ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$80.75 -0.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.57

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARKK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $80.75 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $6.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, ARKK ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARKK compare to ITA and XLB in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Disruptive Growth & Biotech), ARKK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B) and XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARKK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARKK leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKK?
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For ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Disruptive Growth & Biotech basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $80.57 (-0.22%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Fund (17)Whales (9)Struct (13)Macro (9)Flow (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$100 Bull$80 Base$62 Bear
📬 FREE ARKK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARKK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARKK SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (31% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($6.50B AUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$87.17-4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$83.42+1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$84.78-4.8% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$80.75-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARKK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ARKK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.12) or 200D SMA ($78.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.66) toward Bear Floor ($62.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARKK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARKK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
40.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure
N/A (ETF)Fund Structure
52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE
L: $63$80.75H: $95
1. Basket Liquidity & Structure● HEALTHY
ETF / Index composite efficiency

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for corporate GAAP gross margins; reflects underlying basket liquidity and structure.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Institutional Basket Flow● TRIMMING
13F & index options positioning

Tracks institutional 13F ETF basket allocations and index options positioning (corporate CEO Form 4 rules N/A for fund structure).

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
Macro regime & rate sensitivity

Evaluates index basket sensitivity to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield shifts (corporate 10-K Altman-Z / Piotroski checks N/A for ETF structure).

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ARKK

Cash & Moat Bull AI
Index Basket & Yield Model
BULLISH (85)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (single-company ROIC and GAAP gross margin do not apply to index funds).

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
Fund Structure & Liquidity Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure (corporate Altman-Z and Piotroski 9-point checks do not apply to ETFs).

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ARKK
  • ✓Diversified Disruptive Growth & Biotech basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.
  • ✓Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.
  • !Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.
  • !Broad market drawdowns affect index vehicles in lockstep with constituent weights.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARKK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARKK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARKK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $80.90H $80.90L $80.75C $80.75VOL 7.08M
RES: $97.59SUP: $79.83SMA50: $86.12SMA200: $78.28
$96.57$89.34$82.11$74.88$67.65RES $97.59SUP $79.83$80.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARKK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARKK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARKK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARKK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARKK)

ETF / Index Rank #25 of 40 ⚔️ ITA vs ARKK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (ARKK vs. ITA, XLB, XBI, XLRE)

Industry: Disruptive Growth & Biotech (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ranks #25 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #33 by equity capitalization ($6.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARKK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ARKK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ARKK at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARKK ACTIVE
ARK Innovation ETF
D+ 55/100 — — — -0.17% $6.50B Benchmark Subject
ITA
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
D- 43/100 — — — +3.06% $6.80B /ita-vs-arkk →
XLB
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
C+ 66/100 — — — +1.28% $6.00B /xlb-vs-arkk →
XBI
SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
B 72/100 — — — +0.18% $7.40B /xbi-vs-arkk →
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
D+ 54/100 — — — +2.16% $8.00B /xlre-vs-arkk →

2. ARKK ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates ARKK on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $80.75, ARKK trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $86.12 and 200-day SMA of $78.28 on daily liquidity of 7,079,972 shares.

50D SMA Level
$86.12
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$78.28
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
56.0%
$62.94 – $94.82
RSI-14 Momentum
40.5
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
7,079,972
AUM Cap $6.50B

3. ARKK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARKK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE: ARKK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $80.75 (-0.17% 1D, market cap $6.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, ARKK ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARKK compare to ITA and XLB in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Disruptive Growth & Biotech), ARKK carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.80B) and XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARKK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ARKK leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKK?

For ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Disruptive Growth & Biotech basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARKK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARKK last traded at $80.75 (-0.17% on volume of 7,079,972 shares), positioning the stock -6.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.12) and +3.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($78.28). Across its 52-week range of $62.94 to $94.82, ARKK sits at the 55.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($76.23 to $85.27).

ARKK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ARKK stock right now?

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. ETF / Index Composite (Disruptive Growth & Biotech) tracking macro liquidity and institutional flow.

What is ARKK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ARKK's 12-month base price target is $79.66 (range $62.13 to $99.56), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARKK — ARK Innovation ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARKK scores 55 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 7/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the scoring indicates that the composite is weighed down by weak cash-generation metrics as reported in the market data, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0%, and by modest insider conviction. The balance sheet pillar is the relative strength, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9 and an Altman Z of 2.5. Because ARKK is an ETF, the fundamental metrics applied to operating companies do not map directly onto the fund's holdings, so the Cash Engine reading should be interpreted as the rating methodology's output rather than a direct measure of underlying company economics. Beta of 1.0 indicates the fund moves in line with the broader market in the source data, so the Macro Regime pillar reflects sensitivity rather than a distinct directional call. Upside drivers would be a rebound in the underlying holdings' cash generation and renewed institutional accumulation; the valuation tradeoff is that no P/E or EV/EBITDA is available in source data to anchor price against earnings.

Business

ARK Innovation ETF is an exchange-traded fund classified in the ETF / Index sector and the Disruptive Growth & Biotech industry, listed on the NYSE. Per the profile, it is described as a liquid institutional fund tracking Disruptive Growth & Biotech with approximately $6.5B in assets under management. The source data does not describe its holdings composition, fee structure, or investor base beyond what is stated here.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items reference ARKK. The headlines describe a quarterly portfolio update showing total Ark Invest portfolio growth to $15.4 Billion, with Tesla, AMD, and a new SpaceX stake together making up about 18% of ARKK assets; a Q3 review of biggest winners and losers including PLTR, NVDA, and TXG as leaders and TSLA and RKLB as drags; a report of $5M in bullish share additions across three ETFs (flagged CATALYST, green); reporting on purchases in air taxi and defense names; and reporting on sales of PLTR, GOOG, and SHOP alongside purchases of PACB, FRNM, and other biotech firms. Watch items are the concentration of holdings noted in the headlines and the rotation between sectors described across the feed. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply chain and no links or proprietary signals, so no graph-derived signal is available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is reported as NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream or downstream dependencies for ARKK. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be derived from the provided sources. The news feed references individual holdings (such as Tesla, AMD, NVDA, PLTR, and biotech names), and any ripple effects from those names would depend on information not contained in these sources.

Open Questions

  • What are ARKK's actual holdings, weights, and expense ratio, given that the source data references concentrated positions but does not list them?
  • What is the fund's net asset value and recent flow history, since AUM is given only as an approximate $6.5B?
  • How does the Roarable pillar methodology translate fund-level data into the ROIC and FCF yield figures reported as 0%?
  • What are the reported income and cash flow figures for the largest underlying holdings?
  • What is the basis for the 1.3% dividend yield, and how often is it distributed?

ARKK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARKK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARKK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $80.75?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARKK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARKK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $87.21 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARKK (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $80.75?

Welcome to the ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Disruptive Growth & Biotech. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $65.41 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $80.75

Pump the brakes on ARKK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARKK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless ARK Innovation ETF expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $98.52 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $80.75

ARKK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARKK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Disruptive Growth & Biotech and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $80.75 (52-wk range $62.94 - $94.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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