StockInvest.us report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why BDTX Stock dropped -4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is BDTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BDTX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (-4.30% 1D, market cap $106.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BDTX ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does BDTX compare to VYGR and LENZ in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BDTX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, VYGR (Voyager Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.4M) and LENZ (LENZ Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.8%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BDTX leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BDTX?
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Per BDTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001701541), Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $22.37B in net income, and $29.6M in free cash flow against $143.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BDTX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, BDTX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.95) or 200D SMA ($2.19) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.79) toward Bear Floor ($1.40).
Why BDTX Stock dropped -4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) dropped -4.30% to $1.78, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.6 – $4.94). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.6 – $4.94) with RSI-14 at 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.78 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $29.6M annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
HC Wainwright & Co. analyst Robert Burns reiterates Black Diamond Therapeutic (NASDAQ:BDTX) with a Buy and maintains $11 price target.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (BDTX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
BDTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BDTX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BDTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BDTX)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (BDTX vs. VYGR, LENZ, ENGN, TVGN)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #651 by equity capitalization ($106.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BDTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BDTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and — gross margin. BDTX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDTX
ACTIVE
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 10.8% | -4.30% | $106.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| VYGR Voyager Therapeutics Inc. | E | 15/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.27% | $108.4M | /vygr-vs-bdtx → |
| LENZ LENZ Therapeutics Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | 96.0% | -27.8% | -12.61% | $109.7M | /lenz-vs-bdtx → |
| ENGN enGene Therapeutics Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -35.0% | 0.00% | $102.5M | /engn-vs-bdtx → |
| TVGN Tevogen Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.48% | $95.2M | /tvgn-vs-bdtx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001701541In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.37B, operating cash flow of $29.6M, and free cash flow of $29.6M (+147.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, BDTX closed FY2025 with $143.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $22.37B | $29.6M | $29.6M | $143.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$69.68B | -$62.3M | -$62.3M | $122.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$82.4M | -$66.7M | -$66.7M | — | — |
3. BDTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs BDTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: BDTX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (-4.30% 1D, market cap $106.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, BDTX ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.
How does BDTX compare to VYGR and LENZ in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), BDTX carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, VYGR (Voyager Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.4M) and LENZ (LENZ Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.8%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BDTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BDTX leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BDTX?
Per BDTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001701541), Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $22.37B in net income, and $29.6M in free cash flow against $143.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is BDTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
BDTX last traded at $1.78 (-4.30% on volume of 520,160 shares), positioning the stock -8.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -18.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.19). Across its 52-week range of $1.60 to $4.94, BDTX sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).
BDTX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is BDTX stock moving today?
Why BDTX Stock dropped -4.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
BDTX — Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, BDTX scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 10.8% and an FCF yield of 0%. The reported free cash flow of $29.6M for FY 2025 does not translate into a positive FCF yield in the rating's calculation, which is a point an investor should reconcile before relying on this pillar.
- Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. The rating labels this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holders section contains no 13F data, so the score cannot be traced to specific filings within this source set.
- Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No Form 4 or PTR records appear in the holders section, so this score is not independently verifiable here.
- Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the rating treats the stock's market sensitivity as moderate rather than extreme.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These are mid-range readings that support a cautious, not distressed, assessment.
For a prospective investor, the rating's message is that the business is not yet generating clearly positive returns on a cash-yield basis, the balance sheet is serviceable rather than strong, and the stock's risk profile is moderate. The upside case depends on the cash-generation improvement visible in the FY 2025 figures continuing, while the valuation tradeoff is that the company has no reported revenue and a market capitalization of $106.9M, leaving the valuation highly sensitive to near-term cash and operating trajectory. The rating's "Hold" verdict reflects balance between these factors rather than a directional call.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $12.5M | $22367.0M | N/A | $29.6M | $21.0M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-78.8M | $-69676.0M | N/A | $-62.3M | $36.4M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-86.5M | $-82.4M | N/A | $-66.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from $-86.5M in FY 2023 to $-78.8M in FY 2024 and to $12.5M in FY 2025, and FCF moved from $-66.7M to $-62.3M to $29.6M over the same periods. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0% in the market data, which is consistent with zero reported revenue. Per the market data, ROIC is 10.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The FY 2025 net income figure of $22367.0M is far out of line with the $12.5M operating income and is not explained in the source data; it should be verified against the filing before being relied upon.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to BDTX, each classed YELLOW under the MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines are generic market-coverage pieces from StockInvest.us, ChartMill, Yahoo Finance UK, Moomoo, Simply Wall St, and Yahoo! Finance Canada, covering price forecasts, options chains, seasonal return charts, and cash burn commentary. None describes a specific clinical, regulatory, or transactional event. The Simply Wall St item is headlined as a cash-burn assessment, which is the only headline bearing directly on the company's financial position. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What is the source of the $22367.0M FY 2025 net income figure, given operating income of $12.5M, and does it reflect a one-time item?
- What clinical, regulatory, or partnering milestones are expected, and when?
- What is the company's debt position, since the debt field is N/A across all periods while Debt/Equity is reported as 0.5?
- Why is EPS reported as N/A for every period, and what is the share count?
- What institutional or insider ownership exists, given the holders section is empty?
BDTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
StockInvest.us report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance UK report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Traders Union report covering Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. (BDTX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BDTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.78?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is BDTX (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $1.78?
Welcome to the BDTX (Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on BDTX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on BDTX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
BDTX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on BDTX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.78 (52-wk range $1.60 - $4.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.