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Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$33.40 +2.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.50

Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $788.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BBSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Barrett Business Services Inc. (NASDAQ: BBSI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $33.40 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $788.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBSI ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BBSI compare to BWMN and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BBSI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 33.6%. By comparison, BWMN (Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 57.8x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $743.7M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBSI?
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Per BBSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000902791), Barrett Business Services Inc. generated $1.24B in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $54.4M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $779.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.50 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 5.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C-
Cash (19)Whales (8)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$44 Bull$35 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE BBSI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BBSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BBSI SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.3% FCF Margin ($66.0M FCF) & 21% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$31.90+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$32.08+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$32.57+2.5% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$33.40+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BBSI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, BBSI faces multiple-compression risk if 14.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.55) or 200D SMA ($32.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.90) toward Bear Floor ($27.22).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BBSI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BBSI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BBSI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $33.40: 299.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $27.22
$8,150
$-1,850 (-18.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $34.90
$10,449
+$449 (+4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $44.36
$13,281
+$3,281 (+32.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BBSI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BBSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $32.36H $33.40L $32.36C $33.40VOL 116.7K
RES: $33.39SUP: $29.66SMA50: $32.55SMA200: $32.88
$43.28$39.00$34.73$30.45$26.17RES $33.39SUP $29.66$33.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BBSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BBSI Butterfly Map → + Track BBSI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
6.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BBSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BBSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BBSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BBSI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #188 of 1009 ⚔️ BWMN vs BBSI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BBSI vs. BWMN, KELYB, KFRC, KELYA)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #534 by equity capitalization ($788.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBSI leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while BBSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and 21.0% gross margin. KFRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with BBSI at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BBSI ACTIVE
Barrett Business Services Inc.
C+ 68/100 14.4x 21.0% 33.6% +2.67% $788.4M Benchmark Subject
BWMN
Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.
C- 60/100 57.8x 53.4% 6.2% -0.02% $743.7M /bwmn-vs-bbsi →
KELYB
Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)
C 62/100 — 20.1% -5.8% -2.58% $949.7M /kelyb-vs-bbsi →
KFRC
Kforce Inc.
B 75/100 29.8x 27.2% 32.3% +1.50% $1.03B /kfrc-vs-bbsi →
KELYA
Kelly Services Inc. (Class A)
C 63/100 — 20.1% -5.8% +1.51% $576.2M /kelya-vs-bbsi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000902791 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+8.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.14B , and +630.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.4M, operating cash flow of $66.0M, and free cash flow of $66.0M (+553.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BBSI closed FY2025 with $779.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.28, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.24B $54.4M $66.0M $66.0M $779.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.14B $53.0M $10.1M $10.1M $745.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $169.8M $50.6M $67.2M $67.2M — —

3. BBSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BBSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Barrett Business Services Inc. (NASDAQ: BBSI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $33.40 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $788.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BBSI ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BBSI compare to BWMN and KELYB in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), BBSI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.4x, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 33.6%. By comparison, BWMN (Bowman Consulting Group Ltd.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 57.8x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $743.7M) and KELYB (Kelly Services Inc. (Class B)) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $949.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBSI leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while BBSI leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BBSI?

Per BBSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000902791), Barrett Business Services Inc. generated $1.24B in revenue (+8.4% YoY), $54.4M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $779.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BBSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BBSI last traded at $33.40 (+2.67% on volume of 169,618 shares), positioning the stock +2.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.55) and +1.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($32.88). Across its 52-week range of $25.33 to $42.25, BBSI sits at the 47.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($31.63 to $35.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: BBSI RQD Cockpit BBSI 12M Forecast BBSI Earnings & Move BBSI Dividends & DRIP BBSI Insiders & 13F BBSI Whale Options BBSI Profit Sankey BBSI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BBSI — Barrett Business Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $33.40 (+2.67% 1D, market capitalization $788.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 33.6%, gross margin of 21.0%, operating margin of 5.0%, and free cash flow yield of 8.41%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.28, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Barrett Business Services Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry. Its market capitalization is $0.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) reported $1.24B in annual revenue (up from $1.14B in FY2024, +8.4% YoY) and $54.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($169.8M revenue, $50.6M net income) through FY2025, BBSI scaled operating cash flow to $66.0M and free cash flow to $66.0M, backed by $779.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (21.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $25.33 – $42.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 14.4x trailing P/E and 11.1x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Professional Services (Consumer Discretionary), BBSI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 21.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BBSI sustain or expand its 5.0% operating margin and 33.6% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.24B and free cash flow of $66.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BBSI's 13.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BBSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BBSI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BBSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $33.40?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BBSI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BBSI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.96 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 19/20 on a 33.6% ROIC and 8.41% FCF yield.

The street is overcomplicating Barrett Business Services Inc. (BBSI). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 19/20 on a 33.6% ROIC and 8.41% FCF yield.. With an RQD score of 68/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $35.13.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 14.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Professional Services. If gross margin (21.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $27.98 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $32.53

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 8/20, indicating weak institutional accumulation.

I respect the product at Barrett Business Services Inc., but the stock at $32.53 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 8/20, indicating weak institutional accumulation.. FCF yield is 8.41% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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