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QRHC (30) RENX (18) VIVK (21) OIO (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.53 -2.32% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $10.1M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AWX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-2.32% 1D, market cap $10.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?
β–Ό

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?
β–Ό

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.51 (-0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 2.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$3 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE AWX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AWX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY AWX SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 18% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.5% FCF Margin ($2.1M FCF) & 19.5% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$2.45+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$2.61+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$2.64-4.2% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$2.53+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (50) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AWX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AWX faces multiple-compression risk if 30.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 17.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.58) or 200D SMA ($2.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.53) toward Bear Floor ($1.97).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AWXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œAWX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AWX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of AWX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AWX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.20%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $2.53H $2.59L $2.53C $2.53VOL 618
RES: $3.05SUP: $2.44SMA50: $2.58SMA200: $2.58
$2.92$2.79$2.66$2.52$2.39RES $3.05SUP $2.44$2.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AWX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ AWX Butterfly Map β†’ + Track AWX β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AWX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AWX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AWX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AWX)

Utilities Rank #37 of 116 βš”οΈ QRHC vs AWX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (AWX vs. QRHC, RENX, VIVK, OIO)

Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #111 by equity capitalization ($10.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while AWX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 19.5% gross margin. AWX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AWX ACTIVE
Avalon Holdings Corporation
D+ 58/100 30.7x 19.5% 2.6% -2.32% $10.1M Benchmark Subject
QRHC
Quest Resource Holding Corporation
E 30/100 β€” 17.0% -12.3% -0.92% $23.0M /qrhc-vs-awx β†’
RENX
RenX Enterprises Corp.
E 18/100 β€” 29.1% -35.0% +0.85% $3.6M /renx-vs-awx β†’
VIVK
Vivakor Inc.
E 21/100 β€” 36.1% -35.0% -21.80% $1.4M /vivk-vs-awx β†’
OIO
OIO Group
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” -1.05% $661.2M /oio-vs-awx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001061069 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) reported GAAP revenue of $83.5M (-0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.8M , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $321.0K, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $2.1M (+83.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, AWX closed FY2025 with $87.4M in total assets against $28.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $83.5M $321.0K $3.8M $2.1M $87.4M $28.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $83.8M $1.3M $3.4M $1.1M $86.2M $28.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $80.9M -$1.8M $2.4M $2.4M β€” β€”

3. AWX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AWX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSE: AWX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-2.32% 1D, market cap $10.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, AWX ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AWX compare to QRHC and RENX in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), AWX carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.7x, gross margin of 19.5%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M) and RENX (RenX Enterprises Corp.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while AWX leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AWX?

Per AWX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001061069), Avalon Holdings Corporation generated $83.5M in revenue (-0.3% YoY), $321.0K in net income, and $2.1M in free cash flow against $87.4M in total assets and $28.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AWX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AWX last traded at $2.53 (-2.32% on volume of 1,299 shares), positioning the stock -1.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.58) and -1.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.58). Across its 52-week range of $2.43 to $3.00, AWX sits at the 17.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($2.32 to $2.74).

Direct Sub-Reports: AWX RQD Cockpit AWX 12M Forecast AWX Earnings & Move AWX Dividends & DRIP AWX Insiders & 13F AWX Whale Options AWX Profit Sankey AWX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AWX β€” Avalon Holdings Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.53 (-2.32% 1D, market capitalization $10.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.6%, gross margin of 19.5%, operating margin of 2.4%, and free cash flow yield of 20.84%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.73x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Per the market data, gross margin is 19.5%, operating margin 2.4%, and net margin 0.4%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) reported $83.5M in annual revenue (up from $83.8M in FY2024, -0.3% YoY) and $321.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($80.9M revenue, -$1.8M net income) through FY2025, AWX scaled operating cash flow to $3.8M and free cash flow to $2.1M, backed by $87.4M in total assets against $28.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 20.84% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.43 – $3.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 30.7x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 2.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Environmental Services (Utilities), AWX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 19.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can AWX sustain or expand its 2.4% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC against Environmental Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $83.5M and free cash flow of $2.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $28.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AWX's 28.6x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

AWX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Avalon Holdings Corporation (AWX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to AWX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AWX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.53?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AWX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AWX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.39 (+30.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

The 20.84% FCF yield and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 point to real cash generation and a balance sheet that is not in distress.

Don't sleep on AWX's setup in Utilities. The 20.84% FCF yield and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 point to real cash generation and a balance sheet that is not in distress.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (58/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.59 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Utilities.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.05 (-20.8%)
Spot @ $2.59

A 2.6% ROIC, 2.4% operating margin, and a 6 out of 20 whale-flow score indicate weak returns and little institutional support.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short AWX above $2.59. A 2.6% ROIC, 2.4% operating margin, and a 6 out of 20 whale-flow score indicate weak returns and little institutional support.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20) and FCF yield (20.84%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $3.00.

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