Aramark (ARMK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$53.96 -3.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50

Aramark (ARMK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $53.96 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $14.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.48B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $12.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?
▼

Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $0 in revenue, $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.50 (-0.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$66 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE ARMK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARMK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARMK SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.98 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$54.78+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$56.12-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$55.52-2.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$53.96+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARMK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, ARMK faces multiple-compression risk if 45.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($55.97) or 200D SMA ($50.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.42) toward Bear Floor ($43.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARMK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARMK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 1, 2027 (~59 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$2.81 Expected Swing
$51.15 (-5.2%)Spot $53.96$56.77 (+5.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ARMK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $1.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.4%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-10-03$0$326.4M$293.8M52%
FY 20242024-09-27$0$262.5M$236.3M52%
FY 20232023-09-29$0$674.1M$766.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARMK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARMK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ARMK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.50%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $55.56H $56.02L $53.96C $53.96VOL 3.11M
RES: $56.19SUP: $51.33SMA50: $55.97SMA200: $50.25
$64.25$57.61$50.98$44.34$37.70RES $56.19SUP $51.33$53.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARMK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARMK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARMK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARMK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARMK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #253 of 1011 ⚔️ YUMC vs ARMK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARMK vs. YUMC, TXRH, EAT, DRI)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aramark (ARMK) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #130 by equity capitalization ($14.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while EAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with ARMK at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARMK ACTIVE
Aramark
C 64/100 45.2x — 11.4% -3.68% $14.77B Benchmark Subject
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc.
B- 71/100 16.7x — 14.9% +1.28% $15.48B /yumc-vs-armk →
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse Inc.
B+ 77/100 29.6x — 28.3% -0.24% $12.01B /txrh-vs-armk →
EAT
Brinker International Inc.
A- 84/100 18.8x — 53.3% -3.51% $9.14B /eat-vs-armk →
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc.
C 64/100 20.7x 20.3% 19.5% -0.14% $24.95B /dri-vs-armk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-03 • CIK 0001584509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03), Aramark (ARMK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $326.4M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ARMK closed FY2025 with $13.54B in total assets against $3.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.98, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-03 $0 $326.4M — — $13.54B $3.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $0 $262.5M — — $12.71B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $0 $674.1M $766.4M $766.4M $8.12B $1.90B

3. ARMK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Aramark (NYSE: ARMK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $53.96 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $14.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARMK ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARMK compare to YUMC and TXRH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), ARMK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, YUMC (Yum China Holdings Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $15.48B) and TXRH (Texas Roadhouse Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 29.6x, ROIC 28.3%, cap $12.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while EAT leads on capital efficiency (53.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARMK?

Per ARMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-03, CIK 0001584509), Aramark generated $0 in revenue, $326.4M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.54B in total assets and $3.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARMK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARMK last traded at $53.96 (-3.68% on volume of 4,215,679 shares), positioning the stock -3.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($55.97) and +7.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($50.25). Across its 52-week range of $35.07 to $62.65, ARMK sits at the 68.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($51.15 to $56.77).

ARMK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ARMK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Aramark (ARMK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 1, 2027.

How much is ARMK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for ARMK, spanning a range between $51.15 and $56.77.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARMK — Aramark: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARMK scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 11.4% and an FCF yield of 1.26%. The FCF yield is thin, which implies the market is paying a high multiple for each dollar of free cash flow. Investors evaluating the stock should weigh the return on invested capital against that expensive cash-flow price.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects "institutional accumulation & options positioning." The source data contains no holder detail (see the Analyst View section), so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the provided material.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a below-midpoint reading, suggesting insider signals are not a strong tailwind.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Beta of 0.91 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 indicates lower sensitivity to broad market moves than the market average, which can cushion drawdowns but also limits participation in strong rallies.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z of 1.98, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. The Piotroski reading is a strong reading on the scale. The Altman Z sits in a range that warrants monitoring rather than comfort.

Taken together, the rating frames ARMK as a balanced risk-reward profile: solid balance-sheet quality and a defensive beta, offset by a rich valuation (P/E TTM 45.2) and modest insider conviction. The rating does not signal a clear upside or downside skew.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
56.02$14.77B45.242181.240.75%0.91$35.07 - $62.6511.4%

Business

Aramark (ARMK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Restaurants industry, per the profile section. Per the market data, its operating margin is 19.1% and its net margin is 7.9%. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Revenue is reported as $0.0M in each period in the financials section, so the revenue-based breakdown of how it earns money is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$791.8M$326.4MN/AN/A$439.6M$3169.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$706.5M$262.5MN/AN/A$484.1M$2973.4M
FY 2023$0.0M$625.0M$674.1MN/A$766.4MN/A$1900.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $625.0M (FY 2023) to $791.8M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $674.1M to $326.4M over the same span. Reported debt increased from $1900.7M to $3169.0M, while cash moved from $484.1M (FY 2024) to $439.6M (FY 2025). Per the market data, the operating margin is 19.1% and ROIC is 11.4%. The Altman Z-Score of 1.98 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity of 0.85 is cited there as well.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 1h ago): Headline references a possible overvaluation of about 47% despite cash-flow hopes. Light: YELLOW.
  • Market wire (Yahoo Finance, 3h ago): A comparative performance piece versus other retail-wholesale stocks. Light: YELLOW.
  • Risk watch (GuruFocus, 6h ago): Headline reports shares falling 3.7% alongside a GF Score of 83. Light: RED.
  • Market wire (Stock Titan, 9h ago): Director Dreiling deferred his cash retainer and received 500 stock units. Light: YELLOW.
  • Catalyst (Simply Wall St, 12h ago): Coverage of an earnings estimate upgrade. Light: GREEN.
  • Market wire (MarketBeat, 15h ago): Report of a position in ARMK sold by Cooke & Bieler LP. Light: YELLOW.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Catalyst signals are mixed: one green catalyst and one red risk-watch item, with the remainder yellow market-wire items.

Open Questions

  • Revenue is reported as $0.0M in every period, and EPS and FCF are mostly N/A. What is the actual top-line figure and per-share earnings trend?
  • The RQD rating cites an institutional accumulation and options positioning signal, but no holder data is provided. Which institutions are buying or selling, and at what size?
  • The insider pillar cites Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, yet no insider trade records are supplied. What specific transactions underlie the 11/20 reading?
  • Debt rose from $1900.7M to $3169.0M across the reported periods. What drove the increase, and how does it affect the Altman Z reading of 1.98?
  • Market data shows a 1.26% FCF yield alongside a P/E of 45.2. What assumptions in the valuation support the current price relative to the cash-flow profile?

ARMK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aramark (ARMK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARMK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARMK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARMK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARMK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $60.50 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARMK (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $56.02?

Welcome to the ARMK (Aramark) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (45.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $45.38 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $56.02

Pump the brakes on ARMK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARMK, but look at what you are paying: 45.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Aramark expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $71.15 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $56.02

ARMK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARMK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.02 (52-wk range $35.07 - $62.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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