RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 20h ago
BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Could Be Fully Priced On Current SalesYahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BBAI Stock slipped -0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.58 -0.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.57
BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.25B
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BBAI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BBAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, BigBear.ai Inc. (NYSE: BBAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.58 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BBAI ranks #617 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BBAI compare to GTM and RDVT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BBAI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.3%, and ROIC of -27.5%. By comparison, GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.27B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBAI?
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Per BBAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001836981), BigBear.ai Inc. generated $127.7M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$294.0M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $894.5M in total assets and $90.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.57 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BBAI SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (32% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+6/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 30% Net Buy • Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.18+0.5% Next Q
20
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.19+12.3% Next Q
23
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.46+4.9% Next Q
25
CurrentGrade E$2.58-10% Hist 90D α
28
Trajectory: E (20) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BBAI Turnaround Squeeze
While BBAI currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.64) and Max Pain ($2.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.77.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBAI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BBAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why BBAI Stock slipped -0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) slipped -0.77% to $2.58, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($2.07 – $7.4). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-28% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($2.07 – $7.4) with RSI-14 at 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 22.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live BBAI Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHTradingView • 23h ago
BigBear.ai Is Heavily Shorted—and Its Fundamentals Are Starting to ChangeTradingView report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Why BigBear.ai Stock Soared as Much as 11.7% TodayThe Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Will BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should KnowYahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Stock Market Today, Oct. 13: BigBear.ai Shares Gain on $225 Million Contract AwardsThe Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHTradingView • 1d ago
BigBear.ai Trades at a Discount to Industry: Buy the Stock or Hold?TradingView report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Federal Contract Wins Could Be A Game Changer For BigBear.ai Stock (BBAI)Yahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
BigBear.ai vs. IonQ: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?The Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTYahoo • 19h ago
After Posting Strong Q3 Numbers, Is BigBear.ai Stock Due for a Rally?The tech stock is down big this year, but it may have recently given investors a reason to be more bullish moving forward.
MARKET WIREFintel • 1d ago
BigBear.ai Holdings Consensus Price Target Decreased by 10.71% to $4.25ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BBAI)
- ✓Walkthrough of BBAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BBAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.13%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $2.67H $2.67L $2.58C $2.58VOL 26.12M
RES: $2.64SUP: $1.82SMA50: $2.64SMA200: $3.55
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
BBAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBAI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBAI)
Technology Rank #617 of 714
⚔️ GTM vs BBAI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (BBAI vs. GTM, RDVT, ALKT, PD)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) ranks #617 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #335 by equity capitalization ($1.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RDVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with BBAI at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBAI
ACTIVE
BigBear.ai Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 22.3% | -27.5% | -0.77% | $1.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc | D+ | 52/100 | 10.5x | 84.0% | 6.7% | -1.15% | $1.27B | /gtm-vs-bbai → |
| RDVT Red Violet Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 98.2x | — | 16.1% | -2.84% | $1.28B | /rdvt-vs-bbai → |
| ALKT Alkami Technology Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 57.8% | -14.2% | +7.58% | $1.33B | /alkt-vs-bbai → |
| PD PagerDuty Inc. | C | 63/100 | 7.9x | 84.9% | 6.8% | -1.36% | $1.33B | /pd-vs-bbai → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001836981In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) reported GAAP revenue of $127.7M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $158.2M , and -17.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$294.0M, operating cash flow of -$42.0M, and free cash flow of -$42.5M (-10.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBAI closed FY2025 with $894.5M in total assets against $90.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.92, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $127.7M | -$294.0M | -$42.0M | -$42.5M | $894.5M | $90.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $158.2M | -$296.0M | -$38.1M | -$38.6M | $343.8M | $135.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $155.2M | -$71.0M | -$18.3M | -$25.3M | $706.9M | $165.4M |
3. BBAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BBAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, BigBear.ai Inc. (NYSE: BBAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $2.58 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $1.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, BBAI ranks #617 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BBAI compare to GTM and RDVT in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), BBAI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.3%, and ROIC of -27.5%. By comparison, GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.27B) and RDVT (Red Violet Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 98.2x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBAI?
