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Stock Ratings / Technology / AVPT / earnings
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AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.5% Move

$16.71 -2.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.68

AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74.1% gross margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AVPT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AVPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, AvePoint Inc. (NASDAQ: AVPT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (-2.22% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AVPT ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AVPT compare to FSLY and APPN in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), AVPT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.5x, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, FSLY (Fastly Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.8%, cap $3.68B) and APPN (Appian Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while AVPT leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVPT?
▼

Per AVPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001777921), AvePoint Inc. generated $419.5M in revenue (+26.9% YoY), $34.8M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $789.2M in total assets and $139.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.68 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 19.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (19)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$21 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE AVPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AVPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AVPT SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$14.00+12.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$15.72+9.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$17.20-2.8% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$16.71+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AVPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, AVPT faces multiple-compression risk if 105.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 106x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($14.47) or 200D SMA ($11.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.61) toward Bear Floor ($13.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AVPT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AVPT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.5% Swing Band

±$1.25 Expected Swing
$15.46 (-7.5%)Spot $16.71$17.96 (+7.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AVPT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $0.16 • YoY Revenue Growth: 26.9%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$419.5M$34.8M$81.6M74.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$330.5M-$29.1M$85.8M75%
FY 20232023-12-31$271.8M-$21.7M$22.5M74.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating AVPT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on AVPT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AVPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.69%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.35H $17.35L $16.71C $16.71VOL 27.96M
RES: $17.73SUP: $13.17SMA50: $14.47SMA200: $11.95
$18.08$15.76$13.44$11.12$8.80RES $17.73SUP $13.17$16.712026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AVPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AVPT Butterfly Map → + Track AVPT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AVPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AVPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AVPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AVPT)

Technology Rank #74 of 715 ⚔️ FSLY vs AVPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (AVPT vs. FSLY, APPN, FRSH, INTA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #237 by equity capitalization ($3.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRSH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while AVPT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and 74.1% gross margin. AVPT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AVPT ACTIVE
AvePoint Inc.
B- 70/100 105.5x 74.1% 8.9% -2.22% $3.62B Benchmark Subject
FSLY
Fastly Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 57.1% -8.8% -10.88% $3.68B /fsly-vs-avpt →
APPN
Appian Corporation
C 64/100 — 72.5% 0.2% -0.71% $3.52B /appn-vs-avpt →
FRSH
Freshworks Inc.
C+ 69/100 21.3x 85.0% 1.5% -3.46% $3.84B /frsh-vs-avpt →
INTA
Intapp Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 74.0% -9.9% +6.68% $3.24B /inta-vs-avpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001777921 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) reported GAAP revenue of $419.5M (+26.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $330.5M , and +54.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $34.8M, operating cash flow of $85.3M, and free cash flow of $81.6M (-5.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AVPT closed FY2025 with $789.2M in total assets against $139.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.39, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $419.5M $34.8M $85.3M $81.6M $789.2M $139.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $330.5M -$29.1M $88.9M $85.8M $519.1M $111.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $271.8M -$21.7M $34.7M $22.5M $2.02B $472.4M

3. AVPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AVPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, AvePoint Inc. (NASDAQ: AVPT) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $16.71 (-2.22% 1D, market cap $3.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, AVPT ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AVPT compare to FSLY and APPN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), AVPT carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 105.5x, gross margin of 74.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, FSLY (Fastly Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.8%, cap $3.68B) and APPN (Appian Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $3.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while AVPT leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AVPT?

Per AVPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001777921), AvePoint Inc. generated $419.5M in revenue (+26.9% YoY), $34.8M in net income, and $81.6M in free cash flow against $789.2M in total assets and $139.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AVPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AVPT last traded at $16.71 (-2.22% on volume of 4,339,629 shares), positioning the stock +15.48% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.47) and +39.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.95). Across its 52-week range of $8.84 to $17.52, AVPT sits at the 90.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($15.46 to $17.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: AVPT RQD Cockpit AVPT 12M Forecast AVPT Earnings & Move AVPT Dividends & DRIP AVPT Insiders & 13F AVPT Whale Options AVPT Profit Sankey AVPT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AVPT — AvePoint Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $16.71 (-2.22% 1D, market capitalization $3.62B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9%, gross margin of 74.1%, operating margin of 7.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (19/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.37x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.39, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The source data identifies AvePoint Inc. As a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, with a market capitalization of $3.7B. Products, customer base, and revenue model details are — Gross margin is 74.1% which the source does not further break down by product line.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) reported $419.5M in annual revenue (up from $330.5M in FY2024, +26.9% YoY) and $34.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($271.8M revenue, -$21.7M net income) through FY2025, AVPT scaled operating cash flow to $85.3M and free cash flow to $81.6M, backed by $789.2M in total assets against $139.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 70/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 19/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.84 – $17.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 105.5x trailing P/E and 91.8x EV/EBITDA against 7.9% operating margins and a 1.37x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), AVPT carries a macro regime beta of 1.37 and gross margin of 74.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AVPT sustain or expand its 7.9% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $419.5M and free cash flow of $81.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $139.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AVPT's 88.6x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.37x)?

AVPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for AvePoint Inc. (AVPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AVPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AVPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AVPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AVPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.02 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $271.8M to $419.5M with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 7.39 alongside institutional accumulation

The street is overcomplicating AvePoint Inc. (AVPT). Revenue grew from $271.8M to $419.5M with a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and an Altman Z-Score of 7.39 alongside institutional accumulation.. With an RQD score of 70/100 (B-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $18.46.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 19/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $17.09 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.36 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $17.09

A trailing P/E of 105.5 and FCF yield of 2.22% leave the valuation resting on earnings that remain thin at an 8.3% net margin.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AVPT above $17.09. A trailing P/E of 105.5 and FCF yield of 2.22% leave the valuation resting on earnings that remain thin at an 8.3% net margin.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (2.22%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $17.52.

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