VG (54) LNG (70) NFG (58) UGP (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.2% Move

$172.41 +0.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $172.32

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $28.91B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ATO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ATO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE: ATO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $172.41 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $28.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, ATO ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ATO compare to VG and LNG in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), ATO carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, VG (Venture Global Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 9.2x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $36.93B) and LNG (Cheniere Energy Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 9.7x, ROIC 24.5%, cap $65.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VG leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while LNG leads on capital efficiency (24.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATO?

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Per ATO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000731802), Atmos Energy Corporation generated $4.70B in revenue (+12.9% YoY), $1.20B in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $29.80B in total assets and $6.97B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $172.32 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 39.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ATO SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (19% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 33.2% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$163.47+2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$167.13+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$171.37+0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$172.41+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ATO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ATO faces multiple-compression risk if 24.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($164.30) or 200D SMA ($174.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($176.29) toward Bear Floor ($137.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ATO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.2% Swing Band

±$5.52 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ATO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $7.09 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.9%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$4.70B	$1.20B	$1.84B	52%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$4.17B	$1.04B	$1.55B	52%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$4.28B	$885.9M	$3.27B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ATO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ATO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ATO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $169.5H $172.4L $169.5C $172.4VOL 835.0K

RES: $174.6SUP: $151.5SMA50: $164.3SMA200: $174.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATO Butterfly Map → + Track ATO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATO)

Energy Rank #78 of 211 ⚔️ VG vs ATO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (ATO vs. VG, LNG, NFG, UGP)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #41 by equity capitalization ($28.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VG leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while LNG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LNG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ATO at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ATO ACTIVE Atmos Energy Corporation	C	63/100	24.1x	—	6.2%	+0.78%	$28.91B	Benchmark Subject
VG Venture Global Inc.	D+	54/100	9.2x	—	10.8%	+0.14%	$36.93B	/vg-vs-ato →
LNG Cheniere Energy Inc.	B-	70/100	9.7x	—	24.5%	+3.57%	$65.87B	/lng-vs-ato →
NFG National Fuel Gas Company	D+	58/100	14.5x	90.4%	9.7%	+0.24%	$7.54B	/nfg-vs-ato →
UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)	D+	53/100	—	—	—	-2.68%	$6.64B	/ugp-vs-ato →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000731802

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.70B (+12.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.17B , and +10.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.20B, operating cash flow of $2.05B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (+18.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATO closed FY2025 with $29.80B in total assets against $6.97B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$4.70B	$1.20B	$2.05B	$1.84B	$29.80B	$6.97B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$4.17B	$1.04B	$1.73B	$1.55B	$26.50B	$6.20B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$4.28B	$885.9M	$3.46B	$3.27B	$15.90B	$3.72B

3. ATO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ATO compare to VG and LNG in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATO?

Where is ATO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATO last traded at $172.41 (+0.78% on volume of 1,428,054 shares), positioning the stock +4.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($164.30) and -1.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($174.30). Across its 52-week range of $154.72 to $192.51, ATO sits at the 46.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($166.89 to $177.93).

ATO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ATO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is ATO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.2% event move for ATO, spanning a range between $166.89 and $177.93.

Direct Sub-Reports: ATO RQD Cockpit ATO 12M Forecast ATO Earnings & Move ATO Dividends & DRIP ATO Insiders & 13F ATO Whale Options ATO Profit Sankey ATO News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ATO — Atmos Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ATO scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." Across the five pillars:

