Yahoo Finance report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ARX Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ARX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (NYSE: ARX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.82 (0.00% 1D, market cap $4.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARX ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ARX compare to BWIN and CRVL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), ARX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BWIN (The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.6%, cap $4.44B) and CRVL (CorVel Corp.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARX?
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Per ARX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001997350), Accelerant Holdings (Class A) generated $912.9M in revenue (+51.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and $445.1M in free cash flow against $8.26B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 99% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, ARX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.77) or 200D SMA ($15.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.36) toward Bear Floor ($15.88).
Why ARX Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) slipped 0.00% to $19.82, trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($9.18 – $19.9). Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 99% of its 52-week range ($9.18 – $19.9) with RSI-14 at 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $19.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $445.1M annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Carroll County Mirror-Democrat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ARX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +51.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARX)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ARX vs. BWIN, CRVL, NP, HGTY)
Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) ranks #308 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #304 by equity capitalization ($4.30B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HGTY leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while HGTY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.4% ROIC and — gross margin. CRVL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ARX at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARX
ACTIVE
Accelerant Holdings (Class A) | C | 64/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $4.30B | Benchmark Subject |
| BWIN The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | 3.6% | +0.31% | $4.44B | /bwin-vs-arx → |
| CRVL CorVel Corp. | B | 75/100 | 37.6x | — | 29.4% | +0.04% | $4.15B | /crvl-vs-arx → |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | 106.4x | — | 28.2% | +1.28% | $3.98B | /np-vs-arx → |
| HGTY Hagerty Inc. (Class A) | B | 75/100 | 37.5x | — | 67.4% | +0.78% | $5.60B | /hgty-vs-arx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001997350In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) reported GAAP revenue of $912.9M (+51.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $602.6M , and +165.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $445.1M, and free cash flow of $445.1M (-43.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARX closed FY2025 with $8.26B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $912.9M | $0 | $445.1M | $445.1M | $8.26B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $602.6M | $0 | $785.7M | $785.7M | $6.09B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $344.0M | $0 | $290.0M | $290.0M | — | — |
3. ARX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (NYSE: ARX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $19.82 (0.00% 1D, market cap $4.30B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ARX ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARX compare to BWIN and CRVL in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), ARX carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BWIN (The Baldwin Insurance Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.6%, cap $4.44B) and CRVL (CorVel Corp.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 29.4%, cap $4.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HGTY leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while HGTY leads on capital efficiency (67.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARX?
Per ARX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001997350), Accelerant Holdings (Class A) generated $912.9M in revenue (+51.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and $445.1M in free cash flow against $8.26B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARX last traded at $19.82 (0.00% on volume of 573,233 shares), positioning the stock +0.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.77) and +32.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.01). Across its 52-week range of $9.18 to $19.90, ARX sits at the 99.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($19.46 to $20.18).
ARX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ARX stock moving today?
Why ARX Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ARX — Accelerant Holdings (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARX carries an RQD Score of 64 and a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (11 / 20): The rating cites ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 10.34%. The FCF yield is the most constructive input in this pillar, suggesting cash generation relative to market value, while the 0% ROIC signals that reported returns on invested capital are not yet visible.
- Whale 13F Flow (15 / 20): The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a moderately supportive signal, though the detailed holder data needed to verify it is not present in the source data.
- Insider Conviction (12 / 20): The rating references an SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider and congressional signals are moderate rather than strong.
- Macro Regime Fit (16 / 20): The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the strongest pillar, indicating market-like volatility and a reasonable fit with the current regime per the rating's methodology.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. This is the weakest pillar, reflecting limited financial-strength confirmation.
For a prospective investor, the rating points to a balanced setup: cash-flow yield and macro fit offer support, while weak return metrics and a modest Piotroski score argue for caution. The price of 19.82 sits near the top of the 52-week range of $9.18 – $19.9, so much of the trailing recovery is already reflected in the price. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The rating's verdict is a hold-level assessment, not a directional call.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $912.9M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $445.1M | $1716.2M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $602.6M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $785.7M | $1225.7M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $344.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $290.0M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported net income and operating income are shown as $0.0M for all periods, and EPS is N/A. Per market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Reported FCF moved from $290.0M to $785.7M before declining to $445.1M, while cash rose from $1225.7M to $1716.2M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six items reference ARX:
- Options positioning: "Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Accelerant Stock?" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- Momentum screen: ARX passed a Minervini Trend Template and high-growth momentum screen per ChartMill (GREEN, CATALYST).
- Valuation framing: Yahoo Finance characterizes ARX as fairly valued as a growth narrative builds (GREEN, CATALYST).
- Legal/shareholder inquiry: Halper Sadeh LLC is investigating whether shareholders are receiving a fair price (Carroll County Mirror-Democrat, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). This is a risk watch item; the source does not state any outcome.
- Valuation caution: Simply Wall St describes the stock as priced at a premium to sales (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
- Technical: MarketBeat reports the price broke above the 200-day moving average (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the company's products, customers, and primary revenue drivers within Specialty Insurers?
- Why are reported net income and operating income $0.0M across all periods, and how does this reconcile with reported FCF?
- What is the outcome or scope of the shareholder fair-price investigation referenced in the news feed?
- What are the P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS figures, which would be needed to judge valuation against the 0% ROIC?
- What is the debt position, since FY debt is reported as N/A in every period?
ARX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Carroll County Mirror-Democrat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Accelerant Holdings (Class A) (ARX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ARX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.82?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARX (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $19.82?
Welcome to the ARX (Accelerant Holdings (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Specialty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ARX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Accelerant Holdings (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ARX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.82 (52-wk range $9.18 - $19.90), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.