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Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.02 -0.98% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.01

Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $518.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Brandywine Realty Trust (NYSE: BDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $518.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BDN ranks #759 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BDN compare to TRTX and ADAM in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BDN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, TRTX (TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $517.9M) and ADAM (Adamas Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $535.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADAM leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BDN?
β–Ό

Per BDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000790816), Brandywine Realty Trust generated $484.5M in revenue (-4.2% YoY), -$178.2M in net income, and $116.7M in free cash flow against $3.59B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.01 (-0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 24.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510046
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D Β· Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE BDN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY BDN SCORES 46/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.8% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.5) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$2.53+6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$2.70+8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$2.92+3.4% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$3.02-6.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ D (46)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BDN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While BDN currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.88) and Max Pain ($3.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.73.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BDNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œBDN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BDN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for BDN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BDN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of BDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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BDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.33%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $2.98H $3.05L $2.98C $3.02VOL 2.41M
RES: $3.26SUP: $2.43SMA50: $2.88SMA200: $2.99
$3.47$3.22$2.96$2.71$2.45RES $3.26SUP $2.43$3.022026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ BDN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track BDN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BDN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BDN)

Financials Rank #759 of 1097 βš”οΈ TRTX vs BDN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BDN vs. TRTX, ADAM, UHT, OLP)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) ranks #759 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #692 by equity capitalization ($518.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADAM leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while UHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. UHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with BDN at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BDN ACTIVE
Brandywine Realty Trust
D 46/100 β€” β€” 2.8% -0.98% $518.6M Benchmark Subject
TRTX
TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.
D+ 54/100 8.1x β€” 5.6% -0.29% $517.9M /trtx-vs-bdn β†’
ADAM
Adamas Trust Inc.
D 51/100 4.4x β€” 8.9% -3.37% $535.5M /adam-vs-bdn β†’
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income Trust
C- 61/100 29.9x β€” 18.8% -1.78% $539.1M /uht-vs-bdn β†’
OLP
One Liberty Properties Inc.
D+ 58/100 19.3x β€” 13.3% -1.35% $485.2M /olp-vs-bdn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000790816 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) reported GAAP revenue of $484.5M (-4.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $505.5M , and -5.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$178.2M, operating cash flow of $116.7M, and free cash flow of $116.7M (-35.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, BDN closed FY2025 with $3.59B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $484.5M -$178.2M $116.7M $116.7M $3.59B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $505.5M -$195.9M $181.1M $181.1M $3.49B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $514.7M -$196.8M $177.3M $177.3M β€” β€”

3. BDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Brandywine Realty Trust (NYSE: BDN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $518.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, BDN ranks #759 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BDN compare to TRTX and ADAM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), BDN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 2.8%. By comparison, TRTX (TPG RE Finance Trust Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $517.9M) and ADAM (Adamas Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $535.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADAM leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while UHT leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BDN?

Per BDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000790816), Brandywine Realty Trust generated $484.5M in revenue (-4.2% YoY), -$178.2M in net income, and $116.7M in free cash flow against $3.59B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BDN last traded at $3.02 (-0.98% on volume of 2,095,247 shares), positioning the stock +4.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.88) and +1.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.99). Across its 52-week range of $2.47 to $3.55, BDN sits at the 50.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.8% ($2.78 to $3.26).

Direct Sub-Reports: BDN RQD Cockpit BDN 12M Forecast BDN Earnings & Move BDN Dividends & DRIP BDN Insiders & 13F BDN Whale Options BDN Profit Sankey BDN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 46/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BDN β€” Brandywine Realty Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.02 (-0.98% 1D, market capitalization $518.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.8%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 5.5%, and free cash flow yield of 22.73%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Per the same profile, its market capitalization is $0.5B. β€” for further business model detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) reported $484.5M in annual revenue (up from $505.5M in FY2024, -4.2% YoY) and -$178.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($514.7M revenue, -$196.8M net income) through FY2025, BDN scaled operating cash flow to $116.7M and free cash flow to $116.7M, backed by $3.59B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 22.73% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.47 – $3.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 18.1x EV/EBITDA against 5.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency mapping and no identified sector correlations beyond the Financials/REIT classification. β€” for specific 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify ripple paths from the data provided.

  • Key Question #1: Can BDN sustain or expand its 5.5% operating margin and 2.8% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $484.5M and free cash flow of $116.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BDN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BDN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to BDN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BDN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.02?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BDN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BDN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.73 (+25.2%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 22.73% suggests cash generation is large relative to the $3.02 share price.

Don't sleep on BDN's setup in Financials. Free cash flow yield of 22.73% suggests cash generation is large relative to the $3.02 share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (46/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate Investment Trusts. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.41 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $2.98

Net margin of -36.8% and net losses in all three reported periods show the cash yield is not reaching shareholders as earnings.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short BDN above $2.98. Net margin of -36.8% and net losses in all three reported periods show the cash yield is not reaching shareholders as earnings.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (22.73%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $3.55.

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