Yahoo Finance report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ARWR Stock slipped -0.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is ARWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: ARWR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $59.57 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $8.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ARWR ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ARWR compare to CYTK and CORT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ARWR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CYTK (Cytokinetics Incorporated) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.76B) and CORT (Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 93.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $8.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGTX leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while TGTX leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARWR?
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Per ARWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000879407), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $829.4M in revenue (+23258.2% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and $156.9M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $375.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.9% FCF Margin ($156.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 6.60 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARWR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, ARWR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.15) or 200D SMA ($71.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.57) toward Bear Floor ($46.46).
Why ARWR Stock slipped -0.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) slipped -0.55% to $59.57, trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($37.06 – $95.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($37.06 – $95.49) with RSI-14 at 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $59.57 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $156.9M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PASADENA, Calif., November 02, 2026--Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ARWR) announced today that it will present important data at this week’s American Heart Association Scientific Sessions in Chicago.
– Detailed Results from the Phase 1/2a Study of ARO-DIMER-PA, the First Dual-Functional Investigational RNAi Therapeutic for the Treatment of Mixed Hyperlipidemia, Will Be Presented at Late-breaking Featured Science
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ARWR)
- ✓Walkthrough of ARWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ARWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +23258.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARWR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARWR)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ARWR vs. CYTK, CORT, PRAX, TGTX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #124 by equity capitalization ($8.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TGTX leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while TGTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 83.7% gross margin. CORT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ARWR at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARWR
ACTIVE
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | 11.1% | -0.55% | $8.46B | Benchmark Subject |
| CYTK Cytokinetics Incorporated | E | 28/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.52% | $8.76B | /cytk-vs-arwr → |
| CORT Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated | C | 63/100 | 93.2x | 96.0% | 4.8% | -0.81% | $8.77B | /cort-vs-arwr → |
| PRAX Praxis Precision Medicines Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.18% | $7.98B | /prax-vs-arwr → |
| TGTX TG Therapeutics Inc. | C | 63/100 | 19.9x | 83.7% | 12.0% | -2.01% | $9.36B | /tgtx-vs-arwr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000879407 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) reported GAAP revenue of $829.4M (+23258.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.6M , and +244.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.6M, operating cash flow of $179.6M, and free cash flow of $156.9M (+126.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARWR closed FY2025 with $1.60B in total assets against $375.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.60, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $829.4M | -$1.6M | $179.6M | $156.9M | $1.60B | $375.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $3.6M | -$599.5M | -$462.9M | -$604.3M | $1.01B | $237.2M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $240.7M | -$205.3M | -$153.9M | -$164.7M | $4.70B | $1.10B |
3. ARWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: ARWR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $59.57 (-0.55% 1D, market cap $8.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, ARWR ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARWR compare to CYTK and CORT in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ARWR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CYTK (Cytokinetics Incorporated) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.76B) and CORT (Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 93.2x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $8.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGTX leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while TGTX leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARWR?
Per ARWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000879407), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $829.4M in revenue (+23258.2% YoY), -$1.6M in net income, and $156.9M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $375.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARWR last traded at $59.57 (-0.55% on volume of 1,314,070 shares), positioning the stock -12.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.15) and -16.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.66). Across its 52-week range of $37.06 to $95.49, ARWR sits at the 38.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($55.16 to $63.98).
ARWR — Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $59.57 (-0.55% 1D, market capitalization $8.46B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 11.9%, and free cash flow yield of 1.84%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.60, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, classified under Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. The company reported revenue of $829.4M for FY 2025 after $3.6M for FY 2024, indicating a sharp change in its revenue base over the reported periods.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) reported $829.4M in annual revenue (up from $3.6M in FY2024, +23258.2% YoY) and -$1.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($240.7M revenue, -$205.3M net income) through FY2025, ARWR scaled operating cash flow to $179.6M and free cash flow to $156.9M, backed by $1.60B in total assets against $375.4M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $37.06 – $95.49 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 73.8x EV/EBITDA against 11.9% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), ARWR carries a macro regime beta of 0.96 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can ARWR sustain or expand its 11.9% operating margin and 11.1% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $829.4M and free cash flow of $156.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $375.4M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is ARWR's 18.0x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?
ARWR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ARWR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $59.57?
Operating income swung to $98.3M in FY 2025 while debt fell from $1.10B to $375.4M, and the forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20.
Don't sleep on ARWR's setup in Health Care. Operating income swung to $98.3M in FY 2025 while debt fell from $1.10B to $375.4M, and the forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20.. Beta of 0.96 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (58/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
Both sides have a point here — ARWR's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
Net income remained negative at -$1.6M in FY 2025, the EV/EBITDA of 73.8 is high, and institutional flow scores only 5 of 20.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ARWR: Net income remained negative at -$1.6M in FY 2025, the EV/EBITDA of 73.8 is high, and institutional flow scores only 5 of 20.. At 18.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations triggers a 12-15% air pocket.