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FR (58) STAG (59) MAC (59) NNN (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$42.57 +5.90% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.94

Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $7.41B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ARE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (NYSE: ARE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $42.57 (+5.90% 1D, market cap $7.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ARE ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARE compare to FR and STAG in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ARE carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, FR (First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 29.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $7.27B) and STAG (Stag Industrial Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 26.3x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $7.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARE?
β–Ό

Per ARE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035443), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. generated $4.72B in revenue (+342.7% YoY), -$1.43B in net income, and $1.41B in free cash flow against $34.08B in total assets and $6.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.94 (+0.87%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 29.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$63 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ARE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ARE SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.9% FCF Margin ($1.41B FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$42.34+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$43.33-6.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$40.60+4.9% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$42.57-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ARE currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.11) and Max Pain ($44.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $62.75.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AREβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œARE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARE)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARE)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ARE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ARE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.81%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $40.20H $42.57L $40.20C $42.57VOL 2.91M
RES: $57.91SUP: $37.65SMA50: $47.11SMA200: $49.21
$62.45$55.91$49.38$42.85$36.31RES $57.91SUP $37.65$42.572026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ARE Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ARE β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +342.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARE)

Financials Rank #749 of 1097 βš”οΈ FR vs ARE Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARE vs. FR, STAG, MAC, NNN)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #222 by equity capitalization ($7.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NNN leads on earnings valuation at 20.4x trailing P/E, while NNN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NNN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ARE at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARE ACTIVE
Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.
D 46/100 β€” β€” -6.5% +5.90% $7.41B Benchmark Subject
FR
First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.
D+ 58/100 29.5x β€” 6.2% +0.72% $7.27B /fr-vs-are β†’
STAG
Stag Industrial Inc.
C- 59/100 26.3x β€” 5.2% +1.71% $7.23B /stag-vs-are β†’
MAC
Macerich Company
C- 59/100 β€” β€” -4.1% +1.93% $7.04B /mac-vs-are β†’
NNN
NNN REIT Inc.
C 64/100 20.4x β€” 7.2% +1.71% $8.00B /nnn-vs-are β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001035443 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.72B (+342.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.07B , and +1279.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.43B, operating cash flow of $1.41B, and free cash flow of $1.41B (-6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARE closed FY2025 with $34.08B in total assets against $6.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.72B -$1.43B $1.41B $1.41B $34.08B $6.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.07B $322.9M $1.50B $1.50B $37.53B $6.81B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $342.4M $103.6M $1.63B $1.63B $3.89B $910.0M

3. ARE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (NYSE: ARE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $42.57 (+5.90% 1D, market cap $7.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ARE ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARE compare to FR and STAG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ARE carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, FR (First Industrial Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 29.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $7.27B) and STAG (Stag Industrial Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 26.3x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $7.23B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NNN leads on earnings multiple (20.4x) while NNN leads on capital efficiency (7.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARE?

Per ARE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035443), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. generated $4.72B in revenue (+342.7% YoY), -$1.43B in net income, and $1.41B in free cash flow against $34.08B in total assets and $6.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARE last traded at $42.57 (+5.90% on volume of 2,914,051 shares), positioning the stock -9.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($47.11) and -13.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($49.21). Across its 52-week range of $38.34 to $59.76, ARE sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.2% ($39.08 to $46.06).

Direct Sub-Reports: ARE RQD Cockpit ARE 12M Forecast ARE Earnings & Move ARE Dividends & DRIP ARE Insiders & 13F ARE Whale Options ARE Profit Sankey ARE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARE β€” Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $42.57 (+5.90% 1D, market capitalization $7.41B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.5%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of 18.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $7.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) reported $4.72B in annual revenue (up from $1.07B in FY2024, +342.7% YoY) and -$1.43B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($342.4M revenue, $103.6M net income) through FY2025, ARE scaled operating cash flow to $1.41B and free cash flow to $1.41B, backed by $34.08B in total assets against $6.72B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 18.74% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $38.34 – $59.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are β€” Within the available data, the sector is Financials and the industry is Real Estate Investment Trusts; no cross-sector linkage is provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARE sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -6.5% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.72B and free cash flow of $1.41B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.72B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARE's 27.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

ARE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc. (ARE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ARE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $42.57?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.06 (+32.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

ARE (D β€’ RQD 46/100) operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts is mispriced at $40.20

Long ARE at $40.20 targeting $53.06. ARE (D β€’ RQD 46/100) operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts is mispriced at $40.20. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $38.34 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $40.20 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.37 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $40.20

A -6.5% ROIC, -60% net margin, and a 5/20 whale-flow pillar show weak returns on capital and little institutional support, with debt ri

Fading this rally in ARE at $40.20. A -6.5% ROIC, -60% net margin, and a 5/20 whale-flow pillar show weak returns on capital and little institutional support, with debt rising from $910.0M to $6.72B.. With a beta of 0.96 and the stock sitting at $40.20 (52-wk range $38.34–$59.76), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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