Per BBAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001836981), BigBear.ai Inc. generated $127.7M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$294.0M in net income, and -$42.5M in free cash flow against $894.5M in total assets and $90.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BBAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BBAI last traded at $2.58 (-0.77% on volume of 25,384,242 shares), positioning the stock -2.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.64) and -27.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.55). Across its 52-week range of $2.07 to $7.40, BBAI sits at the 9.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.26 to $2.90).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
BBAI — BigBear.ai Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:51Z
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
BBAI scores 28 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted out of 20. The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 3/20, reflecting ROIC of -27.5% and an FCF yield of -3.3%; for a prospective investor, this is the largest drag, indicating the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 9/20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning, a moderate reading that does not offset weak fundamentals. The insider conviction pillar scores 6/20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, signaling limited insider confidence signals. The macro regime fit pillar scores 5/20, with a beta of 1.2 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock tends to move more than the broad market. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 5/20, citing an Altman Z of 0.92, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15. Taken together, the upside drivers are limited to the institutional and positioning signals, while the valuation tradeoff is that a forward P/E of 23 is being paid for a business reporting negative operating and net margins. Investors evaluating the stock today face a high-risk profile where the rating frames the forensic and cash-generation concerns as dominant.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
BigBear.ai Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. The company reported revenue of $127.7M for FY 2025 and $158.2M for FY 2024. Gross margin is reported at 22.3%, while operating and net margins are both reported at -60%.
Revenue declined from $158.2M in FY 2024 to $127.7M in FY 2025 while operating losses widened from -$133.4M to -$213.9M. ROIC is -27.5%, and the Altman Z of 0.92 and Piotroski F of 4/9 indicate forensic weakness. Debt/Equity is reported at 0.15, and reported debt fell from $135.4M to $90.5M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while cash rose from $50.1M to $87.1M.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The stock rose 8.54% on the day and the news wire flags $225 Million in contract awards as a catalyst. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 (ROIC -27.5%, FCF yield -3.30%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $2.07 – $7.40 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative operating margin of -60% and an Altman Z of 0.92 point to forensic balance-sheet weakness. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.20 macro beta if sector demand softens.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), BBAI carries a macro regime beta of 1.20 and gross margin of 22.3%.
- Key Question #1: What specific products and customers generate the revenue decline from $158.2M to $127.7M?
- Key Question #2: What is the composition of the $225 Million contract awards referenced in the news wire, and over what period are they recognized?
- Key Question #3: What drove the reported change in cash and debt between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
BBAI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 20h ago
BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Could Be Fully Priced On Current Sales Yahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 23h ago
BigBear.ai Is Heavily Shorted—and Its Fundamentals Are Starting to Change TradingView report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST The Motley Fool • 1d ago
Why BigBear.ai Stock Soared as Much as 11.7% Today The Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Will BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should Know Yahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST The Motley Fool • 1d ago
Stock Market Today, Oct. 13: BigBear.ai Shares Gain on $225 Million Contract Awards The Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago
BigBear.ai Trades at a Discount to Industry: Buy the Stock or Hold? TradingView report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Federal Contract Wins Could Be A Game Changer For BigBear.ai Stock (BBAI) Yahoo Finance report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH The Motley Fool • 1d ago
BigBear.ai vs. IonQ: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? The Motley Fool report covering BigBear.ai Inc. (BBAI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
BBAI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.58?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BBAI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $3.17 (+21.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate The stock rose 8.54% on the day and the news wire flags $225 Million in contract awards as a catalyst.
Picked up a starter position in BBAI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $2.60. The stock rose 8.54% on the day and the news wire flags $225 Million in contract awards as a catalyst.. Trading inside a $2.07–$7.40 52-week range with -3.3% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.
RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — BBAI's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $2.21 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $2.60 Negative operating margin of -60% and an Altman Z of 0.92 point to forensic balance-sheet weakness.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on BBAI: Negative operating margin of -60% and an Altman Z of 0.92 point to forensic balance-sheet weakness.. At 23.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.