Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.52 -3.80% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51

Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $404.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AUTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Autolus Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ: AUTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.52 (-3.80% 1D, market cap $404.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AUTL ranks #983 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AUTL compare to CCCC and TECX in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), AUTL carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -27.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCCC (C4 Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $406.0M) and TECX (Tectonic Therapeutic Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $400.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FENC leads on capital efficiency (-25.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AUTL?
β–Ό

Per AUTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001730463), Autolus Therapeutics plc generated $75.4M in revenue (+644.9% YoY), -$287.5M in net income, and -$302.6M in free cash flow against $589.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51 (-0.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.4% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AUTL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AUTL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AUTL SCORES 21/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 25% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$1.62+2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$1.66-6.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$1.55-1.9% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$1.52-11.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (29) β†’ E (21)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AUTL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While AUTL currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.87) and Max Pain ($1.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.71.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AUTLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAUTL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AUTL)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for AUTL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AUTL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AUTL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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AUTL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.18%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.58H $1.58L $1.52C $1.52VOL 1.68M
RES: $3.10SUP: $1.48SMA50: $1.87SMA200: $1.67
$2.66$2.32$1.97$1.62$1.27RES $3.10SUP $1.48$1.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AUTL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AUTL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AUTL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AUTL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AUTL)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (AUTL vs. CCCC, TECX, AGMB, FENC)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) ranks #983 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #473 by equity capitalization ($404.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUTL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FENC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -25.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. AGMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AUTL at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AUTL ACTIVE
Autolus Therapeutics plc
E 21/100 β€” -27.8% -35.0% -3.80% $404.6M Benchmark Subject
CCCC
C4 Therapeutics Inc.
E 28/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +2.12% $406.0M /cccc-vs-autl β†’
TECX
Tectonic Therapeutic Inc.
E 30/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.51% $400.8M /tecx-vs-autl β†’
AGMB
AgomAb Therapeutics NV
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -5.79% $391.5M /agmb-vs-autl β†’
FENC
Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” -25.9% -6.48% $383.6M /fenc-vs-autl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001730463

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) reported GAAP revenue of $75.4M (+644.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.1M , and +4339.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$287.5M, operating cash flow of -$283.6M, and free cash flow of -$302.6M (-32.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AUTL closed FY2025 with $589.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $75.4M -$287.5M -$283.6M -$302.6M $589.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.1M -$220.7M -$206.3M -$228.3M $782.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.7M -$208.4M -$145.6M -$145.6M β€” β€”

3. AUTL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AUTL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Autolus Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ: AUTL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $1.52 (-3.80% 1D, market cap $404.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, AUTL ranks #983 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AUTL compare to CCCC and TECX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), AUTL carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -27.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CCCC (C4 Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $406.0M) and TECX (Tectonic Therapeutic Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $400.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUTL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FENC leads on capital efficiency (-25.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AUTL?

Per AUTL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001730463), Autolus Therapeutics plc generated $75.4M in revenue (+644.9% YoY), -$287.5M in net income, and -$302.6M in free cash flow against $589.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AUTL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AUTL last traded at $1.52 (-3.80% on volume of 1,675,296 shares), positioning the stock -18.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.87) and -8.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.67). Across its 52-week range of $1.17 to $2.58, AUTL sits at the 24.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.3% ($1.35 to $1.69).

AUTL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is AUTL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for AUTL.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 21/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

AUTL β€” Autolus Therapeutics plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, AUTL scores 21 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 3 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), indicating that the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 4 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), suggesting weak institutional support in the rating's inputs. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating little supportive insider signaling. The macro regime fit pillar scores 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), a middling reading on market sensitivity. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 5 / 20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), the most direct signal of financial stress in the rating. For a prospective investor, the upside case depends on a turnaround in cash generation that the reported figures do not yet show, while the valuation tradeoff is that earnings-based multiples cannot be assessed from available data. Second-order risk is elevated because weak balance-sheet and cash-flow pillars can amplify sensitivity to any financing or operating setback. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$75.4M$-270.5M$-287.5MN/A$-302.6M$104.1MN/A
FY 2024$10.1M$-241.4M$-220.7MN/A$-228.3M$227.4MN/A
FY 2023$1.7M$-179.7M$-208.4MN/A$-145.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1.7M (FY 2023) to $10.1M (FY 2024) to $75.4M (FY 2025), while operating losses and net losses remained large in each period. Per the market data, gross margin is -27.8%, operating margin is -60%, net margin is -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported cash declined from $227.4M (FY 2024) to $104.1M (FY 2025), and FY 2025 free cash flow was $-302.6M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines are tagged to AUTL, all with a relative time within the past 15 hours. One item, a Yahoo Finance report, is labeled CATALYST and carries a GREEN light; it is titled "All You Need to Know About Autolus Therapeutics (AUTL) Rating Upgrade to Buy." The remaining five items are labeled MARKET WIRE with YELLOW lights, including a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Autolus Therapeutics: Key Questions For The Near Term" and a kalkine.ca piece titled "Why Is Autolus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AUTL) Down 10.92% Pre-Market, and Is More Selling Ahead?" Risk watch items include the Seeking Alpha headline "Autolus Therapeutics: Cheap On Sales, Still Far From Breakeven." Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are Autolus's reported product lines and customer base, and what drives the revenue increase from $1.7M to $75.4M across FY 2023–FY 2025?
  • What is the company's debt position, since the debt field is N/A for all reported periods?
  • What is the basis for the "Rating Upgrade to Buy" headline, and which analyst or source issued it?
  • What is the company's cash runway given cash of $104.1M against FY 2025 free cash flow of $-302.6M?
  • What EPS and P/E figures would apply, since EPS and valuation multiples are not available in the source data?

AUTL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Autolus Therapeutics plc (AUTL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AUTL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AUTL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.52?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AUTL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AUTL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.39 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AUTL (E β€’ RQD 21/100) a Buy at $1.58?

Welcome to the AUTL (Autolus Therapeutics plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 21/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.20 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $1.58

Pump the brakes on AUTL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AUTL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -27.8% gross margins. Unless Autolus Therapeutics plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.85 (+17.1%)
Spot @ $1.58

AUTL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AUTL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.58 (52-wk range $1.17 - $2.58), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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