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Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$14.25 -9.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.98

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $273.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARQQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Arqit Quantum Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $14.25 (-9.41% 1D, market cap $273.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ARQQ ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARQQ compare to CMRC and XPER in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ARQQ carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMRC (Commerce.com Inc. Series 1) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.6M) and XPER (Xperi Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.7%, cap $260.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQQ?
▼

For Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #441 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.98 (-1.88%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$46 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE ARQQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARQQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARQQ SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$16.84-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$15.31+17.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$18.04-21% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$14.25-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ARQQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ARQQ currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.63) and Max Pain ($14.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARQQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARQQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARQQ)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARQQ.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARQQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ARQQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ARQQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.18%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $17.60H $17.60L $14.25C $14.25VOL 304.9K
RES: $25.26SUP: $12.97SMA50: $19.63SMA200: $18.08
$32.32$26.76$21.20$15.64$10.07RES $25.26SUP $12.97$14.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARQQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARQQ Butterfly Map → + Track ARQQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARQQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARQQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARQQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARQQ)

Technology Rank #441 of 715 ⚔️ CMRC vs ARQQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ARQQ vs. CMRC, XPER, MKTW, GIBO)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) ranks #441 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #450 by equity capitalization ($273.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MKTW leads on earnings valuation at 56.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ARQQ at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARQQ ACTIVE
Arqit Quantum Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -9.41% $273.7M Benchmark Subject
CMRC
Commerce.com Inc. Series 1
D- 43/100 — 78.7% -35.0% +3.34% $272.6M /cmrc-vs-arqq →
XPER
Xperi Inc.
E 22/100 — — -9.7% +1.69% $260.0M /xper-vs-arqq →
MKTW
MarketWise Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 56.1x 86.5% 85.0% +4.30% $313.7M /mktw-vs-arqq →
GIBO
GIBO Holdings Limited (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — -35.0% -0.03% $226.7M /gibo-vs-arqq →

2. ARQQ Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) operates in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $273.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ARQQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARQQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Arqit Quantum Inc. (NASDAQ: ARQQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $14.25 (-9.41% 1D, market cap $273.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ARQQ ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARQQ compare to CMRC and XPER in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), ARQQ carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMRC (Commerce.com Inc. Series 1) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $272.6M) and XPER (Xperi Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.7%, cap $260.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MKTW leads on earnings multiple (56.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARQQ?

For Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #441 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARQQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARQQ last traded at $14.25 (-9.41% on volume of 301,115 shares), positioning the stock -27.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.63) and -21.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.08). Across its 52-week range of $11.52 to $43.36, ARQQ sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($12.47 to $16.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: ARQQ RQD Cockpit ARQQ 12M Forecast ARQQ Earnings & Move ARQQ Dividends & DRIP ARQQ Insiders & 13F ARQQ Whale Options ARQQ Profit Sankey ARQQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ARQQ — Arqit Quantum Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $14.25 (-9.41% 1D, market capitalization $273.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Its market capitalization is listed at $0.3B. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.52 – $43.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector is Technology and industry is Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are documented in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ARQQ sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $43.36 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARQQ's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ARQQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARQQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARQQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $14.25?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARQQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARQQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.51 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, giving a comparativel

Here is why I am bullish on ARQQ here at $15.73: The balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9 and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, giving a comparatively stable base.. Compare ARQQ's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $14.94 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.73 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.43 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $15.73

Cash generation is zero, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0%, while institutional flow (5 of 20) and insider conviction (9 of 20) score

Cash generation is zero, with ROIC and FCF yield both at 0%, while institutional flow (5 of 20) and insider conviction (9 of 20) score weakly.. Look at the math on ARQQ: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $13.84 before getting long.

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