Yahoo Finance report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why AVAV Stock dropped -6.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is AVAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, AeroVironment Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $126.11 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $6.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AVAV ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does AVAV compare to SARO and JOBY in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AVAV carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of -7.6%. By comparison, SARO (StandardAero Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.87B) and JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SARO leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVAV?
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Per AVAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001368622), AeroVironment Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+140.9% YoY), -$265.1M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $5.36B in total assets and $727.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.8% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 2.07 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AVAV Turnaround Squeeze
While AVAV currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($140.38) and Max Pain ($132.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $428.66.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why AVAV Stock dropped -6.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) dropped -6.50% to $126.11, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($113.15 – $408.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($113.15 – $408.25) with RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.8% around $126.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 25.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
24/7 Wall St. report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Security Clearance Jobs report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Clough Capital Partners L.P., an investment management company, recently released its Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The letter reported that both the Clough Select Equity ETF (CBSE
ARK loaded Teradyne and AeroVironment while trimming AMD, TSMC and Eli Lilly.
Capitalize on AI autonomy, drone swarms and multi-domain systems while using tariff, sourcing and regional insights to control costs and uncover revenue opportunities.Dublin, Nov. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- "Military D
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AVAV)
- ✓Walkthrough of AVAV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
AVAV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +140.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVAV today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVAV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVAV)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AVAV vs. SARO, JOBY, BETA, AIR)
Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) ranks #400 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #123 by equity capitalization ($6.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SARO leads on earnings valuation at 18.3x trailing P/E, while AIR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.0% ROIC and 18.8% gross margin. SARO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with AVAV at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV
ACTIVE
AeroVironment Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 25.3% | -7.6% | -6.50% | $6.85B | Benchmark Subject |
| SARO StandardAero Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 18.3x | 14.8% | 10.7% | -1.72% | $7.87B | /saro-vs-avav → |
| JOBY Joby Aviation Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.54% | $5.05B | /joby-vs-avav → |
| BETA Beta Technologies Inc. (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | — | 72.2% | -35.0% | -2.53% | $4.81B | /beta-vs-avav → |
| AIR AAR Corp. | D | 50/100 | 22.4x | 18.8% | 12.0% | -4.08% | $4.20B | /air-vs-avav → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0001368622In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+140.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $820.6M , and +175.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$265.1M, operating cash flow of -$78.4M, and free cash flow of -$140.9M (-575.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVAV closed FY2025 with $5.36B in total assets against $727.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-04-30 | $1.98B | -$265.1M | -$78.4M | -$140.9M | $5.36B | $727.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-04-30 | $820.6M | $43.6M | -$1.3M | -$20.9M | $1.05B | $25.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-04-30 | $716.7M | $59.7M | $15.3M | -$17.0M | $3.77B | $882.2M |
3. AVAV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs AVAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, AeroVironment Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $126.11 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $6.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AVAV ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.
How does AVAV compare to SARO and JOBY in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), AVAV carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of -7.6%. By comparison, SARO (StandardAero Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.87B) and JOBY (Joby Aviation Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SARO leads on earnings multiple (18.3x) while AIR leads on capital efficiency (12.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVAV?
Per AVAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001368622), AeroVironment Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+140.9% YoY), -$265.1M in net income, and -$140.9M in free cash flow against $5.36B in total assets and $727.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is AVAV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
AVAV last traded at $126.11 (-6.50% on volume of 1,040,942 shares), positioning the stock -10.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($140.38) and -31.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($182.90). Across its 52-week range of $113.15 to $408.25, AVAV sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($111.23 to $140.99).
AVAV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is AVAV stock moving today?
Why AVAV Stock dropped -6.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AVAV — AeroVironment Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AVAV carries an RQD Score of 31 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 5 / 20 (ROIC -7.6%; FCF yield -2.06%), indicating that the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or positive free cash flow relative to market value. Whale 13F Flow scores 8 / 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, and Insider Conviction scores 5 / 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 6 / 20 (Beta 0.94; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 7 / 20 (Altman Z 2.07; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.26). For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the cash-generation and insider-signal pillars are the weakest, which means the stock's valuation depends on future earnings improvement rather than current cash returns. The balance-sheet metrics are middling rather than distressed, so the forensic concern is primarily about earnings quality and cash conversion rather than immediate solvency. Upside drivers would need to come from a sustained turn in operating profitability; the current negative ROIC and FCF yield mean the stock offers no cash-yield cushion while that turn is pending.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2026-04-30) | $1976.8M | $-311.0M | $-265.1M | N/A | $-140.9M | $289.9M | $727.9M |
| FY 2024 (filed 2025-04-30) | $820.6M | $40.8M | $43.6M | N/A | $-20.9M | $47.0M | $25.0M |
| FY 2023 (filed 2024-04-30) | $716.7M | $71.8M | $59.7M | N/A | $-17.0M | N/A | $882.2M |
Per the market data, the operating margin is -15.7% and the net margin is -13.4%, with ROIC at -7.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.07 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.26 per the RQD forensic pillar. The FY 2025 swing from positive operating income in FY 2024 to a $-311.0M operating loss is the central financial development in the source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news and catalysts section, the headlines are mixed. A RISK WATCH item, "AeroVironment Is Now Down 43% This Year. Is It Time to Sell This Dropping Drone Stock?" (24/7 Wall St. and Yahoo Finance coverage), flags declining share performance. Another RISK WATCH headline, "AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Looks Reasonable As Shares Fell 65%," reports the sharp drawdown while suggesting valuation has reset. A CATALYST-tagged item reports that Macquarie initiated coverage with an outperform rating. A MARKET WIRE headline, "AeroVironment Lands Major Army Deals as AVAV Stock Looks More Attractive," references major Army deals, though the source does not detail contract values or timing. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the specific drivers of the FY 2025 operating loss of $-311.0M, and are they recurring or one-time?
- What is the TTM P/E and EV/EBITDA, given that both are marked unavailable in the source data?
- What do the Army contracts referenced in the news wire represent in dollar value and timing?
- What is the composition of the reported debt of $727.9M, and what are its maturities and terms?
- Who holds the stock institutionally, and how have 13F and insider positions changed over recent periods?
AVAV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Security Clearance Jobs report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Clough Capital Partners L.P., an investment management company, recently released its Q3 2026 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The letter reported that both the Clough Select Equity ETF (CBSE
AVAV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $126.11?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is AVAV (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $134.88?
Welcome to the AVAV (AeroVironment Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on AVAV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AVAV, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 25.3% gross margins. Unless AeroVironment Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
AVAV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AVAV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $134.88 (52-wk range $113.15 - $408.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.