Fundamental Cash Engine (11 / 20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 6.2% and an FCF yield of 6.36%. These are modest returns on capital and a cash yield that is adequate rather than exceptional, which limits the upside case from cash generation alone.
Whale 13F Flow (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score mid-range. The source does not provide 13F detail, so the specific direction of institutional flow cannot be confirmed here.
Insider Conviction (16 / 20): The highest pillar, per the RQD rating, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest supportive signal in the rating, though the individual transactions are only partly visible in the news items.
Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.12 and sector sensitivity are the basis. A beta above 1.0 means the stock is expected to move somewhat more than the market, which cuts both ways in a volatile regime.
Forensic Balance Sheet (12 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 1.79, Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.42. The perfect Piotroski score is a positive signal on financial quality, while the Altman Z reading is a reminder that distress-model signals should be interpreted in context.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating suggests a balanced setup: strong insider-flow and financial-quality signals are offset by moderate cash returns, mid-range institutional flow, and a valuation that the market data shows at 24.1x trailing and 20.2x forward earnings, with EV/EBITDA of 19.9. Upside depends largely on whether earnings growth supports the forward multiple; downside is tied to the stock's beta and sector sensitivity. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$171.07	$28.91B	24.1	20.2	19.9	7.09	1.92%	1.12	$154.72 - $192.51	6.2%

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$4702.8M	$1560.0M	$1198.8M	N/A	$1837.8M	$367.0M	$6972.8M
FY 2024	$4165.2M	$1355.4M	$1042.9M	N/A	$1546.3M	$584.5M	$6200.3M
FY 2023	$4275.4M	$1067.1M	$885.9M	N/A	$3267.4M	N/A	$3720.6M

Per the market data, operating margin is 33.2%, net margin is 25.5%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 6.2%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.42. Reported debt rose from $3720.6M in FY 2023 to $6972.8M in FY 2025 while cash declined from $584.5M to $367.0M across the two most recent periods, which the source data presents without further explanation.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Bond sale (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A headline states the Atmos Energy bond sale puts valuation back in focus. The article body is not provided.
Fiscal 2026 year-end earnings call (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): Per the news wire, the company will host its fiscal 2026 year-end earnings conference call on November 5, 2026.
Executive retirement-plan holding (RISK WATCH, RED): A headline reports a retirement plan holds 2,600 shares for executive Jeffery D. Martinez. This item carries a RED light and RISK WATCH label in the source.
Analyst predictions (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Simply Wall St item covers stock forecasts and analyst predictions. The content is not provided.
Earnings preview (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item previews what to expect from earnings. The content is not provided.
Director share activity (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW): A headline reports that director Garza acquired 77 shares and now holds 334 shares directly.

The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the terms and purpose of the bond sale referenced in the news wire, and how do they bear on the debt increase from $6200.3M to $6972.8M?
What were the fiscal 2026 year-end results and guidance expected on November 5, 2026?
Why did cash decline from $584.5M to $367.0M while free cash flow was positive in both years?
What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and how does it relate to the 33.2% operating margin?
Which 13F institutions and insider transactions drive the Whale and Insider pillar scores?

ATO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ATO Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

Atmos Energy (ATO) Bond Sale Puts Valuation Back In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 15h ago

Atmos Energy Corporation to Host Fiscal 2026 Year End Earnings Conference Call on November 5, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Titan • 18h ago

A retirement plan holds 2,600 Atmos Energy (ATO) shares for executive Jeffery D. Martinez.

Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 21h ago

Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Atmos Energy Earnings Preview: What to Expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

After acquiring 77 shares, Atmos Energy (ATO) director Garza holds 334 shares directly.

Stock Titan report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Atmos Energy (ATO) Slips 0.98% to $172.21, Holding Near the Middle of Its Recent Range - Collar Trade

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 10h ago

Atmos Energy to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

ATO's Q4 earnings are expected to have gained from customer growth, higher gas demand and rate hikes, but rising costs and lower throughput pose challenges.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ATO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $172.41?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ATO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $184.76 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ATO (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $171.07?

Welcome to the ATO (Atmos Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Oil/Gas Transmission. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $140.28 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $171.07

Pump the brakes on ATO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ATO, but look at what you are paying: 24.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Atmos Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $198.44 (+16.0%)

Spot @ $171.07

ATO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ATO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil/Gas Transmission and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $171.07 (52-wk range $154.72 - $192.51), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.