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Why BCO Stock surged +4.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$107.35 +4.52% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $108.02

Brinks Company (BCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.23B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $107.35 (+4.52% 1D, market cap $4.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?
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Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $108.02 (+0.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ · Rk E
Cash (14)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$143 Bull$102 Base$79 Bear
📬 FREE BCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BCO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($24.5M FCF) & 25.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$102.05+6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$108.73-7.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$100.19+7.1% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$107.35-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($105.88) and Max Pain ($112.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $143.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why BCO Stock surged +4.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Brinks Company (BCO) surged +4.52% to $107.35, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($91.05 – $136.37). Stretched risk/reward at 21x P/E (20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($91.05 – $136.37) with RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $107.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 25.8% gross margin and $24.5M annual free cash flow.
Live BCO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 7d ago
Boeing narrows quarterly loss as backlog hits record

Boeing Co (NYSE:BA, XETRA:BCO) narrowed its third-quarter net loss to $116 million from $5.34 billion a year earlier as revenue rose 4% to $24.19 billion. The US aircraft manufacturer generated $1.50 billion in operating

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.85%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $102.2H $107.4L $102.2C $107.4VOL 395.2K
RES: $113.4SUP: $98.78SMA50: $105.9SMA200: $110.0
$126.6$117.0$107.4$97.70$88.06RES $113.4SUP $98.78$107.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCO Butterfly Map → + Track BCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCO)

Industrials Rank #260 of 486 ⚔️ HUBG vs BCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (BCO vs. HUBG, CHRW, EXPD, FWRD)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brinks Company (BCO) ranks #260 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #162 by equity capitalization ($4.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while EXPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with BCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BCO ACTIVE
Brinks Company
D 46/100 21.1x 25.8% 19.6% +4.52% $4.23B Benchmark Subject
HUBG
Hub Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +2.51% $1.63B /hubg-vs-bco →
CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.4x — 22.6% +3.29% $14.56B /chrw-vs-bco →
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington Inc.
B+ 80/100 31.8x — 40.3% +0.86% $25.85B /expd-vs-bco →
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
E 25/100 — — 1.7% +3.97% $595.2M /fwrd-vs-bco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000078890 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brinks Company (BCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.26B (+5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.01B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $199.7M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, BCO closed FY2025 with $7.34B in total assets against $3.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.26B $199.7M — — $7.34B $3.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.01B $162.9M — — $6.62B $3.61B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.87B $87.7M — — $5.85B $1.37B

3. BCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brinks Company (NYSE: BCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $107.35 (+4.52% 1D, market cap $4.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, BCO ranks #260 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BCO compare to HUBG and CHRW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), BCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.1x, gross margin of 25.8%, and ROIC of 19.6%. By comparison, HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 25.4x, ROIC 22.6%, cap $14.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while EXPD leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCO?

Per BCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000078890), Brinks Company generated $5.26B in revenue (+5.0% YoY), $199.7M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $7.34B in total assets and $3.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCO last traded at $107.35 (+4.52% on volume of 480,217 shares), positioning the stock +1.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($105.88) and -2.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($110.04). Across its 52-week range of $91.05 to $136.37, BCO sits at the 36.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($100.48 to $114.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: BCO RQD Cockpit BCO 12M Forecast BCO Earnings & Move BCO Dividends & DRIP BCO Insiders & 13F BCO Whale Options BCO Profit Sankey BCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BCO — Brinks Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brinks Company (BCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $107.35 (+4.52% 1D, market capitalization $4.23B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.6%, gross margin of 25.8%, operating margin of 11.1%, and free cash flow yield of 0.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.58, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

(BCO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, with a market capitalization of $4.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 25.8% and operating margin is 11.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brinks Company (BCO) reported $5.26B in annual revenue (up from $5.01B in FY2024, +5.0% YoY) and $199.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.87B revenue, $87.7M net income) through FY2025, BCO scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $7.34B in total assets against $3.81B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.58% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $91.05 – $136.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.1x trailing P/E and 8.3x EV/EBITDA against 11.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Integrated Freight & Logistics (Industrials), BCO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 25.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can BCO sustain or expand its 11.1% operating margin and 19.6% ROIC against Integrated Freight & Logistics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.26B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.81B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BCO's 19.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brinks Company (BCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $107.35?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $133.52 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 19.6% signals strong capital efficiency relative to the company's leverage.

Here is why I am bullish on BCO here at $102.71: ROIC of 19.6% signals strong capital efficiency relative to the company's leverage.. Compare BCO's 11.1% operating margin and 19.6% ROIC against the rest of Integrated Freight & Logistics. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $97.57 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $102.71 and keeping dry powder in case we test $95.52.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $86.28 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $102.71

A Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 1.58 combine with a 0.58% FCF yield to leave little financial cushion.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BCO above $102.71. A Debt/Equity of 8.5 and Altman Z of 1.58 combine with a 0.58% FCF yield to leave little financial cushion.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (0.58%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $136.37.

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