ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ATER / earnings
BSET (69) HOFT (47) FLXS (72) XMAX (32) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Aterian Inc. (ATER) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.81 +6.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.82

Aterian Inc. (ATER) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $196.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ATER Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ATER stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Aterian Inc. (NASDAQ: ATER) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (+6.33% 1D, market cap $196.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ATER ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ATER compare to BSET and HOFT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), ATER carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BSET (Bassett Furniture Industries Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $194.7M) and HOFT (Hooker Furnishings Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.6%, cap $153.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLXS leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while FLXS leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATER?
▼

Per ATER's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001757715), Aterian Inc. generated $69.0M in revenue (-30.4% YoY), -$19.0M in net income, and -$10.9M in free cash flow against $29.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.82 (+0.95%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (13)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ATER RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATER)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATER SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (43% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 56.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
22
Grade E$0.57+1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$0.58+17.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$0.68+19.1% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$0.81-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATER Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ATER currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.63) and Max Pain ($0.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATER• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATER Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.81$0.91 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ATER Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 30/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -30.4%

Model Bullish Setup (30/100)Model Risk Weight (70/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$69.0M-$19.0M-$10.9M56.8%
FY 20242024-12-31$99.0M-$11.9M$2.1M62.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$142.6M-$74.6M-$13.4M56.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATER)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ATER's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ATER // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.06%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $0.77H $0.81L $0.76C $0.81VOL 186.7K
RES: $0.80SUP: $0.56SMA50: $0.63SMA200: $0.78
$1.55$1.22$0.90$0.57$0.25RES $0.80SUP $0.56$0.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATER Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATER Butterfly Map → + Track ATER →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -30.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATER today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATER. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATER today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATER)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #876 of 1009 ⚔️ BSET vs ATER Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ATER vs. BSET, HOFT, FLXS, XMAX)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aterian Inc. (ATER) ranks #876 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #686 by equity capitalization ($196.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLXS leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while FLXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 22.2% gross margin. FLXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ATER at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ATER ACTIVE
Aterian Inc.
E 30/100 — 56.8% -35.0% +6.33% $196.7M Benchmark Subject
BSET
Bassett Furniture Industries Incorporated
C+ 69/100 32.4x 56.3% 5.0% +3.51% $194.7M /bset-vs-ater →
HOFT
Hooker Furnishings Corporation
D 47/100 — 26.4% -7.6% +5.40% $153.4M /hoft-vs-ater →
FLXS
Flexsteel Industries Inc.
B 72/100 15.6x 22.2% 14.8% -1.55% $306.5M /flxs-vs-ater →
XMAX
XMAX Inc.
E 32/100 — 25.0% -5.8% -37.49% $416.2M /xmax-vs-ater →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001757715 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aterian Inc. (ATER) reported GAAP revenue of $69.0M (-30.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $99.0M , and -51.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.0M, operating cash flow of -$10.9M, and free cash flow of -$10.9M (-615.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATER closed FY2025 with $29.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $69.0M -$19.0M -$10.9M -$10.9M $29.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $99.0M -$11.9M $2.2M $2.1M $49.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $142.6M -$74.6M -$13.4M -$13.4M — —

3. ATER Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATER stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Aterian Inc. (NASDAQ: ATER) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (+6.33% 1D, market cap $196.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ATER ranks #876 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATER compare to BSET and HOFT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), ATER carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 56.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BSET (Bassett Furniture Industries Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $194.7M) and HOFT (Hooker Furnishings Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.6%, cap $153.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLXS leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while FLXS leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATER?

Per ATER's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001757715), Aterian Inc. generated $69.0M in revenue (-30.4% YoY), -$19.0M in net income, and -$10.9M in free cash flow against $29.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATER trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATER last traded at $0.81 (+6.33% on volume of 114,326 shares), positioning the stock +28.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.63) and +3.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.78). Across its 52-week range of $0.35 to $1.87, ATER sits at the 30.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.91).

Direct Sub-Reports: ATER RQD Cockpit ATER 12M Forecast ATER Earnings & Move ATER Dividends & DRIP ATER Insiders & 13F ATER Whale Options ATER Profit Sankey ATER News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ATER — Aterian Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Aterian Inc. (ATER) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.81 (+6.33% 1D, market capitalization $196.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 56.8%, operating margin of -26.1%, and free cash flow yield of -5.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Aterian Inc. (ATER) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Home Furnishings industry. The profile describes the company as a NASDAQ-listed issuer with a market capitalization of $0.2B. — The specific products sold, customer base, and revenue model are not described in the source data. Gross margin is 56.8%, but the underlying revenue sources are not identified.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Aterian Inc. (ATER) reported $69.0M in annual revenue (up from $99.0M in FY2024, -30.4% YoY) and -$19.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($142.6M revenue, -$74.6M net income) through FY2025, ATER scaled operating cash flow to -$10.9M and free cash flow to -$10.9M, backed by $29.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.51% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.35 – $1.87 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -26.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source material. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means supply-chain exposure is unverified rather than confirmed as absent.

  • Key Question #1: Can ATER sustain or expand its -26.1% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Home Furnishings peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $69.0M and free cash flow of -$10.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ATER's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ATER Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aterian Inc. (ATER) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ATER Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ATER Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.81?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ATER 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ATER:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (+31.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning earns the strongest RQD pillar at 13 of 20, indicating some institutional interest i

Long ATER at $0.76 targeting $1.00. Institutional accumulation and options positioning earns the strongest RQD pillar at 13 of 20, indicating some institutional interest in the stock.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.35 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 13/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.76 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.58 (-23.7%)
Spot @ $0.76

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -5.51% combined with Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 3/9 point to cash burn and forensic balance-sheet

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short ATER above $0.76. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -5.51% combined with Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 3/9 point to cash burn and forensic balance-sheet risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (-5.51%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $1.87.

LIVE TAPE