ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / AXS
KNSL (78) THG (77) ORI (61) ESNT (77) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$106.60 +1.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $106.71

Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.52B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on AXS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is AXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Axis Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: AXS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $106.60 (+1.65% 1D, market cap $7.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AXS ranks #687 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does AXS compare to KNSL and THG in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AXS carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, KNSL (Kinsale Capital Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $8.23B) and THG (Hanover Insurance Group Inc) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $8.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while KNSL leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXS?
▼

Per AXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001214816), Axis Capital Holdings Limited generated $6.56B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $1.01B in net income, and -$336.3M in free cash flow against $34.46B in total assets and $12.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $106.72 (+0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$126 Bull$102 Base$79 Bear
📬 FREE AXS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AXS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AXS SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 18.1% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$98.06+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$100.57+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$101.61+4.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$106.60-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AXS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AXS currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($99.00) and Max Pain ($111.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $125.99.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AXS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AXS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
64.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE52% OF RANGE
L: $92$106.60H: $120
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on AXS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

5.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -4.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AXS
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AXS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AXS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
AXS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.85%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $102.8H $106.6L $102.8C $106.6VOL 976.4K
RES: $105.5SUP: $90.56SMA50: $99.00SMA200: $102.0
$121.9$114.1$106.2$98.41$90.59RES $105.5SUP $90.56$106.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AXS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AXS Butterfly Map → + Track AXS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-7.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AXS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AXS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AXS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AXS)

Financials Rank #687 of 1097 ⚔️ KNSL vs AXS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (AXS vs. KNSL, THG, ORI, ESNT)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) ranks #687 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #221 by equity capitalization ($7.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while KNSL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. KNSL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with AXS at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AXS ACTIVE
Axis Capital Holdings Limited
D 48/100 7.3x — 5.6% +1.65% $7.52B Benchmark Subject
KNSL
Kinsale Capital Group Inc.
B+ 78/100 16.2x — 13.8% +3.80% $8.23B /knsl-vs-axs →
THG
Hanover Insurance Group Inc
B+ 77/100 12.4x — 9.1% +2.61% $8.32B /thg-vs-axs →
ORI
Old Republic International Corporation
C- 61/100 9.9x — 7.3% +1.06% $9.30B /ori-vs-axs →
ESNT
Essent Group Ltd.
B+ 77/100 8.8x — 11.9% +1.82% $6.02B /esnt-vs-axs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001214816 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) reported GAAP revenue of $6.56B (+10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.96B , and +16.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.01B, operating cash flow of -$40.9M, and free cash flow of -$336.3M (-121.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, AXS closed FY2025 with $34.46B in total assets against $12.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.56B $1.01B -$40.9M -$336.3M $34.46B $12.65B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.96B $1.08B $1.84B $1.58B $32.68B $11.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.64B $376.3M $1.26B $1.00B $6.77B $1.58B

3. AXS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AXS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Axis Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: AXS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $106.60 (+1.65% 1D, market cap $7.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, AXS ranks #687 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AXS compare to KNSL and THG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), AXS carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, KNSL (Kinsale Capital Group Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 16.2x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $8.23B) and THG (Hanover Insurance Group Inc) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $8.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while KNSL leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AXS?

Per AXS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001214816), Axis Capital Holdings Limited generated $6.56B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $1.01B in net income, and -$336.3M in free cash flow against $34.46B in total assets and $12.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AXS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AXS last traded at $106.60 (+1.65% on volume of 852,677 shares), positioning the stock +7.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($99.00) and +4.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($102.01). Across its 52-week range of $92.23 to $119.99, AXS sits at the 51.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($101.91 to $111.29).

Direct Sub-Reports: AXS RQD Cockpit AXS 12M Forecast AXS Earnings & Move AXS Dividends & DRIP AXS Insiders & 13F AXS Whale Options AXS Profit Sankey AXS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

AXS — Axis Capital Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $106.60 (+1.65% 1D, market capitalization $7.52B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.8%, and free cash flow yield of -4.56%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and Property-Casualty Insurers industry. It operates in property-casualty insurance with a market capitalization of $7.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) reported $6.56B in annual revenue (up from $5.96B in FY2024, +10.2% YoY) and $1.01B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.64B revenue, $376.3M net income) through FY2025, AXS scaled operating cash flow to -$40.9M and free cash flow to -$336.3M, backed by $34.46B in total assets against $12.65B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.56% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $92.23 – $119.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 7.3x trailing P/E and 12.4x EV/EBITDA against 18.8% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded for AXS. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector-level context provided is the Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers classification and the beta of 0.98 per the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can AXS sustain or expand its 18.8% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.56B and free cash flow of -$336.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.65B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is AXS's 6.8x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

AXS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to AXS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

AXS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $106.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON AXS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on AXS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $134.23 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 6.8 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 of 20 indicate a low-multiple, moderately levered profile.

Picked up a starter position in AXS in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $104.87. Forward P/E of 6.8 and a Forensic Balance Sheet pillar score of 13 of 20 indicate a low-multiple, moderately levered profile.. Trading inside a $93.02–$119.99 52-week range with -4.56% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Property-Casualty Insurers multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — AXS's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $81.80 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $104.87

FCF of -$336.3M in FY 2025 and an FCF yield of -4.56% weigh on the Fundamental Cash Engine, which scores only 5 of 20.

Careful chasing AXS at $104.87. FCF of -$336.3M in FY 2025 and an FCF yield of -4.56% weigh on the Fundamental Cash Engine, which scores only 5 of 20.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 18.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $81.80 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE