FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$88.02 -0.53% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $88.15

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (52.7% gross margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $10.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BAH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (NYSE: BAH) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $88.02 (-0.53% 1D, market cap $10.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BAH ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BAH compare to G and GIB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BAH carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of 52.7%, and ROIC of 20.4%. By comparison, G (Genpact Limited) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $6.63B) and GIB (CGI Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $18.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAH leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while G leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BAH?
▼

Per BAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001443646), Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation generated $11.22B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $850.5M in net income, and $536.2M in free cash flow against $7.05B in total assets and $3.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $88.14 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 4.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (16)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
$115 Bull$94 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE BAH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BAH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BAH SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.8% FCF Margin ($536.2M FCF) & 52.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (71.1) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$71.87+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$75.04+11.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$83.48+5.4% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$88.02+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BAH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, BAH faces multiple-compression risk if 11.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 50.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($75.75) or 200D SMA ($76.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($93.96) toward Bear Floor ($72.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BAH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BAH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BAH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $88.02: 113.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $72.18
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $93.96
$10,675
+$675 (+6.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $114.55
$13,014
+$3,014 (+30.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$9874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$10869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$8358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BAH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.08%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $84.23H $88.49L $84.23C $88.02VOL 3.87M
RES: $90.76SUP: $68.73SMA50: $75.75SMA200: $76.38
$93.54$84.31$75.09$65.86$56.64RES $90.76SUP $68.73$88.022026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BAH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BAH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BAH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BAH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #89 of 1009 ⚔️ G vs BAH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BAH vs. G, GIB, FCN, RHI)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) ranks #89 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #162 by equity capitalization ($10.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAH leads on earnings valuation at 11.7x trailing P/E, while G leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 36.0% gross margin. G currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with BAH at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BAH ACTIVE
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation
B 73/100 11.7x 52.7% 20.4% -0.53% $10.50B Benchmark Subject
G
Genpact Limited
A- 81/100 11.8x 36.0% 20.7% +2.27% $6.63B /g-vs-bah →
GIB
CGI Inc.
C+ 67/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.41% $18.68B /gib-vs-bah →
FCN
FTI Consulting Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.5x 32.1% 16.8% +4.88% $4.98B /fcn-vs-bah →
RHI
Robert Half Inc.
B 74/100 32.9x 37.2% 4.1% +2.38% $4.48B /rhi-vs-bah →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001443646 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) reported GAAP revenue of $11.22B (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.98B , and +5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $850.5M, operating cash flow of $1.04B, and free cash flow of $536.2M (+14.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, BAH closed FY2025 with $7.05B in total assets against $3.86B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.00, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $11.22B $850.5M $1.04B $536.2M $7.05B $3.86B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $11.98B $935.0M $1.01B $469.9M $6.82B $3.29B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $10.66B $605.7M $259.0M -$220.8M $12.79B $2.99B

3. BAH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (NYSE: BAH) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $88.02 (-0.53% 1D, market cap $10.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BAH ranks #89 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BAH compare to G and GIB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BAH carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of 52.7%, and ROIC of 20.4%. By comparison, G (Genpact Limited) holds a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $6.63B) and GIB (CGI Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $18.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAH leads on earnings multiple (11.7x) while G leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BAH?

Per BAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001443646), Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation generated $11.22B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $850.5M in net income, and $536.2M in free cash flow against $7.05B in total assets and $3.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BAH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BAH last traded at $88.02 (-0.53% on volume of 1,946,613 shares), positioning the stock +16.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($75.75) and +15.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($76.38). Across its 52-week range of $59.50 to $109.10, BAH sits at the 57.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.1 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($80.98 to $95.06).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BAH — Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 73/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $88.02 (-0.53% 1D, market capitalization $10.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 20.4%, gross margin of 52.7%, operating margin of 9.2%, and free cash flow yield of 5.37%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.00, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.76x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue-generation model. The profile does not describe what the company sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) reported $11.22B in annual revenue (up from $11.98B in FY2024, -6.4% YoY) and $850.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($10.66B revenue, $605.7M net income) through FY2025, BAH scaled operating cash flow to $1.04B and free cash flow to $536.2M, backed by $7.05B in total assets against $3.86B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 73/100): Strong cash generator (52.7% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $59.50 – $109.10 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 11.7x trailing P/E and 8.9x EV/EBITDA against 9.2% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Professional Services (Consumer Discretionary), BAH carries a macro regime beta of 1.09 and gross margin of 52.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BAH sustain or expand its 9.2% operating margin and 20.4% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $11.22B and free cash flow of $536.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.86B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BAH's 10.9x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

BAH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BAH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST SeekingAlpha • 6d ago
DOGE Dogs Fight Back

While the DOGE threat has seemingly been tempered, the long-term threat of AI obsolescence persists. However, in H2 2026, we've seen government contractor IT and consulting stocks surge.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BAH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $88.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BAH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BAH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $101.76 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low valuation (P/E TTM 11.7, EV/EBITDA 8.9) paired with ROIC of 20.4% and a 5.37% FCF yield.

Low valuation (P/E TTM 11.7, EV/EBITDA 8.9) paired with ROIC of 20.4% and a 5.37% FCF yield.. When you look under the hood at BAH, Fundamental Cash Engine is 17/20 with 52.7% gross margins and 20.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $109.10. My 12M target is $101.76.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $88.49 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.79 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $88.49

Debt of $3.86B against a Debt/Equity of 3.76 and revenue that fell from $11.98B to $11.22B.

Debt of $3.86B against a Debt/Equity of 3.76 and revenue that fell from $11.98B to $11.22B.. Look at the math on BAH: paying 11.7x trailing P/E for 20.4% ROIC and 9.2% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Professional Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $77.87 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%