Arxis Inc. (ARXS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.1% Move

$50.82 -7.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.26

Arxis Inc. (ARXS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (47% profit margin, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $23.66B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $23.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $17.88B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $37.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?
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Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.26 (-1.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$65 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE ARXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARXS SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.1% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$49.91+4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$52.14+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$52.64-3.5% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$50.82+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARXS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ARXS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 44.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.32) or 200D SMA ($46.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.02) toward Bear Floor ($41.67).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARXS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.1% Swing Band

±$6.15 Expected Swing
$44.67 (-12.1%)Spot $50.82$56.97 (+12.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ARXS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 114.1%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.59B$46.0M$179.6M47.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$743.0M-$55.5M$37.5M44.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$424.5M-$59.9M-$27.0M47.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARXS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARXS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ARXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +44.13%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $54.13H $54.93L $50.82C $50.82VOL 2.07M
RES: $55.31SUP: $46.73SMA50: $51.32SMA200: $46.20
$63.48$55.26$47.04$38.82$30.60RES $55.31SUP $46.73$50.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARXS)

Industrials Rank #34 of 485 ⚔️ J vs ARXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARXS vs. J, RKLB, ESLT, FER)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arxis Inc. (ARXS) ranks #34 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #54 by equity capitalization ($23.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FER leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while J leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ESLT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with ARXS at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ARXS ACTIVE
Arxis Inc.
B 72/100 — 47.4% 4.0% -7.48% $23.66B Benchmark Subject
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
B- 70/100 61.8x 24.8% 15.6% +1.22% $17.88B /j-vs-arxs →
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 39/100 — 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $37.10B /rklb-vs-arxs →
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B 74/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $37.55B /eslt-vs-arxs →
FER
Ferrovial N.V.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.86% $40.95B /fer-vs-arxs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002093536

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arxis Inc. (ARXS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.59B (+114.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $743.0M , and +274.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $46.0M, operating cash flow of $251.2M, and free cash flow of $179.6M (+378.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARXS closed FY2025 with $6.60B in total assets against $2.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.58, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.59B $46.0M $251.2M $179.6M $6.60B $2.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $743.0M -$55.5M $70.9M $37.5M $6.32B $2.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $424.5M -$59.9M -$7.9M -$27.0M $13.01B $3.04B

3. ARXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Arxis Inc. (NASDAQ: ARXS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $50.82 (-7.48% 1D, market cap $23.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARXS ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARXS compare to J and RKLB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ARXS carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.4%, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, J (Jacobs Solutions Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 61.8x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $17.88B) and RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $37.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FER leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while J leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARXS?

Per ARXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002093536), Arxis Inc. generated $1.59B in revenue (+114.1% YoY), $46.0M in net income, and $179.6M in free cash flow against $6.60B in total assets and $2.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARXS last traded at $50.82 (-7.48% on volume of 1,114,460 shares), positioning the stock -0.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($51.32) and +10.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.20). Across its 52-week range of $33.15 to $61.50, ARXS sits at the 62.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($44.67 to $56.97).

ARXS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ARXS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Arxis Inc. (ARXS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ARXS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.1% event move for ARXS, spanning a range between $44.67 and $56.97.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ARXS — Arxis Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ARXS scores 72 out of 100 with a letter grade of B and a verdict label of "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 4%; FCF yield 0.76%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 4.58; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.83).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillars are the forensic balance sheet and institutional flow, which together point to a company whose accounting quality and ownership base are rated favorably. The weakest pillar is insider conviction, indicating less supporting evidence from insider or congressional trading. The cash-generation pillar is middling: the stated ROIC of 4% and FCF yield of 0.76% are modest relative to the valuation implied by an EV/EBITDA of 77.1, which is an upside-limiting tradeoff if growth does not accelerate. Macro fit is moderate, with a beta of 1.06 implying slightly above-market price sensitivity. The rating therefore describes a balance-sheet-strong, flow-supported name whose valuation and cash returns leave less margin for error.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1591.0M$276.7M$46.0MN/A$179.6M$250.3M$2606.5M
FY 2024$743.0M$102.6M$-55.5MN/A$37.5M$110.8M$2514.8M
FY 2023$424.5M$54.3M$-59.9MN/A$-27.0MN/A$3045.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $424.5M in FY 2023 to $1591.0M in FY 2025, with net income turning positive in FY 2025 at $46.0M after losses in the prior two years. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 4.58 and a Piotroski F of 9/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.83 per the same rating. Reported ROIC is 4%, per Market Data. Debt has remained above $2.5B across all three periods, while FY 2025 free cash flow was $179.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference ARXS:

  • A Yahoo Finance Singapore market-wire report (YELLOW) covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • A CMC Markets piece (GREEN, CATALYST) questioning whether Arxis' acquisition engine can keep powering growth.
  • A Yahoo Finance report (YELLOW) summarizing Q3 earnings.
  • A MarketBeat report (YELLOW) citing a consensus target price of $54.64.
  • A Stock Titan report (YELLOW) stating that up to 13.4M ARXS shares are covered for resale, with the company receiving no proceeds.
  • A Quiver Quantitative report (YELLOW) on Q3 2026 earnings.

Risk watch items include the potential resale of up to 13.4M shares, which is a supply overhang source. The GREEN-tagged CMC item points to acquisition-driven growth as a catalyst, but the underlying figures are not in the source data. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," no butterfly links exist, and no proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are Arxis' products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-55.5M to FY 2025 net income of $46.0M, and is it repeatable?
  • Given debt of $2606.5M against cash of $250.3M in FY 2025, what is the refinancing and maturity profile?
  • What EPS and forward earnings support the market price, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data?
  • What is the scale and timing of the up to 13.4M share resale relative to total shares outstanding?

ARXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Arxis Inc. (ARXS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ARXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ARXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $50.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ARXS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ARXS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.82 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ARXS (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $54.93?

Welcome to the ARXS (Arxis Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.20 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

Pump the brakes on ARXS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ARXS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 47.4% gross margins. Unless Arxis Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.56 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $54.93

ARXS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ARXS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.93 (52-wk range $33.15 - $61.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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