Stock Ratings / Technology / APP / dividends

NBIS (37) BSP (76) ZM (76) BIDU (28) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Applovin Corporation (APP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$228.50 -10.36% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.80

Applovin Corporation (APP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $85.31B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on APP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is APP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Applovin Corporation (NASDAQ: APP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $228.50 (-10.36% 1D, market cap $85.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, APP ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does APP compare to NBIS and BSP in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), APP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.6x, gross margin of 87.9%, and ROIC of 48.1%. By comparison, NBIS (Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.6%, cap $46.76B) and BSP (Bending Spoons S.p.A.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $32.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZM leads on earnings multiple (15.0x) while APP leads on capital efficiency (48.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APP?

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Per APP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001751008), Applovin Corporation generated $5.48B in revenue (+70.0% YoY), $3.33B in net income, and $3.72B in free cash flow against $7.26B in total assets and $3.51B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (88% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.82 (-2.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 68% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for APP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY APP SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 68% FCF Margin ($3.72B FCF) & 87.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 13.48 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$272.28+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$272.46-3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$262.82-13.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$228.50+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the APP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, APP faces multiple-compression risk if 25.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 85.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($292.31) or 200D SMA ($412.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($238.78) toward Bear Floor ($186.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $APP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “APP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.6K

Yr 1

$13.5K

Yr 2

$15.7K

Yr 3

$18.3K

Yr 4

$21.3K

Yr 5

$24.7K

Yr 6

$28.8K

Yr 7

$33.5K

Yr 8

$38.9K

Yr 9

$45.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in APP & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on APP and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

APP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.89%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $260.0H $260.0L $228.5C $228.5VOL 3.91M

RES: $205.7SUP: $222.4SMA50: $292.3SMA200: $412.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

APP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 APP Butterfly Map → + Track APP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +70.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on APP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for APP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for APP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (APP)

Technology Rank #117 of 714 ⚔️ NBIS vs APP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (APP vs. NBIS, BSP, ZM, BIDU)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Applovin Corporation (APP) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #51 by equity capitalization ($85.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZM leads on earnings valuation at 15.0x trailing P/E, while APP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.1% ROIC and 87.9% gross margin. BSP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with APP at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
APP ACTIVE Applovin Corporation	C+	68/100	25.6x	87.9%	48.1%	-10.36%	$85.31B	Benchmark Subject
NBIS Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	68.6%	-9.6%	-10.38%	$46.76B	/nbis-vs-app →
BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A.	B+	76/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-2.69%	$32.49B	/bsp-vs-app →
ZM Zoom Communications Inc.	B+	76/100	15.0x	77.0%	9.4%	-2.21%	$28.50B	/zm-vs-app →
BIDU Baidu Inc. ADS	E	28/100	33.5x	43.9%	-1.5%	-2.86%	$26.76B	/bidu-vs-app →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001751008

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Applovin Corporation (APP) reported GAAP revenue of $5.48B (+70.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.22B , and +197.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.33B, operating cash flow of $3.97B, and free cash flow of $3.72B (+77.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, APP closed FY2025 with $7.26B in total assets against $3.51B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.48, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.48B	$3.33B	$3.97B	$3.72B	$7.26B	$3.51B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.22B	$1.58B	$2.10B	$2.09B	$5.87B	$3.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.84B	$357.0M	$1.06B	$978.6M	$46.92B	$10.98B

3. APP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is APP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does APP compare to NBIS and BSP in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for APP?

Where is APP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

APP last traded at $228.50 (-10.36% on volume of 9,141,876 shares), positioning the stock -21.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($292.31) and -44.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($412.49). Across its 52-week range of $225.19 to $738.01, APP sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($209.76 to $247.24).

APP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does APP pay a dividend and is it safe?

Applovin Corporation (APP) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: APP RQD Cockpit APP 12M Forecast APP Earnings & Move APP Dividends & DRIP APP Insiders & 13F APP Whale Options APP Profit Sankey APP News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

NBIS D-

Nebius Group N.V. (Class A)

37 /100

BSP B+

Bending Spoons S.p.A.

76 /100

ZM B+

Zoom Communications Inc.

Flutter Entertainment plc

41 /100

APP Core Snapshot

Market Cap $85.31B

Trailing / Fwd P/E 25.6x / 21.5x

Gross Profit Margin 87.9%

Return on Capital (ROIC) 48.1%

Free Cash Flow Yield 4.37%

12M Base Price Target $238.78

FREE TRADER TOOLS

Own APP Alongside Other Stocks? Run a 30-Second Crash X-Ray

Drop 3–5 tickers into our live Portfolio X-Ray to spot hidden accounting time-bombs and see your composite RQD dial.

