Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.01 +7.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.07

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $16.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.01 (+7.97% 1D, market cap $16.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #956 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARKR compare to CCHH and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $19.0M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?
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Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.07 (+1.24%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (6)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE ARKR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARKR SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
16
Grade E$4.38+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
19
Grade E$4.40+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$4.51+11.1% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$5.01-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (16) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARKR currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.72) and Max Pain ($5.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ARKR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.01: 1996.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.31
$6,607
$-3,393 (-33.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.24
$8,463
$-1,537 (-15.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.97
$19,900
+$9,900 (+99.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARKR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $4.64H $5.01L $4.64C $5.01VOL 180
RES: $5.23SUP: $4.00SMA50: $4.72SMA200: $6.02
$9.86$8.36$6.86$5.36$3.85RES $5.23SUP $4.00$5.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARKR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #956 of 1011 ⚔️ CCHH vs ARKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARKR vs. CCHH, GTIM, REBN, SDOT)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) ranks #956 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #893 by equity capitalization ($16.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while GTIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with ARKR at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARKR ACTIVE
Ark Restaurants Corp.
E 24/100 — — -13.1% +7.97% $16.7M Benchmark Subject
CCHH
CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)
E 22/100 — 19.3% -21.4% -7.37% $19.0M /cchh-vs-arkr →
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
D- 39/100 13.3x — 0.7% 0.00% $13.6M /gtim-vs-arkr →
REBN
Reborn Coffee Inc.
E 34/100 — 92.0% -35.0% +1.27% $13.5M /rebn-vs-arkr →
SDOT
Sadot Group Inc.
E 29/100 — 1.9% -35.0% -5.47% $23.1M /sdot-vs-arkr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000779544

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) reported GAAP revenue of $165.8M (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $183.5M , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.5M, operating cash flow of $1.8M, and free cash flow of -$1.5M (-168.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARKR closed FY2025 with $130.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.44, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $165.8M -$11.5M $1.8M -$1.5M $130.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $183.5M -$3.9M $4.7M $2.2M $154.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $184.8M -$5.9M $8.4M $8.4M — —

3. ARKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ark Restaurants Corp. (NASDAQ: ARKR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $5.01 (+7.97% 1D, market cap $16.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARKR ranks #956 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARKR compare to CCHH and GTIM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARKR carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -13.1%. By comparison, CCHH (CCH Holdings Ltd (Class A)) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.4%, cap $19.0M) and GTIM (Good Times Restaurants Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 13.3x, ROIC 0.7%, cap $13.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while GTIM leads on capital efficiency (0.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARKR?

Per ARKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000779544), Ark Restaurants Corp. generated $165.8M in revenue (-9.7% YoY), -$11.5M in net income, and -$1.5M in free cash flow against $130.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARKR last traded at $5.01 (+7.97% on volume of 10,397 shares), positioning the stock +6.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.72) and -16.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.02). Across its 52-week range of $4.32 to $9.50, ARKR sits at the 13.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($4.66 to $5.36).

ARKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ARKR's 12-month stock price target?

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.24 (-15.4% from $5.01), with a bull-case target of $9.97 and a bear-case floor of $3.31.

Is ARKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ARKR E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 24/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARKR — Ark Restaurants Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 24 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Per the Roarable RQD rating, the five pillars score as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -13.1% and FCF yield is -8.93%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low, suggesting limited institutional support in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, a signal that insider activity is not supportive.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. The score is low and does not offer a macro-based tailwind in the source data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.44, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to elevated financial-distress and weak-quality signals.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the composite picture is that every pillar scores in the low range, with cash generation, insider behavior, and forensic balance-sheet quality the weakest. The upside case would rest on a reversal in cash generation, which the current data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because several earnings-based multiples are unavailable, so the low price of $4.64 cannot be benchmarked against earnings from the source data alone. The rating frames the stock as a risk-heavy avoid rather than a value candidate, and any evaluation should weigh the forensic signals heavily.

Business

Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Restaurants industry. Per the profile, it has a market capitalization of $0.0B in that record. The source data does not detail its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond its sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for further business description.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$165.8M$-4.1M$-11.5MN/A$-1.5M$9.1MN/A
FY 2024$183.5M$-4.3M$-3.9MN/A$2.2M$13.1MN/A
FY 2023$184.8M$-4.8M$-5.9MN/A$8.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income was negative in each reported period, and net income was negative as well. Per the market data, the gross margin is 0%, the operating margin is -2.5%, and the net margin is -6.9%, with ROIC at -13.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.44 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Revenue declined from $184.8M in FY 2023 to $165.8M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the items reference ARKR-related market activity. The Investing.com Nigeria item reports that the Chairman & CEO sold $807,523 in shares; the headline is not a full filing record. A Form 4 item lists Michael Lawrence Weinstein as Director, 10% Owner, Chairman & CEO, with a date of 24 September. The most prominent item tagged as a catalyst (GREEN) references a GGB Q2 2026 earnings headline; that item's source and summary are not connected to ARKR's own results and should not be treated as an ARKR catalyst. Other items (a Flanigan's Enterprises seasonal returns chart, and unrelated Indian-listed and general headlines) are tagged YELLOW or are not specific to ARKR. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items include the insider selling headline and the sub-$5 price relative to the 52-week range.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector-correlation links, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links is a data limitation, not evidence of independence.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's earnings-based valuation multiples (P/E, EV/EBITDA, EPS), given they are unavailable in the source data?
  • What is the reported debt level, given FY debt is listed as N/A across all periods?
  • What was the EPS for each fiscal year, given EPS is N/A in the reported financials?
  • What is the context and filing detail behind the Chairman & CEO share sale and the Form 4 entry?
  • Why does the financials section show FY 2023 cash as N/A while FY 2024 and FY 2025 cash are reported?

ARKR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARKR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARKR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.01?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARKR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARKR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.08 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARKR (E • RQD 24/100) a Buy at $4.64?

Welcome to the ARKR (Ark Restaurants Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 24/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.53 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $4.64

Pump the brakes on ARKR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARKR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ark Restaurants Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.89 (+26.9%)
Spot @ $4.64

ARKR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARKR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.64 (52-wk range $4.32 - $9.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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