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Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.23 -3.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.20

Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $126.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ATOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Atomera Incorporated (NASDAQ: ATOM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-3.73% 1D, market cap $126.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ATOM ranks #625 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ATOM compare to ALMU and GSIT in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ATOM carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALMU (Aeluma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.8%, cap $145.2M) and GSIT (GSI Technology) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATOM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALMU leads on capital efficiency (-21.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATOM?
▼

Per ATOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001420520), Atomera Incorporated generated $65.0K in revenue (-51.9% YoY), -$20.2M in net income, and -$14.9M in free cash flow against $21.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.20 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.6% Base Target
$13 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE ATOM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ATOM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ATOM SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$3.49-13.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$3.02-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$3.01+7.3% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$3.23-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ATOM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ATOM currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.87) and Max Pain ($3.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ATOM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ATOM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.40 Expected Swing
$2.83 (-12.5%)Spot $3.23$3.63 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ATOM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -51.9%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$65.0K-$20.2M-$14.9M-50%
FY 20242024-12-31$135.0K-$18.4M-$13.3M8.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$550.0K-$19.8M-$14.6M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ATOM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ATOM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ATOM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -69.41%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $3.35H $3.35L $3.23C $3.23VOL 778.1K
RES: $3.08SUP: $2.67SMA50: $3.87SMA200: $5.51
$13.03$10.26$7.50$4.74$1.97RES $3.08SUP $2.67$3.232026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ATOM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ATOM Butterfly Map → + Track ATOM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -51.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ATOM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ATOM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ATOM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ATOM)

Technology Rank #625 of 715 ⚔️ ALMU vs ATOM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ATOM vs. ALMU, GSIT, QUIK, VLN)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) ranks #625 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #507 by equity capitalization ($126.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATOM leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ALMU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -21.8% ROIC and 59.6% gross margin. ALMU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 30/100 (E) compared with ATOM at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ATOM ACTIVE
Atomera Incorporated
E 28/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.73% $126.0M Benchmark Subject
ALMU
Aeluma Inc.
E 30/100 — 59.6% -21.8% -0.26% $145.2M /almu-vs-atom →
GSIT
GSI Technology
E 27/100 — 54.5% -35.0% -3.16% $147.4M /gsit-vs-atom →
QUIK
QuickLogic Corporation
E 24/100 — 22.0% -35.0% -4.80% $152.6M /quik-vs-atom →
VLN
Valens Semiconductor Ltd.
E 21/100 — 62.4% -34.9% -1.99% $155.8M /vln-vs-atom →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001420520 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) reported GAAP revenue of $65.0K (-51.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $135.0K , and -88.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.2M, operating cash flow of -$14.9M, and free cash flow of -$14.9M (-12.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ATOM closed FY2025 with $21.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.24, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $65.0K -$20.2M -$14.9M -$14.9M $21.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $135.0K -$18.4M -$13.2M -$13.3M $29.1M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $550.0K -$19.8M -$14.6M -$14.6M — —

3. ATOM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ATOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Atomera Incorporated (NASDAQ: ATOM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $3.23 (-3.73% 1D, market cap $126.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, ATOM ranks #625 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ATOM compare to ALMU and GSIT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ATOM carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALMU (Aeluma Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.8%, cap $145.2M) and GSIT (GSI Technology) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $147.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATOM leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ALMU leads on capital efficiency (-21.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ATOM?

Per ATOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001420520), Atomera Incorporated generated $65.0K in revenue (-51.9% YoY), -$20.2M in net income, and -$14.9M in free cash flow against $21.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ATOM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ATOM last traded at $3.23 (-3.73% on volume of 778,114 shares), positioning the stock -16.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.87) and -41.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.51). Across its 52-week range of $1.89 to $12.36, ATOM sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.83 to $3.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: ATOM RQD Cockpit ATOM 12M Forecast ATOM Earnings & Move ATOM Dividends & DRIP ATOM Insiders & 13F ATOM Whale Options ATOM Profit Sankey ATOM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ATOM — Atomera Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $3.23 (-3.73% 1D, market capitalization $126.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of -30.0%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -11.55%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 10.24, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, and profile. The profile does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is $0.1M for FY 2025, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) reported $65.0K in annual revenue (up from $135.0K in FY2024, -51.9% YoY) and -$20.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($550.0K revenue, -$19.8M net income) through FY2025, ATOM scaled operating cash flow to -$14.9M and free cash flow to -$14.9M, backed by $21.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -11.55% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.89 – $12.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. Second-order ripples cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ATOM sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $65.0K and free cash flow of -$14.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ATOM's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ATOM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Atomera Incorporated (ATOM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ATOM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ATOM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.23?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ATOM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ATOM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.09 (+22.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Altman Z-Score of 10.24 indicates a balance-sheet profile the RQD rating scores as strong on bankruptcy-risk metrics.

Picked up a starter position in ATOM in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $3.35. Altman Z-Score of 10.24 indicates a balance-sheet profile the RQD rating scores as strong on bankruptcy-risk metrics.. Trading inside a $1.89–$12.36 52-week range with -11.55% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Semiconductors multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Semiconductors. If gross margin (-30.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.71 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $3.35

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -11.55% show the company is consuming capital while revenue stays at $0.1M.

Careful chasing ATOM at $3.35. ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -11.55% show the company is consuming capital while revenue stays at $0.1M.. Gross margin is -30.0%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $2.71 on multiple compression.

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