x, gross margin of 66.4%, and ROIC of -1.5%. By comparison, CRNC (Cerence Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $365.9M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $340.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, API leads on earnings multiple (39.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for API?

Per API's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802883), Agora Inc. generated $141.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $9.5M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $721.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is API trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

API last traded at $4.33 (-1.37% on volume of 123,362 shares), positioning the stock +2.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.22) and +4.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.15). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $5.49, API sits at the 50.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($4.01 to $4.65).

Direct Sub-Reports: API RQD Cockpit API 12M Forecast API Earnings & Move API Dividends & DRIP API Insiders & 13F API Whale Options API Profit Sankey API News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

API — Agora Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Agora Inc. (API) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.33 (-1.37% 1D, market capitalization $367.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.5%, gross margin of 66.4%, operating margin of -6.7%, and free cash flow yield of 6.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.98, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Agora Inc. (API) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. The company reported revenue of $141.1M for FY 2025. Gross margin is 66.4% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Agora Inc. (API) reported $141.1M in annual revenue (up from $133.3M in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and $9.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($141.5M revenue, -$87.2M net income) through FY2025, API scaled operating cash flow to $27.2M and free cash flow to $25.5M, backed by $721.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.85% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.14 – $5.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 39.1x trailing P/E against -6.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— supply_chain is NONE, and butterfly_links and proprietary_signals are empty, so no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks can be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can API sustain or expand its -6.7% operating margin and -1.5% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $141.1M and free cash flow of $25.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is API's 36.4x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

API Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Agora Inc. (API) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to API Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

API Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON API 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on API:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.58 (+27.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the FCF yield of 6.85% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 of 9 point to a cash-generating, financially disciplin

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the FCF yield of 6.85% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 of 9 point to a cash-generating, financially disciplined balance sheet.. When you look under the hood at API, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 66.4% gross margins and -1.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $5.49. My 12M target is $5.58.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.39 and keeping dry powder in case we test $4.08.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.47 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $4.39

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of -1.5% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.98 show weak returns on capital and distress-range financial heal

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC of -1.5% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.98 show weak returns on capital and distress-range financial health.. Look at the math on API: paying 39.1x trailing P/E for -1.5% ROIC and -6.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $3.86 before getting long.

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