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Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$24.30 +2.02% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.34

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.16B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (NYSE: ASIC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $24.30 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $1.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ASIC ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASIC compare to BOW and HRTG in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), ASIC carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BOW (Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.12B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIC?
β–Ό

Per ASIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040491), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings generated $424.3M in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $74.0M in net income, and $140.7M in free cash flow against $1.47B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.34 (+0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 33.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C Β· Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$30 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ASIC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ASIC SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 62% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$26.18+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$27.87-16.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$23.22+4.7% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$24.30+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (74) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASIC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ASIC faces multiple-compression risk if 15.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.24) or 200D SMA ($22.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.17) toward Bear Floor ($19.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASICβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œASIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ASIC)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ASIC.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ASIC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ASIC
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.23%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $23.82H $24.30L $23.82C $24.30VOL 68.3K
RES: $31.17SUP: $22.92SMA50: $26.24SMA200: $22.46
$29.71$26.76$23.81$20.86$17.91RES $31.17SUP $22.92$24.302026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ ASIC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track ASIC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIC)

Financials Rank #214 of 1097 βš”οΈ BOW vs ASIC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ASIC vs. BOW, HRTG, IGIC, UVE)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) ranks #214 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #526 by equity capitalization ($1.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTG leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while HRTG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. HRTG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with ASIC at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASIC ACTIVE
Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings
C+ 66/100 15.8x β€” 12.0% +2.02% $1.16B Benchmark Subject
BOW
Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
C 63/100 20.9x β€” 12.0% -0.23% $1.12B /bow-vs-asic β†’
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.
B+ 77/100 5.5x β€” 85.0% +0.84% $1.07B /hrtg-vs-asic β†’
IGIC
International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Share
D+ 53/100 8.3x β€” 17.9% +1.97% $1.06B /igic-vs-asic β†’
UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC
B 74/100 7.2x β€” 33.2% +1.09% $1.36B /uve-vs-asic β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0002040491 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) reported GAAP revenue of $424.3M (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.8M ) , GAAP net income of $74.0M, operating cash flow of $147.2M, and free cash flow of $140.7M (+12.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIC closed FY2025 with $1.47B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $424.3M $74.0M $147.2M $140.7M $1.47B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $343.8M $47.1M $125.6M $125.4M $1.12B β€”

3. ASIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (NYSE: ASIC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $24.30 (+2.02% 1D, market cap $1.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ASIC ranks #214 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIC compare to BOW and HRTG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), ASIC carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, BOW (Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $1.12B) and HRTG (Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 5.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.07B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTG leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while HRTG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIC?

Per ASIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002040491), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings generated $424.3M in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $74.0M in net income, and $140.7M in free cash flow against $1.47B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIC last traded at $24.30 (+2.02% on volume of 68,329 shares), positioning the stock -7.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.24) and +8.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.46). Across its 52-week range of $16.73 to $29.00, ASIC sits at the 61.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($22.28 to $26.32).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASIC RQD Cockpit ASIC 12M Forecast ASIC Earnings & Move ASIC Dividends & DRIP ASIC Insiders & 13F ASIC Whale Options ASIC Profit Sankey ASIC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ASIC β€” Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $24.30 (+2.02% 1D, market capitalization $1.16B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 12.03%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector and the Property-Casualty Insurers industry. β€” for further detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) reported $424.3M in annual revenue (up from $343.8M in FY2024, +23.4% YoY) and $74.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($343.8M revenue, $47.1M net income) through FY2025, ASIC scaled operating cash flow to $147.2M and free cash flow to $140.7M, backed by $1.47B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 66/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 12.03% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $16.73 – $29.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 15.8x trailing P/E against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations listed. The only sector context in the source is Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be assessed from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ASIC sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 12.0% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $424.3M and free cash flow of $140.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ASIC's 13.3x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ASIC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ategrity Specialty Insurance Company Holdings (ASIC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ASIC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASIC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $24.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASIC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ASIC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.39 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Insider cluster buying signal (17/20) and a 12.03% FCF yield suggest the market may be undervaluing cash generation.

Insider cluster buying signal (17/20) and a 12.03% FCF yield suggest the market may be undervaluing cash generation.. When you look under the hood at ASIC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 12.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $29.00. My 12M target is $27.39.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 66/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $23.82 and keeping dry powder in case we test $22.15.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.87 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $23.82

A weak 13F institutional flow score (7/20) and a reported Q3 earnings miss point to limited large-holder conviction.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ASIC: A weak 13F institutional flow score (7/20) and a reported Q3 earnings miss point to limited large-holder conviction.. At 15.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Property-Casualty Insurers triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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