⚡ X-Ray My Portfolio With APP → 🏆 Trade APP in $100K Prop Arena →

APP Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event Yahoo! Finance Canada • 8h ago

AppLovin Corporation (APP) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Direct Company Event Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

AppLovin Corporation Stock Has Fallen Too Far (Upgrade) (NASDAQ:APP)

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance UK • 14h ago

AppLovin Corporation (APP) stock price, news, quote and history

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

AppLovin (APP) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

APP — Applovin Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, APP scores 68 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars break down as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine — 20/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 48.1% and an FCF yield of 4.37%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently. For an investor, the tradeoff is that a 4.37% FCF yield sits alongside a P/E (TTM) of 25.6, so the cash generation is real but is not cheap on earnings multiples.
Whale 13F Flow — 6/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, and it is weak. No 13F holder data is supplied in the source data, so the cause of this low score cannot be verified here. An investor should read this as limited evidence of large-institution conviction at this time.
Insider Conviction — 17/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and is comparatively strong. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data, so the score is taken as reported.
Macro Regime Fit — 7/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a Beta of 1.17 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move more than the broader market, which amplifies both upside and downside in a risk-off regime.
Forensic Balance Sheet — 18/20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z 13.48, Piotroski F 8/9, and Debt/Equity 1.65. The Z and F readings indicate strong financial health and solvency, while the Debt/Equity figure shows meaningful leverage that a prospective investor should weigh.

Taken together, the investor takeaway is that cash generation and balance-sheet forensics are the core supports of the rating, while weak institutional flow and elevated beta explain why the verdict stops at "Hold / Watch for Breakout" rather than a stronger signal. Upside drivers are the cash engine and insider signal; valuation tradeoffs center on a 25.6 trailing P/E against a 21.5 forward P/E and a 19.8 EV/EBITDA; the main risk is beta-driven volatility combined with a 52-week range of $225.19 – $738.01.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$254.91	$85.31B	25.6	21.5	19.8	9.96	0%	1.17	$225.19 - $738.01	48.1%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$5480.7M	$4151.9M	$3334.0M	N/A	$3724.5M	$2487.1M	$3513.0M
FY 2024	$3224.1M	$1911.0M	$1580.0M	N/A	$2094.2M	$697.0M	$3509.0M
FY 2023	$1841.8M	$772.4M	$357.0M	N/A	$978.6M	N/A	$10978.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1841.8M (FY 2023) to $3224.1M (FY 2024) to $5480.7M (FY 2025), and net income moved from $357.0M to $1580.0M to $3334.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 87.9%, an operating margin of 75%, and a net margin of 60.8%, with ROIC of 48.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 13.48 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt is $3513.0M against cash of $2487.1M in FY 2025, and the reported Debt/Equity is 1.65. Reported debt was $10978.9M in FY 2023, which the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Catalyst (GREEN): A Seeking Alpha item carries the headline "AppLovin Corporation Stock Has Fallen Too Far (Upgrade)," indicating an upgrade-oriented view of the shares.
Catalyst (YELLOW, revenue): A Yahoo Finance item carries the headline "AppLovin Corporation (APP) Grew Revenue 53%. What Must Happen to Defend Its Valuation?" The 53% figure is cited by the headline itself; the source data does not independently verify it.
Risk Watch (RED): A Yahoo Finance item carries the headline "AppLovin (APP) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know," flagged as a risk watch item.
Neutral wire items (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance UK, and Yahoo Finance "Is Trending Stock AppLovin Corporation (APP) a Buy Now?" are generic market-wire items with no specific catalyst content in the source data.
Butterfly / proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded (supply chain: NONE).

Open Questions

What products and customers generate the FY 2025 revenue of $5480.7M, and what share is recurring?
What drove debt of $10978.9M in FY 2023 to fall to $3509.0M in FY 2024, and what is the current debt maturity profile?
Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods, and what share count underlies the EPS (TTM) of 9.96?
What institutional and insider transactions sit behind the 6/20 whale flow score and the 17/20 insider score?
What supply-chain dependencies and sector correlations exist, given the Butterfly graph reports none?

APP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Applovin Corporation (APP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to APP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 8h ago

AppLovin Corporation (APP) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Applovin Corporation (APP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

AppLovin Corporation Stock Has Fallen Too Far (Upgrade) (NASDAQ:APP)

Seeking Alpha report covering Applovin Corporation (APP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 14h ago

AppLovin Corporation (APP) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Applovin Corporation (APP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

AppLovin (APP) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know